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Gold falls to a three-week low amid optimism over US-China trade
Gold prices fell on Tuesday, reaching a three-week-low, as investors awaited major central bank announcements. As of 0652 GMT spot gold fell 1% to $3,941.65 an ounce, its lowest level since 10 October. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 1.5% to $3.957.50 an ounce. Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst, said that the defrosting of U.S. China trade relations had a negative impact on the gold price because it has led to fewer safe-haven purchases. Top Chinese and U.S. economists hammered out the framework for a trade agreement that U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping will decide on this week. If Trump and Xi had a productive trade meeting this week, gold could be swimming against the flow to a certain degree. Waterer noted that this could be countered if the Fed adopts a more dovish tone in its rate-cutting announcement this week. Trump told reporters that he believed a deal with China would be made. He also announced in Malaysia a series of deals with four Southeast Asian countries on minerals and trade. This was the first stop of a five-day Asia tour. Asian shares continued to consolidate recent gains on Tuesday, as the risk appetite remained high amid hopes of a thawing of global trade tensions. Investors are waiting for any future-oriented language from Fed chair Jerome Powell. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to reduce interest rates by the end of their policy meeting on Tuesday. Both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan, are expected to keep rates unchanged this week. The gold price has risen by 53% in the past year. It reached a high of $4,381.21 at the end of October, boosted by economic and geopolitical uncertainty, bets on rate cuts, and central bank purchases. Spot silver dropped 0.8%, to $46.51 an ounce. Platinum fell 2.6%, to $1.549.85, and palladium fell 1.2%, to $1.385.50. (Reporting and editing by Sherry Jac-Phillips, Subhranshu Sahu, and Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru).
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Gold falls to a three-week low amid optimism over US-China trade
Gold prices fell on Tuesday, reaching a three-week-low, as investors awaited major central bank announcements. As of 0525 GMT, spot gold was down by 0.2%, at $3,974.66 an ounce. Bullion fell to its lowest levels since October 10 during the morning session. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 0.8% to $3.989.10 an ounce. Tim Waterer, KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst, said that the defrosting of U.S. China trade relations had a negative impact on the gold price because it has led to fewer safe-haven purchases. Top Chinese and U.S. economists hammered out the framework for a trade agreement that U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping will decide on this week. If Trump and Xi had a productive trade meeting this week, gold could be swimming against the flow to some extent. Waterer noted that this could be countered if the Fed adopts a more dovish tone in its rate-cutting announcement this week. Trump told reporters that he believed a deal with China would be made. He also announced in Malaysia a series of deals with four Southeast Asian countries on minerals and trade. This was the first stop on his five-day Asia tour. Asian shares continued to consolidate recent gains on Tuesday, as the hopes of a thawing of global trade tensions fueled risk appetite. Investors are waiting for any future-oriented language from Fed chair Jerome Powell. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to reduce interest rates by the end of their policy meeting on Tuesday. Both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan, are expected to keep rates unchanged this week. The gold price has risen by 53% in the past year. It reached a high of $4,381.21 at the end of October, boosted by economic and geopolitical uncertainty, bets on rate cuts, and central bank purchases. Other than that, silver spot fell by 0.5%, to $46.68 an ounce. Platinum dropped 1%, to $1574.25; and palladium rose 1.1%, to $1417.30. (Reporting and editing by Sherry Phillips, Subhranshu Sahu, and Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru).
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Thailand still has not approved transmission charges for regional electricity deal
The deputy energy minister of Thailand said that the country has not yet approved transmission charges to extend a deal for hydropower to be sent from Laos in Singapore. The Lao PDR-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore Power Integration Project, first unveiled in 2022, has been recognised as a precursor to an ASEAN Power Grid, an attempt to reduce Southeast Asia's growing reliance on fossil fuels for power generation. In October, Malaysian energy minister stated that approval could be granted as soon as next month. Sompop Pattanariyankool said that the Thai authorities must still approve the second phase of this power project. He was speaking on the sidelines of a Singapore event. Pattanariyankool stated that "the movement of charges from Malaysia to Singapore has already been done." "Thailand needs to approve it." Pattanariyankool stated that he was unable to provide a timeframe for approval as it depends on the National Energy Policy Council's decision. The membership of the council changed last month when a new administration took office. The term "wheeling charges" refers to the costs associated with transmitting electricity over a grid. In the absence of an agreement on wheeling between Singapore and Thailand, exports to Laos would be blocked until a solution is found. The power generated in Laos is transmitted via Thailand. Malaysia's Energy Minister said earlier this month that political changes delayed the resume of power exports to Singapore from Laos. Singapore announced on Monday that a restart was imminent, but did not provide any further details. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Sudarshan Varadan, Florence Tan)
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Sany Heavy Industry debuts in Hong Kong after $1.6 billion IPO
Sany Heavy Industry's shares rose up to 4.7% on their Hong Kong debut Tuesday, after the Chinese construction equipment maker raised HK$12.36bn ($1.59bn) in one the biggest listings in the city this year. According to the prospectus, this company was founded in 1994 and is part of the Sany Group. It is now China's leading construction machinery manufacturer, and ranks among the top three worldwide. Sany, which manufactures excavators and concrete machinery as well as road construction equipment and cranes, operates 16 production bases in different countries and sells its products to more than 150. The stock price opened at HK$21.30 and matched the offer, but then rose as high as 4.7%, to HK$22.30. Later, it trimmed these gains to trade at HK$21.84 slightly higher. The benchmark Hang Seng Index remained unchanged. Sany's Hong Kong listing joins a long list of recent large share offerings, including Zijin Gold International's $3.2 billion IPO - the biggest deal of its kind globally to date. Dealogic data shows that companies raised $23 billion total in Hong Kong during the first nine month of this year. This is more than three-times the amount of the same period of 2024. Sany's Shanghai listed shares fell 1.9% to 22.11 Yuan. Stocks have gained 34% this year, mainly due to strong demand and growth overseas. The company's market value is now $26,8 billion. According to the company prospectus, Hillhouse, BlackRock and Temasek via Aranda Investments were among the cornerstone investors of the Hong Kong offering. Sany stated that it would use proceeds to fund overseas growth, invest in intelligent and electric machinery research and development, repay debt, and for general operating capital. Reporting by Yantoultra NGi; editing by Nivedita Bhattacharjee, Subhranshu Sahu
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Bill Gates, billionaire Bill Gates, calls for a climate strategy pivot before COP30
Bill Gates, philanthropist and billionaire investor, called on world leaders to focus on improving health outcomes and not temperature reduction targets in advance of the COP30 Climate talks in Brazil. COP30 is scheduled to take place in Belem, a port city in Brazil's Lower Amazon Region from November 10-21. The countries are expected to update their national climate commitments, and evaluate progress made on the renewable energy targets set at previous summits. In the last decade, the world has been working to achieve the Paris Agreement goals. This includes limiting global warming below 2 degrees Celsius over the pre-industrial level by the mid-century. However, this goal is still far off track. While climate change was serious, it was "not civilization-ending", Gates posted on his personal blog. Gates wrote that instead of focusing on temperature as a measure of progress, it would be better to build climate resilience by strengthening health. He called for an increase in investments in energy, healthcare and agricultural resilience, especially in regions that are vulnerable. He argued that these areas offered more equitable benefits than temperatures goals and should be at the center of climate strategies discussed during COP30. Gates, whose Breakthrough Energy venture network has invested billions in clean technology innovation, challenged donors and policymakers to examine whether climate aid is being spent efficiently. He called for them to maximise their impact by using data and urged investors to support companies that develop high-impact, clean technologies to lower costs more quickly. He said that direct deaths due to natural disasters had fallen by 90% in the last century, to between 40,000-50,000 per year. This is largely because of better warning systems and a more resilient infrastructure. Last week, the U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres, and the World Meteorological Organization urged countries implement disaster warning systems in order to protect people from extreme weather. WMO reported that weather, water, and climate-related hazards killed over 2 million people in the last five decades. 90% of these deaths occurred in developing countries. (Reporting and editing by Simon Jessop, Nia Williams and Sharon Kimathi)
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Japan PM uses golfing gifts to invoke Abe's legacy and forge Trump-Japan bond
Sanae Takaichi, the new Japanese premier, gave a putter that Shinzo Abe used to use. Shinzo was his friend and former leader of Japan. The club, displayed in a case with a gold-leaf ball and bag autographed by Japanese major champion Hideki Matsuzaya, was one of many references to Trump’s bond with Abe which underpinned relations between the two countries during Trump's first term. Analysts say that Takaichi will want to rekindle the bond with Abe's protegee Takaichi who was killed by a single gunman in 2022 to help her minority government navigate any thorny matters that may arise, such as defense spending. Masahiko shibayama, who was Abe's assistant during Trump's initial term, said that the shared relationship between the two leaders and the murdered prime minister had "significant meaning". He said, "I am certain that the trust relationship between these two leaders will lead to the strengthening the alliance." The long-awaited trial for the man accused in the fatal shooting of Abe, Takaichi, began Tuesday in Nara, Takaichi’s hometown. Shared by a GREAT FRIEND Abe was the focus of attention as soon as Trump entered the ornate Akasaka Palace, in central Tokyo, to exchange pleasantries with Takaichi and take photos. Takaichi is a conservative hardliner who became Japan's new leader last week. Trump told Trump as they shook their hands, "He was my great friend and your great friend." Takaichi received her first cabinet position in Abe’s 2006-2007 initial administration, and was later promoted to home minister during his second 2012-202020 term. Takaichi thanked Trump for his "enduring friendship with Abe" and for having hosted his widow Akie Abe in his Mar-a-Lago resort shortly after Trump won the election last year. Sunao Takao was the interpreter who translated her words into Japanese. Abe had previously used Sunao as an interpreter. Trump jokingly called Abe junior prime minister. Mark Davidson is a former senior U.S. diplomatic official in Japan and a professor of politics at Temple University, Tokyo. He said that Takaichi's decision to invoke Abe was a clever one. "With President Trump all politics are personal," said Davidson. "He had an extremely warm, trusting and close relationship with Prime Minister Abe." "I think Prime Minister Takaichi’s close ties to late Prime Minister Abe helped set this relationship up for success." Takaichi, Trump and Abe also signed baseball caps with the slogan 'JAPAN'S BACK'. Abe first used this catchphrase in his leadership campaign. Takaichi then adopted it for her own. Abe was the very first foreign leader who met Trump following his victory in 2016. This relationship blossomed during several rounds of golf played both in the United States as well as Japan. Takaichi, who may not be a golfer herself, said that she watched the first few innings with Trump of a Major League Baseball match before the formalities on Tuesday began. Analysts say that Takaichi could benefit from a relationship with Trump, the leader of Japan’s main security and trading partner. She would also be able to navigate Trump's sometimes erratic decisions which have surprised other world leaders. Takaichi's public support has risen since she became prime minister. However, her coalition is still two votes shy of a majority at the lower house of parliament. "This is a perfect opportunity for her to use her popularity to give her the room to make the small concessions she needs to solidify the relationship," Davidson stated. (Reporting and editing by Lincoln Feast; Additional reporting by Tim Kelly, Kiyoshi takenaka, John Geddie.
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MORNING BID EUROPE - Baseball, golf and Nobel Prizes
Wayne Cole gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. Today, U.S. president Donald Trump is in Tokyo. The talk revolves around baseball, golf, Nobel Peace Prizes and the odd deal involving rare earths. This is at least a welcome change from the usual invective of the trade war and it keeps the hope alive for a rapprochement between China and the United States later this week. The Asian markets have been able to consolidate the majority of Monday's gains, with all three indexes nearing record highs. Data showing that the economy exceeded forecasts for the third quarter was a major boost to the latter. China's Shanghai Index also broke through 4,000 for first time since 2015. Beijing has signed a free-trade agreement with Southeast Asian bloc ASEAN. The European and Wall Street Futures are largely flat. This is not surprising, given that the mega-caps have much to live up to this week. The Street is expecting high expectations, given that 85% of S&P companies have reported so far and surpassed the Street in EPS. Options suggest that share prices could move up or down by 6% depending on the results. Bonds and the dollar also await with bated breath to see how dovish or not the Federal Reserve will be on Wednesday. Investors are waiting to see if their bets on another cut in December and two next year will come true. Please, stop reducing the balance sheet of the Fed. Please, no more QT. The Bank of Japan is betting on no rate increase for Thursday. However, there is the risk that at least two members will vote in favor of a rate rise due to stubborn inflation. A real hike would trigger a massive sell-off of the dollar/yen. This suggests that the risk-averse BOJ may be laying the foundation for a tightening by December or January. The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Tuesday. - ECB bank lending survey Dallas Fed Services Survey, U.S. Conference Board Consumer confidence, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, August house prices
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Oil prices fall as OPEC plans to increase output offset US-China trade optimism
The oil prices fell Tuesday, as OPEC’s plan to increase output countered optimism over a possible U.S. China trade deal. Investors also weighed the effectiveness of sanctions against Russia. Brent crude futures dropped 3 cents at $35.59 per barrel by 0359 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell 5 cents to $61.26. ANZ's morning note stated that traders weighed progress in U.S. China trade talks as well as the broader outlook of supply. Four sources familiar with the discussions said that OPEC+ is in favor of a modest increase in output for December. This will act as a downward pressure on prices. After reducing production to support the oil markets for several years, the group began reversing these cuts in April. The prospect of a deal between President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, the two world's largest oil consumers, who are due to meet in South Korea on Thursday, is expected to support the market. Beijing hopes Washington will meet them halfway in order to "prepare high-level interaction" between the U.S. and China, said Foreign Minister Wang Yi during a telephone call with U.S. Sec. of State Marco Rubio on Monday. Brent and WTI both registered their largest weekly gains in June after Trump, for the first time during his second term, imposed sanctions against Russia related to Ukraine, targeting Lukoil, and Rosneft. Lukoil, Russia's 2nd largest oil producer, announced on Monday that it would be selling its international assets in response to the sanctions. The Russian company has taken the most significant action to date in response to the Western sanctions imposed over Russia's conflict in Ukraine that began in February 2022. Fatih Bibil, Executive Director of the International Energy Agency, said that sanctions against oil-exporting nations could increase crude prices but their effect would be limited due to surplus capacity. Participants on the market generally believed that sanctions would have a short-term effect. Haitong Securities stated in a report that any medium-to-long-term losses of supply looked limited and an oversupply was likely to put pressure on the prices. Ashitha Shivprasad reported from Bengaluru, and Sam Li from Beijing. Sonali Paul and Thomas Derpinghaus edited the article.
Report: Climate change is closing the window for fast-marathons.
New research, released in advance of the New York City Marathon on Sunday, shows that climate change will limit the opportunity for world-record performances.
Athletes are concerned that rising temperatures will change the face of running marathons. Some cities will be more affected than others. Last month, Berlin's marathon was held in temperatures that were unseasonal at 75 degrees Fahrenheit.
Climate Central, a non-profit organization based in the United States, found that 86% (or 221 global marathons) analysed for their dates of 2025 are expected to experience a decline of the odds of running optimally by 2045. This includes all seven Abbott World Marathon Majors.
Mhairi Mclennan said that the findings reflect the growing challenges for elite runners.
Maclennan stated that "at the elite level, the conditions can make or break performance." "We train every day for years, managing our lives in order to perform at our best. But that elusive goal keeps slipping away as the ideal temperature becomes rarer.
Climate change isn't only about the races getting harder. It's also about knowing that record performances may soon be beyond reach if conditions continue to get hotter.
The report identifies the'sweet spot" for marathon temperatures which supports peak performance. Men perform better in cooler temperatures (on average 4 degrees Celsius, or 39 degrees Fahrenheit), while women do better with warmer temperatures (10 C).
However, the report warns that global heating is making it increasingly difficult to find these conditions.
Tokyo has the highest probability of having ideal temperatures for male elite runners (69%) but also the greatest decline projected by 2045.
Heat waves in 2025 have already driven race-day temperatures above the thresholds for peak performance. However, starting races earlier can improve conditions modestly.
Catherine Ndereba, former world record holder in the sport, said that it was already adapting.
Kenyan Ndereba said that climate change had changed the marathon. He is a four-time Boston champion, two-time World Champion and a world champion.
Dehydration can be a serious problem, and even simple mistakes in calculations can cause a race to end before it has begun. Even the strongest steps will fail if we do not take care of our environment.
Ibrahim Hussein echoed this sentiment. He is the first Kenyan ever to win the New York Marathon and the Boston Marathon.
Hussein stated that "the climate is now part of the course." If we don't preserve it, future records and enjoyment will be less likely. Reporting by Martyn Davis Editing by Toby Davis
(source: Reuters)