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US EIA raises oil output, cost forecasts for 2024

U.S. crude oil output is set to grow somewhat more than earlier estimates for this year and next, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday, while also treking its worldwide and domestic oil rate projections.

U.S. crude production will rise by around 280,000 barrels each day (bpd) this year to 13.21 million bpd, and by 510,000 bpd to 13.72 million bpd in 2025, the EIA projection.

It had formerly estimated output to rise by 260,000 bpd this year and by 460,000 bpd next year. The firm's view on U.S. intake was the same at a 200,000-bpd increase to 20.4 million bpd in 2024.

The boost in production forecasts was likely due to the assumption of greater rates, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

EIA now anticipates Brent petroleum costs to typical $88.55 a. barrel this year, up from its earlier projection of $87, while. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rates are now anticipated to. typical $83.78 a barrel in 2024. In March, the EIA had actually forecast. WTI prices would balance $82.15 a barrel this year.

The walking shows expectations of strong international oil. stock draws in the current quarter and continuous geopolitical. threats, the EIA said in its month-to-month short-term energy outlook.

Brent unrefined futures traded above $89 a barrel and. WTI futures traded north of $85 on Tuesday, over 16% and. 19% higher so far this year.

The EIA likewise kept in mind that it underestimated international demand for. the previous two years. The firm now approximates world oil and. liquid fuels consumption at around 99.94 million bpd in 2022,. about 790,000 bpd above its previous projections.

Estimates for 2023 were raised to 101.96 million bpd from. 101 million earlier, the revisions driven by non-OECD nations. For 2024, EIA now expects global intake at around 102.91. million bpd, 480,000 bpd greater than its previous forecast.

The sources of development stay the exact same; non-OECD Asian. countries - especially China and India - drive international liquid. fuels demand growth in our forecast, although we also anticipate. substantial growth in the Middle East and United States, the. EIA said.

(source: Reuters)