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Emirates Global Aluminium claims Guinea terminated the deal in error
Emirates Global Aluminium announced on Wednesday that Guinean authorities had terminated a contract with its subsidiary Guinea Alumina Corporation after a dispute lasting a year over the construction of alumina refinery. Guinea's military regime GAC has suspended its bauxite West Africa's militarized states are increasingly focusing on exports and mining as part of their increasing aggressive They are also pushing to get more out of their natural resources. The junta that took power in 2021 is the second largest producer of bauxite ore, which is used to make aluminum. The miners demanded to be paid Present plans to build refineries to generate capital for country. EGA, which is owned equally by Abu Dhabi sovereign fund Mubadala, and Dubai sovereign fund Investment Corporation of Dubai said that they plan to seek remedies through international courts. In a statement, Abdulnasser Bin Kalban said that "these actions have made it impossible to continue GAC's operation and develop an alumina refining facility." GAC said it will proceed with the necessary redundancy process, which initially will affect more than 2,00 employees and contractors. Kalban said, "We've maintained GAC employees in difficult circumstances as long as we could." The government of Guinea did not respond immediately to a comment request. Despite Guinea's regulations, bauxite exports jumped The robust Chinese demand will drive a 36% increase to 99,8 million metric tonnes in the first half 2025. (Reporting and writing by Hadeel al Sayegh, Maxwell Akalaare Adombila, Editing by Bate Felis and Mark Porter).
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UK signs $10 billion clean energy investment agreement with Japan's Sumitomo Corp
The British government announced on Wednesday that it had reached an agreement with Japan's Sumitomo Corp to fund clean energy infrastructure, such as offshore wind projects and hydrogen, over the next ten years. Poppy Gustafsson, the Investment Minister announced the deal on a visit to Japan. She described Japan as a major trading partner. Gustafsson stated that Sumitomo had historically been a major investor in UK energy project and the new deal would "really increase the bar of ambition" for areas such as power grids or investments in wind farms. In an interview conducted before the trip, she said: "Everything we're doing... You quickly run into supply chain constraints. And they've been great partners in helping to unlock those constraints." There are real examples of how this capital is being used to support and build real projects. The Labour government is prioritising private sector support to help fund planned energy investments. Prime Minister Keir starmer wants to achieve net zero and boost Britain's anaemic economic growth. The announcement by Donald Trump of tariffs has complicated the situation. Britain has reached a deal with the United States to eliminate certain tariffs. Japan to face new tariffs Gustafsson stated that the international trading environment is now "front-of-mind" when making investment decisions. She said that Britain should be a "central hub for discussions" in an environment that is fragmented.
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EU lawmakers reject attempts to limit the influence of far-right politicians in climate talks
The European Parliament rejected on Wednesday a proposal for fast-tracking talks on the EU’s new climate goal, undermining a bid by liberals, socialists and greens to limit the influence climate sceptic legislators have on this goal. The far-right Patriots of Europe, which rejects EU policy to curb climate changes, took over the role of leading negotiators on Tuesday for the 2040 target. They were seeking to steer discussions on this goal, to which they said they strongly opposed. On Wednesday, lawmakers rejected a proposal to speed up the negotiation process. This would have bypassed the stages in which the Patriots had the most influence and restricted their ability to determine the timing of negotiations. Total 379 legislators rejected the plan for accelerating the talks. 300 lawmakers voted in favor and eight abstained. With this vote, the Patriots are now in the driving seat for the Parliament as it negotiates with EU members the final climate target 2040. Patriots will draft an initial negotiation proposal for the Parliament. Patriots spokesperson stated that the group will not prioritize meeting the September deadline by which countries must submit their new climate targets at the United Nations. "What is important is to reach a deal which delivers real benefits to our citizens." The spokesperson stated that Patriots had never negotiated like traders on a market. The Patriots is the third largest group of legislators in the EU Parliament. It includes the far-right parties of France’s Marine Le Pen, and Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban. EU officials said that the Patriots won the top negotiating position in a meeting held behind closed doors on Tuesday, by outbidding parliament's largest group, the centre right European People's Party. Green legislators expressed concern that the goal would be diluted or delayed. Michael Bloss, a German EU legislator, said that there is a danger the EU's climate goal will be forgotten. The EPP, the party of European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen, did not support the attempt to speed up the talks. Jeroen Lénaers, a Dutch EPP EU legislator, said that the group didn't deem the fast track procedure necessary and that it wanted to "improve", without providing any further details, the target set by the Commission to reduce emissions 90% by 2040. Some EPP legislators have stated that a target of 90% is too ambitious. This year, governments from Italy to Poland have been reluctant to adopt ambitious goals for reducing emissions. They cited concerns about the costs of industries.
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China is hit by extreme weather conditions including heat, landslides, and floods
On Wednesday, torrential rains were sweeping across large areas of China as Tropical Storm Danas dunked coastal tech hubs. Monsoonal rains in the interior unleashed flash floods and deadly landslides over an 1,400 km (870 mile) arc. A subtropical system of high pressure has been saturating the north-east coast and the central provinces in the $19 trillion US economy since last week. This is straining power grids, and parching crops. Extreme weather is a growing threat to the world's second largest economy, and meteorologists attribute it to climate change. The impact of extreme weather threatens to wipe out billions in commercial activity and deaths each year as old flood defences are overwhelmed. Infrastructure gaps, such as the lack of air conditioning, are also exposed. Chinese weather authorities warned residents to stay inside as Storm Danas, which had been downgraded from a Typhoon following the death of two people in Taiwan, began dumping water that it had collected over the South China Sea (or Taiwan Strait) on the coast provinces Zhejiang or Fujian. China's State Broadcasting said that Danas could bring up to 300 millimetres of rain (30 centimetres in some areas), closing schools and putting officials on high alert along the rivers feeding important ports in Fuzhou and Xiamen. On Flood Alert The Danas residual vortex, and the large amount of water that it carries, could still cause havoc in south China, where rapid urbanisation sealed vast tracts of land under impermeable cement. This risk was realized 1,500 km away, in Yibin in the southwest Sichuan Province, where more than 6,000 people had to be evacuated after 14 hours rain. CCTV, the state broadcaster, showed firefighters rescuing residents from rising water in lower floors of apartment blocks. CCTV reported that heavy rains in Zhaotong (about a 3-hour drive away from Yibin) forced the evacuation of more than 7,000 residents. Five people went missing. In one county, 227.8mm of rain fell in 24 hours. This is the highest amount recorded since 1958. Over 300 people were forced to relocate after a flash flooding near the foothills the Himalayas, in China's Tibet. The flood was caused by the Gyirong river bursting its bank. Authorities in Shijiazhuang, in Hebei Province, activated emergency flood protocol after districts in the city received more than 100 mm of rain overnight. HEATWAVES On Wednesday, the subtropical system, which straddles the monsoonal cloud bands in China's interior with the Danas rain bands, continued to hover over central China, the eastern seaboard from Shanghai to Beijing, and brought near-record temperatures to the megacities of Shanghai Wuhan and Changsha. After reports of heatstroke deaths in the last week, people were advised to stay hydrated and avoid going out during the hottest part of the day. China does not keep an official record of deaths due to heat, but domestic media sometimes report on fatalities by citing local authorities. The country experienced a 79 day heatwave in 2022 from mid-June until late August - the worst since 1961. In 2023, a study published in The Lancet reported that over 50,000 deaths were caused by heat that year. (Reporting and editing by Saad sayeed and Bernadettebaum; Reporting and Editing by Joe Cash & Ethan Wang)
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The final rush to move metal across the border will be sparked by Trump's copper tariffs
In the next few weeks, copper shipments to the United States will likely increase in an effort to meet President Donald Trump's 50% tariff on imported metal that is higher than expected. Trump announced the tariffs on copper on a Tuesday. U.S. Comex futures rose more than 12%, reaching a new record high. U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick stated that the tariff would be implemented by the end or beginning of August. The deadline puts an end to a playbook that has been in use for months. Traders have taken metal from warehouses all over the world to ship it to the U.S., hoping to profit on a premium of around $2600 per metric tonne early on Wednesday. Analysts and traders say that with only three weeks to go, only those cargoes on the water already or from Latin America are likely to arrive in time. "Shipments on their way to the U.S. are likely to try and get there even if they haven't yet, so the ex-U.S. market shouldn't be faced with excess cargoes right away." It will be harder to ship extra cargoes within a three week window, Morgan Stanley analysts said in a report. According to a Chinese copper dealer who spoke under condition of anonymity, Chilean producers that have Chinese contracts will likely increase their practice of sending Comex-eligible stocks to the U.S. instead of sending other brands to China. Analysts and traders said that the final rush may mean continued tightness in the U.S., during the sprint to the deadline for tariffs. After the deadline, the U.S. gravitational pull will lessen, allowing supplies elsewhere. Analysts at J.P. Morgan say that the U.S. imported enough copper to last a full year in the past six-month period. They predict that imports will continue to fall even after tariffs are implemented as users use up their stockpiles. Prices of copper on the London Metal Exchange as well as the Shanghai Futures Exchange Just over 1% of the population has declined In the hours following Trump's announcement. Citi predicts that copper prices outside of the U.S. are likely to drop to $8,800 a ton in the next three-months. Benchmark copper prices on the LME were trading at $9.603 per metric ton as of 0941 GMT. The tightness on the global copper markets, where demand continues outstrips supply, will likely limit any possible decline. According to Zhao Yongcheng of benchmark mineral intelligence, "Copper prices are under pressure on the SHFE, but will likely rebound once U.S. Copper Tariffs are finalised, as fundamentals are tight in the near-term."
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Oil and stocks gain as traders ignore Trump's tariff news
The European stock market rose on Wednesday, as traders appeared unconcerned about the announcement by U.S. president Donald Trump that he will impose a tariff of 50% on imported copper. He also announced he would introduce levies up to 200% on pharmaceuticals. Trump's remarks on Tuesday caused the price of Copper to reach record highs, and Wall Street to close down. The equity markets quickly shrugged the news off. Asian stocks were mixed over night and the MSCI World Equity Index rose 0.1% at 0956 GMT. The London FTSE 100 rose 0.2%, while the pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.8%. Wall Street futures showed that the gains would continue, with S&P and Nasdaq both up 0.1%. The U.S. Dollar Index was unchanged at 97.567, and the euro dropped 0.1% to $1.1714. The dollar reached its highest level against the yen in over two weeks, with Japan, which depends on exports, being the most far away from a deal between Washington and Washington among the major U.S. trade partners. U.S. Copper Futures have risen by over 10%, reaching a new record, after Trump threatened to increase duties on this metal, which is essential for electric vehicles, military equipment, the power grid, and many consumer products. The traders are waiting for further developments in Trump’s trade war, following his announcement on Monday to 14 countries that they would face sharply increased tariffs after the new deadline of August 1st. Trump said that he "probably" would tell the European Union in two days the rate at which it can expect to receive its exports from the United States. The EU has struggled to obtain immediate tariff relief and an agreement from the U.S. not to introduce any new measures. This is according to the head of the European Parliament’s Trade Committee, who has been negotiating for the bloc. On Wednesday Investors are worried that tariffs could increase inflation and slow down economic growth. They will be watching the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest meeting, which will be released on Wednesday. Amelie Derambure is a senior multi-assets portfolio manager at Amundi. She said: "We are in the dark about tariffs because it's difficult to know their impact on the end-inflation or the margins of U.S. corporations, or on corporates in general." The uncertainty is enormous. Derambure stated that although equity markets expect tariffs to manageable, and are supported by the underlying expectation of growth. The impact of tariffs can be seen through the rising yields of fixed income. The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds rose Tuesday and the auction for three-year Treasury notes saw a weak demand. Treasury will be selling $39 billion of 10-year bonds on Wednesday, and $22 billion of 30-year bonds on Friday. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell back to 4.4072% early Wednesday morning, down from its peak of 4.435% that was reached Tuesday, which marked its highest level in over three weeks. The benchmark German 10-year yield was 2.637%. Gold is in its third consecutive day of declines. It was down 0.3% for the day, at $3,290 an ounce. Brent crude futures rose by 0.4% to $70.42.
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India's iron pellet makers want to curb Iranian imports through Oman
Sources and an analyst have said that India's iron pellet makers have asked the government to curtail a surge of imports via Oman. They claim the products are from Iran, despite U.S. sanction, and warned the cheaper supplies may hurt the local industry. Lalit Ladkat of the London-based CRU Group told us that India is the third largest iron ore producer in terms of metric tonnage. However, imports between 2021-2024 were negligible, Lalit Ladkat said. Ladkat stated that the majority of these pellets were of Iranian origin, and they were shipped via Oman in order to avoid sanctions. Ladkat stated that the surge in imports was driven by higher prices for pellets at home and the availability cheaper, high quality Iranian pellets. One of the sources who was involved in this matter declined to identify themselves as the discussions were not made public. The ministry didn't respond to an email asking for comments. The Pellet Manufacturers' Association of India (PMAI), in a letter to the Ministry, said that even though the pellet imports had been shown to come from Oman, "there were doubts about the country of origin/manufacture as it was understood that this country did not produce pellets." PMAI reported that due to the increasing imports, domestic pellet producers are only operating at 69% capacity. Manish Kharbanda told PMAIm that the country of Oman's origin is questionable. In 2019, Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Iran that targeted the Islamic Republic's industrial metals export revenue. Steelmaking uses both iron ore and pellets of iron ore. India's steel demand is driven by a robust steel production that is underpinned by the growth of infrastructure, construction and the automobile sector. India's steel consumption in April and May of 2025/26 was 25.1 million tons, an increase of 7.1% compared to a year ago. Meanwhile, crude steel production increased by 9.5%, reaching 26.9 millions metric tons. (Reporting and editing by Mayank Bhardwaj, Kim Coghill and Mayank Bhardwaj; Additional reporting from Sarah El Safty and Manoj Kumar at New Delhi; and Manvi Pan in Bengaluru.)
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Indian equity benchmarks fall as Reliance and metals losses outpace consumer growth
India's equity benchmarks dipped on Wednesday, as Reliance Industries losses and metals outweighed gains in consumer stocks. Investors remained on hold amid uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade tariffs. The Nifty 50 dropped 0.18% to 25,476.1, while the BSE Sensex fell 0.21% to 83 536.08. The mid-caps fell 0.1%, while the small-caps gained 0.6%. Reliance Industries, a heavyweight in the Nifty 50, fell by 1.2% following reports that its telecom arm Reliance Jio Platforms will not launch a stock offering this year, as planned. This delayed one of India's biggest anticipated stock offerings. On Tuesday, U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he will impose a tariff of 50% on imported copper. He also said he will implement the long-promised levies against semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. Trump said that the U.S. would "pretty quickly" impose a 10% duty on imports coming from BRICS countries, putting India in the firing line. However, the president's remarks did not affect domestic markets, apart from a 3,3% drop in Hindustan Copper. After Trump's tariff threat, the stock price of copper fell. The surprise factor regarding tariffs is over. Investors do not feel that this situation requires immediate action," stated U.R. Bhat, cofounder of Alphaniti Fintech. Metals fell 1.4% due to losses at Vedanta Steel and Tata Steel. Vedanta dropped 3.4% after Viceroy Research announced that it had taken a short-position against Vedanta Resource, the UK parent company of the Indian miner. Viceroy Research said that the British company is "systematically draining its Indian unit". Tata Steel fell 1.8% after reporting weak volumes in the first quarter. FMCG stocks led sectoral gains with a 0.8% increase. Hindustan Unilever, Varun Beverages and Jefferies' "contrarian picks" in India's consumer goods sector were the main drivers of this rise. It said: "We see a limited downside, but a meaningful up side in the event of (a turnaround)." Varun Beverages and Hindustan Unilever both rose by 1.7%.
OPEC, IEA at the majority of divided on oil demand considering that at least 2008
Producer group OPEC and the International Energy Agency, the world's most carefully seen forecasters of oil demand development, are further apart than they have actually been for a minimum of 16 years in their views on fuel usage, according to research study.
The gap in between the IEA, which represents industrialised nations, and the Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries indicates the 2 are sending divergent signals to traders and investors on oil market strength in 2024 and, for the longer term, about the speed of the world's transition to cleaner fuels.
In February this year, the IEA predicted demand will increase by 1.22 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, while in its February report OPEC anticipated 2.25 million bpd. The distinction has to do with 1% of world need.
The IEA has a very strong perception that the energy transition will move ahead at a much faster speed, Neil Atkinson, a previous head of the IEA's Oil Markets Department, said.
Both firms have boxed themselves in with a position, which is why they have this massive gulf in demand projections.
To set the distinction in context, evaluated the modifications each company has actually made to its oil need projections from 2008 to 2023, and the very first 2 months of this year.
The duration was picked to offer a long adequate time series to draw conclusions and since it consisted of extreme volatility in oil demand, starting with the 2008 financial crisis and ending with the 2020 pandemic and subsequent need recovery.
International oil futures struck an all-time high of almost $ 150 a barrel in July 2008, compared to roughly $80 now.
' analysis of 16 years of IEA and OPEC monthly reports discovered the 1.03 million bpd space in February was the most significant in per-barrel terms in that period.
The IEA, inquired about the gap between the two companies' 2024 projections and whether it saw its projections as more accurate than OPEC's, said this year's demand slowdown totaled up to a go back to the growth trends seen before the pandemic, and the slowdown is already visible in oil deliveries information.
We anticipate this to continue this year, with mobility signs suggesting that roadway and air traffic are stabilising, the IEA said, including it could not talk about other organisations' projections.
OPEC, also asked to talk about the gap and whether it saw its projections as more accurate, stated its 2023 need development projection of 2.5 million bpd was only somewhat below its preliminary number given up July 2022.
We have actually been extremely steady with our 2023 oil need projection. Numerous other forecasters started low and then constantly modified up their 2023 forecast, OPEC's Vienna secretariat said, without discussing 2024.
IEA GREEN SHIFT
OPEC and the IEA likewise disagree over the medium term. The IEA expects oil demand to peak by 2030 as the world switches to cleaner fuels. OPEC dismisses that view.
OPEC on Monday restated its projection out to 2045 does not see a peak, mentioning anticipated growth outside industrialised Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Advancement countries and pushback on some preliminary net-zero policies.
The IEA, formed 50 years back as the industrialised world's. energy guard dog has moved its focus on oil and gas supply. security to promoting renewables and climate action. For some. OPEC members, this undermines its function as an unbiased. authority.
They have moved from being a forecaster and assessor of the. market to one practising political advocacy, Saudi Arabia's. Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said last September.
IEA members are mainly big energy customers and the. federal governments of much of them have chosen to accelerate the. development of renewable energy to accelerate the shift toward a. low-carbon economy.
They are aiming to their energy watchdog to show them how. to arrive, experts state. OPEC members by contrast, which. depend on fossil fuel revenue, face potentially devastating. financial repercussions from a quick transition far from oil.
The analysis found the 2 bodies' projections have connected. statistically in terms of forecast accuracy, making it difficult to. say which will be best based upon the performance history.
Please click TABLE to see the IEA and OPEC projections. used.
likewise gathered estimates from 26 analysts at banks. and research firms of 2024 demand growth. The mean of these. estimates is 1.3 million bpd, or closer to the IEA view.
Of 20 analyst actions on the question of whether need. will peak by 2030, 12 analysts said no, suggesting OPEC is seen. as more likely to be best on this point.
UPWARD REVISIONS
Like all financial forecasts, oil need forecasts are. subject to modification and impacted by numerous events that are. impossible to visualize.
Information on physical oil usage takes time to emerge, contributing to the. difficulty.
According to the IEA, demand growth will cut in half in 2024. Partially as a result of a thriving electric vehicle fleet. since January the firm had modified upwards the 2024 need. development forecast for 3 straight months.
Amrita Sen, creator of Energy Aspects, stated that the IEA. tended to modify its demand upwards, as did Atkinson.
I 'd say the IEA's oil need projections keep getting revised. greater, Sen said. Peak oil need will likely be higher than. the IEA projections.
The analysis discovered that over 2008-2023 the IEA. under-estimated total need in its preliminary projection 56% of the. time compared to 50% of the time by OPEC - not a big. difference.
Atkinson said that although both firms have anticipated. need developments properly, like Sen of Energy Aspects he. thought OPEC was more likely to be ideal on the issue of need. peaking this years.
At different times in history, the IEA and OPEC have both. called it quite well, he said. I think the IEA are premature. in calling for a demand peak by 2030 due to growth in establishing. nations.
(source: Reuters)