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After the army takeover, stability promised by President Embalo is undermined.

Umaro Sissoco Embalo, the President of Guinea-Bissau, struck a confident tone when he launched his reelection campaign in early November. He claimed that "stability" had been achieved since he assumed office in 2020.

Embalo told journalists that he was deposed ahead of the results to be announced Thursday. Army officers announced on Wednesday that they had been deposed on state television.

seized power

In the country prone to coups.

The unrest is consistent with Embalo’s turbulent tenure, during which his government attempted three coups.

Critics claim that, as long as the political instability continued, Embalo failed to control the notorious cocaine trade in the country or improve the health and education of the impoverished West African nation of around 2 million people.

The largest investments during this period were concentrated in the security and defence sectors. Meanwhile, the social areas of health and education were abandoned," said political analyst Rui Jose Semedo.

The rise of a turbulent political force

Embalo is a former army general who was 53 years old. He served in the administrations of previous presidents as a presidential advisor and minister before being named prime minister by President Jose Mario Vaz in 2016.

One of Vaz's seven appointed prime ministers, he lasted just a little over a year.

Embalo has been declared the winner of the presidential elections in 2019 after facing former Prime Minister Domingos Simos Pereira.

Opposition parties accused him of election fraud and questioned his legitimacy in office. Embalo denied these allegations.

Embalo claimed that the clashes which took place in the capital in 2022 were another attempt by the government to remove him.

In response, he dissolved the parliament and since then, the country has been without a lawmaking body.

The army has announced another new initiative for October.

Attempt to coup

This led to the arrest of a number of senior officers of the army.

Embalo, however, was considered to be in a good position to win a new term.

This is because Pereira, his main rival in the race for the presidency was banned from running. Also, legislative candidates of Pereira's African Party for the Independence of Guinea & Cape Verde (PAIGC), the party that led the struggle for independence against Portugal during the 1960s and 70s.

COCAINE TRADE BOOMS

Embalo, which has struck a deal to explore two offshore blocks with U.S. oil giant Chevron, optimistically promised a real change for villagers who are largely dependent upon cashew production.

He also praised the mineral wealth of the country, which includes bauxite.

The cocaine trade thrived under Embalo, as the country consolidated its position as an important transit point for drug smugglers shipping from South America into Europe.

In an operation supported by the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) and Portuguese Judicial Police, the police in the United States seized 2,63 metric tonnes of cocaine from South America last year at the main airport.

In a report published in August, the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime stated that "Bissau’s cocaine market has boomed once again and is arguably more profitable than any other time in the history of the country."

Fernando Dias (47), Embalo's main rival in the election this month, criticised Embalo for illicit trade. He said that the responsibility ultimately rested with the president.

"He is the leader of government." Dias stated that "nothing is done without his approval".

According to the electoral commission, more than 65% voters participated in Sunday's election. Analysts predicted that Embalo would win by a narrow margin.

Embalo Dias

Both claims

An outright win earlier this week. They claimed to have received more than half of the votes and therefore would avoid a runoff.

However, the army officers who claimed to have seized power announced that they suspended the electoral process and closed borders, as well as enforcing curfews, leaving Embalo’s vision of stabilization in tatters.

(source: Reuters)