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Decreased refining capability, sanctions require Russia to cut oil output

Russia on Sunday revealed extra voluntary cuts in oil supply primarily in the type of production cuts rather than exports, as it faced curtailed refining capacity as well as stricter sanctions, experts said.

Russia has actually declared strategies to cut its oil output and exports by an additional 471,000 barrels each day (bpd) in April-June in coordination with some OPEC+ getting involved nations.

While the world's second-largest oil exporter has been lowering 500,000 bpd in exports of petroleum and oil items in the very first quarter, it has decided to reduce export limits in the second quarter and focus on production curbs instead.

Russia has suffered many outages and drone attacks at its large oil refineries since the start of the year amidst the dispute with Ukraine.

Among the oil processing plants, which have minimized output, are Rosneft-owned Tuapse, Lukoil's Volgograd and NORSI refineries along with Novatek's fuel processing and transhipment complex at the Baltic Sea port of Ust-Luga.

Maintenance at the NORSI oil refinery will likely take a couple of months, according to federal government authorities.

Contributing to the oil excess will be seasonal maintenance work at Russian refineries in the spring and autumn. Fuel production throughout these months generally decreases, and petroleum exports increase.

Ronald Smith, a senior expert with BCS brokerage in Moscow, stated that Russia has little storage capacity for crude oil in order to be able to control exports.

I can just assume that a signal of oil output cuts relative to exports is indeed simply a signal that the refinery repair work will take a few months, which is anticipated, he said.

Russia plans to gradually ease the export cuts, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated in a statement on Sunday.

In April, it will decrease output by an extra 350,000 bpd, with exports cut by 121,000 bpd. In May, the extra output cut will be 400,000 bpd and exports cut by 71,000 bpd. In June, all the extra cuts will be from oil output, he included.

Viktor Kurilov, a senior analyst at oil and gas consultancy Rystad Energy, said it was extremely most likely th?t the Middle Eastern partners requested a larger contribution of Russia to the OPEC+. production cut.

Russia had actually revised up its oil exports for last month due to. more available crude amidst decreased refining capability.

The concentrate on production may likewise be related to the truth. that there is volatility in the structure of Russian oil and oil. item exports, he stated.

Maybe, therefore, it is not a reliable practice to. impose strict restrictions on oil and oil items exports under. present conditions.

The West has likewise enforced comprehensive sanctions versus the. Russian oil trade, while the United States likewise last month. imposed sanctions on Moscow's leading tanker group Sovcomflot. , further hindering Russian oil exports.

(source: Reuters)