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Stocks shrug off tariff threats and gain gains

Stocks shrug off tariff threats and gain gains

The dollar edged up on Monday, after U.S. president Donald Trump warned that more tariffs would be imposed in the near future. These included steel and aluminum. However, U.S. stocks and European shares shrugged these off and continued to rise.

Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One that he will announce 25% tariffs for all steel and aluminum imports to the U.S. on Monday, and other reciprocal tariffs either on Tuesday or on Wednesday.

China's retaliatory duties on certain U.S. imports will take effect Monday. There are no signs of progress yet between Beijing and Washington.

Investors responded by pushing the dollar higher. The index that tracks the U.S. Currency is up just 0.1% since Friday's closing price, at 108.17.

The euro rose 0.59% against the Japanese yen. It had its best week in November last week, as investors betted on further Bank of Japan rate increases. The euro was unchanged at $1.0329.

The dollar initially rose against currencies of countries that export commodities before moderating. The Canadian dollar fell around 0.2% at the end.

Chris Turner, global market head at ING, said that the dollar is likely to be supported by the uncertainty surrounding the tariffs, their timing, and the magnitude of the tariffs.

Turner warned that Trump could impose reciprocal tariffs against many countries as he had promised to do on Friday. This would cause currency fluctuations around the globe.

Investors reacted quickly to the news of another busy week in earnings, and stocks began to recover. S&P 500 futures contracts rose 0.35% last after Friday's cash index dropped 0.95%.

Last week, shares were roiled after mixed earnings reports. However, the overall growth in earnings per share is at 12% - well above expectations of 8%.

The STOXX 600 Index for Europe rose by 0.28% at the opening of trading on Monday after falling 0.38% Friday.

Shares of several European steelmakers, including Luxembourg's ArcelorMittal as well as Germany's Salzgitter, have fallen.

Analysts believe tariffs will increase inflation in the United States and limit the ability of the Federal Reserve, which has been supporting the U.S. Dollar since Trump was re-elected, to relax its policy.

After a generally positive payrolls report released on Friday, the markets had already reduced their expectations for rate cuts in this year from 42 to 36 basis points.

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell will appear in front of the House of Representatives Tuesday and Wednesday. It is certain that the tariffs and their impact on policy will be a hot topic.

U.S. Treasuries were down slightly on Monday. The yield on the 10-year note was up by 1 basis point to 4.497%. Prices and yields are inversely related.

The Nikkei index in Japan was flat while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong rose 1.84%. China's CSI 300 rose 0.21%.

Derren Nathan is the head of equity research for Hargreaves Lansdown.

Stocks in China were up over night. "Maybe (due) to a combination of trade restrictions being less severe than they could have been, and the hope for more Chinese stimulus."

Data showing that consumer inflation in China accelerated at its fastest rate in five months during January has eased concerns about deflation in the country.

Gold prices reached a new record high of $2,901 per ounce, aided in part by the talk that Trump could impose tariffs.

London aluminium was traded at a narrow range on Monday, as investors considered the possibility of metals tariffs.

After three weeks of declines, the oil prices have started to rise again. This was partly due to trade concerns. Brent crude rose 0.7% to $75.19 per barrel.

(source: Reuters)