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Venezuela quakes caused $19.6 billion in damage, World Bank report shows

The World Bank released an early assessment on Thursday that estimated that the costs of rebuilding could be double that amount or more. According to the government, the 7.2 and 7.4 magnitude earthquakes killed approximately 5,000 people and destroyed residential buildings, infrastructure, and non-residential structures in northern areas of Venezuela, including Caracas. According to the government, nearly 17,000 people have been injured and almost 18,000 are homeless. World Bank reported that the disaster was the "country's deadliest quake since 1812" and occurred at a time of precarious socioeconomic conditions, with a poverty level of 76%. Around 7.9 million people fled the country in 2015.

"The earthquake caused an estimate of $19.6 billion in direct physical damages, a staggering number for any economy, and one that requires a coordinated response," Susana Cordeiro-Guerra, World Bank vice president overseeing Latin America and Caribbean.

She said that if additional investments are not made, they will have a negative impact on the productivity of the country and the living standards.

The bank's Global Rapid Damage Estimation (GRADE) was completed using remote-based earthquake models, local seismic data and satellite imagery, as well as damage reports from the government, humanitarian agencies, and other organizations on the ground.

Estimates do not include costs for "building better" by upgrading construction types or structural improvements. These costs could be up to twice as much, or even more, than the replacement costs. This could push the bill close to $50 billion.

This estimate does not include any direct economic losses. The labor supply is expected to decrease by?1% in this year.

The bank stated that it was working closely with the Venezuelan Government, the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and the Development Bank of Latin America to develop a more comprehensive estimate of the costs of recovery and reconstruction in Venezuela. These studies can take several months to complete, but GRADE assessments only take a few weeks.

Assessments showed that the majority of damage was caused by residential buildings, followed by infrastructure (27%) and non-residential structures (26%).

The pace of reconstruction will be crucial in determining the economic recovery of the country and its social outcomes, according to the bank. The bank stated that without 'higher public andprivate investment, productivity and GDP would remain below pre-quake level until at least 2030.

It said that additional borrowing would increase Venezuela's debt, but would also spur a stronger economy, which in turn would improve the fiscal situation of the country. (Reporting and editing by Andrea Shalal.

(source: Reuters)