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After inflation data, stocks rise and US Treasury yields drop

The global stock index rose on Thursday, the first time in the last three sessions. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields fell as a reading of inflation fueled the expectation that the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of price might be lower than expected.

The Labor Department announced that the Producer Price Index (PPI) was for

Final demand rose

After a downwardly revised 0.5% increase in December, the 0.4% rise last month surpassed the economists' estimate for a 0.3% gain.

The consumer price index (CPI) for Wednesday showed the largest increase in almost 1-1/2 years.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that the PPI includes components of personal consumption expenditures.

On Wednesday

The PCE, the Fed's preferred inflation target measure, was softened and added to the hope that the reading could be lower than expected.

It was a relief to find that the PCE components were performing better than expected. "I was pleased to see the anticipation of tariffs has not yet been reflected in the data," said Brian Jacobsen. Chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, Menomonee Falls in Wisconsin.

The prices could go up when we receive the February data, which will be in March. But at least January was a month where businesses didn't try to "front-run" tariffs by raising their prices.

Wall Street was higher following the inflation data. The Nasdaq rose more than 1%. All S&P sectors rose, led by consumer discretionary. Tesla's rise was 6% and MGM Resorts' surge of 14% after the casino.

operator reported

Better than expected quarterly earnings

The Dow Jones Industrial Average grew 101.88 points or 0.23% to 44,472.79; the S&P 500 climbed 33.71 points or 0.56% to 6,085.68; and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 189.02 or 0.97% to 19,839.59.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose 6.46 points or 0.74% to 879.24, and is on course for its largest daily percentage gain since the 4th of February.

The STOXX 600 Index in Europe rose by 0.93%, its sixth consecutive session, and reached an intraday record. Nestle and Siemens, after their quarterly results and hopes of talks to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, were the main contributors.

U.S. President Donald

Trump says

On Wednesday, Trump said that both Russian president Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed their desire for peace during separate phone conversations with him. He also ordered top U.S. government officials to start talks about ending the war.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 9.1 basis points, to 4.543%. This is on course for its largest daily decline in a whole month. In addition to the PPI data the U.S. initial claims for unemployment fell by 7.000, to 213,000 seasonally adjusted, which is slightly less than 215,000, and indicates that the job market is on stable ground.

According to CME, the market has not priced in a probability of greater than 50% of a Fed rate cut of at least 25% until September.

FedWatch Tool

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) fell 0.48% at 107.39, and was on course for its largest one-day percentage decline since January 24. At $1.0431, the euro rose 0.47%.

Boris, a Croatian politician

Vujcic

The European Central Bank may cut rates three times more this year, even if the U.S. counterpart moves slower. However, policy easing will be based on a rapid drop in inflation.

The dollar fell 0.72% against the Japanese yen to 153.31.

The pound rose 0.58%, to $1.2515. Official figures revealed that the British economy grew unexpectedly by 0.1% during the last quarter of the year. This was higher than the 0.1% contraction expected, but longer-term problems remain.

prices fell

The potential for an agreement between Russia and Ukraine was a factor in the decline, as were rising crude inventories. U.S. crude dropped 0.49%, to $71.02 per barrel. Brent was down to $74.76 a barrel.

(source: Reuters)