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China solar market's record-breaking growth to stall in 2024

China's solar capability growth might slow in 2024 to 31%, a solar manufacturing association stated on Wednesday, after a record 55% boost last year as the market has problem with sustainable power overcapacity and curtailment.

China has the world's biggest sustainable power capability its breakneck growth has put a toll on the country's. transmission systems, forcing some plants to suppress output, a. condition called curtailment.

The world's largest manufacturer of solar modules and other. elements might include 190 gigawatts (GW) of brand-new solar capability in. 2024 under a conservative development estimate, down from a. record-breaking 216 GW in 2023, Wang Bohua, honorary chairman of. the China Photovoltaic Market Association (CPIA) stated at a. conference arranged by the industry group in Beijing.

Under a more optimistic circumstance, the market could develop. as much as 220 GW, all but flat with last year, Wang stated.

CPIA's deputy secretary Liu Yiyang stated at the event that. last year's 55% growth in solar capacity had caught the industry. by surprise, going beyond previous forecasts.

Wang's presentation showed that a minimum of 38.8 GW of planned. photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing capacity has been cancelled or. suspended, in addition to 3.2 GW of other solar components.

Jin Lei, director of the information technology division at. the Ministry of Industry and Infotech, stated some. planned investments have been cancelled or stopped briefly as an outcome of. the overcapacity, which has pressed solar component rates to. historical lows and caused task losses in the sector.

A CPIA analysis of 62 listed solar PV business discovered that. 19 are in the red, 5 more than in 2015.

The market is dealing with problems consisting of getting too hot and. blind growth that are seriously impacting the healthy. development of the sector, said Xing Yiteng, director of the. National Energy Administration's workplace of new energy.

To resolve the scenario, the modification of China's renewable. energy law will be a focus of the upcoming conference of the. National Individuals's Congress, Xing said.

Other challenges facing the industry include continued. problems for solar to obtain grid connections, curtailment,. and inadequate storage capability, along with global. trade barriers, conference participants stated.

Looking at the two biggest markets for China's solar. part exports, deliveries to Europe fell 14.6% in 2024, while. exports to Asian nations increased by 6.3%, Wang said.

Our PV market is still dealing with a severe international. circumstance, Lei told conference attendees.

(source: Reuters)