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Russian drones and missiles injure 11, kill 1 in Kyiv
Russian drones, missiles, and explosions caused fires in Kyiv's districts early Saturday morning, according to officials. One person was killed and 11 others injured. This was the second attack in four days on the Ukrainian capital. On Tuesday, seven people were killed when Russian forces fired a barrage with drones and missiles. Tymur Tkachenko said that six locations in Kyiv, a city of three million people, were struck by explosions on Saturday. Apartment buildings and other dwellings were also affected. The military administration reported that the remains of a resident were recovered from the rubble in an apartment building which had been set on fire. The same building was also the site of a child's rescue. Vitali Klitschko, the mayor of the city of Kiev, said that a strike also caused a fire to start in the lower levels of an apartment building west of the centre. A second fire was also quickly put out in the central district. After 5 am (0300 GMT), a new alert was sent out in the capital for drones approaching. Online pictures showed an apartment building on fire, and emergency crews working in the streets and alongside damaged buildings. (Reporting and editing by Ron Popeski, Diane Craft, Tom Hogue and Chris Reese)
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Rosneft, Russia's oil company reports 70% drop in nine-month net profit
Rosneft, Russia's biggest oil producer, reported a 70% drop in net income from January to September, falling by $3.57 billion or 277 billion Russian roubles. The company attributed the decline to high interest rates and cheaper oil, as well as a stronger rouble. Shell and TotalEnergies have seen their quarterly profits fall due to lower oil prices. Rosneft stated that the increased "anti-terror" security was putting additional pressure on its results. The company didn't elaborate on specific security measures. Ukraine has increased drone attacks against Russia's energy infrastructure. Rosneft reported that its revenues dropped 17.8% to 6.29 trillion rubles in the first nine-month period of the year. The high key interest rate of the Bank of Russia continues to negatively impact the profit. Rosneft also said that non-monetary factors and special events had a negative impact on the indicator's dynamic during the reporting period. EBITDA (earnings before taxes, depreciation, and amortization) decreased by 29.3% for the period to 1.6 trillion Russian roubles.
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Petrobras cost-cutting could affect new wells in the Equatorial Margin Region
Petrobras' CEO stated on Friday that the company could reconsider some of its 15 planned wells in the "Equatorial Margin" because Brent oil prices will likely remain low for the next few years. Petrobras has cut its investment plans for the period 2026-2030 by $500 million up to $2.5 billion. Magda Chambriard, Petrobras' Chief Executive Officer, said at a recent press conference that "we had a large number of wells in the Equatorial margin; some were prioritised, while others were, say, deprioritized based on the Brent crude oil price." She did not specify how many wells would be examined. Petrobras is drilling in an environmentally sensitive region off the coast Amapa, known as Foz do Amazonas. Fernando Melgarejo, the Chief Financial Officer of Petrobras, told journalists that the company's cuts would also affect the extraordinary dividends paid to shareholders. He said the likelihood of distributing extra cash is low in the future. Chambriard stated that despite the cuts, Petrobras will maintain its oil production around 2.6 or 2.7 millions barrels per day up until 2034, after ramping it back up in 2027. Petrobras' new business plan expects it to reach a peak oil production level in five years. Reporting by Fabio Téixeira and Marta Nogueira from Rio de Janeiro, writing by Andre Romani and editing by Kyrry Madry and Paul Simao
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Silver sets new record for silver; gold heads to fourth consecutive monthly gain
Gold spot rose 1% on Friday to a new two-week-high, amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the coming months. Silver also hit a record high. Gold spot was up by 1.3% at $4,210.94 an ounce as of 03:11 pm EST (20:11 GMT) after hitting its highest price in November 13 earlier this morning. Bullion is expected to rise 5.2% for the month and 3.6% for the week, marking a fourth consecutive increase. Silver reached a new record high at $56.78 an ounce. This is up 6.1% in the session, and 16.6% over the course of the month. After an outage that lasted for several hours at CME, trading in foreign exchange, commodities and futures, including Treasuries, stocks, and Treasuries, resumed around 8 a.m. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery settled 1.3% higher, at $4.254.9 an ounce. INVESTORS FOCUS ON FED Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that some investors are returning to gold because they believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates. Gold is more likely to perform well when interest rates are low. The recent dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, and New York Fed president John Williams, coupled with the softer economic data after the recent U.S. Government shutdown, has strengthened expectations that central bank rates will be cut next month. The traders now see 87% of a chance that the rate will be cut in December. This is up from 50% just last week. Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He said that "the technical charts have become more bullish over the last week or two, which has encouraged chart-based investors to bet on the long side of silver." This week, gold demand in major Asian markets was muted as high prices slowed retail purchases despite the beginning of India's festive season. The removal of the tax exemption for gold purchases in China has slowed consumer demand. Palladium gained 0.8%, to $1450.16, and is set to gain 5.6% for the week. Platinum rose 4%, to $1672.50. (Reporting from Bengaluru by Pablo Sinha; Additional reporting by Sarah Qureshi, Editing by Rod Nickel and Paul Simao; Vijay Kishore).
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Silver sets new record for silver; gold heads to fourth consecutive monthly gain
Gold spot rose 1% on Friday to a new two-week-high, amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the coming months. Silver also hit a record high. Gold spot was up 1.6% at $4,222 an ounce as of 01:44 pm EST (18.44 GMT), the highest price since 11 November. It was also set to gain 3.9% per week. Bullion is on course to record a 5.5% increase this month and is set for its fourth monthly gain. Silver reached a new record high at $56.52 an ounce. This is a 5.5% increase for the session, and a 16% gain for the entire month. After an outage that lasted for several hours at CME, trading in foreign exchange, commodities and futures, including Treasuries, stocks, and Treasuries, resumed around 8 a.m. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery settled 1.3% higher, at $4.254.9 an ounce. INVESTORS ARE FOCUSED UPON THE FED Bart Melek is the global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that some investors are returning to gold because they believe rates will be cut by the Federal Reserve. Gold is more likely to perform well when interest rates are low. The recent dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, and New York Fed president John Williams, coupled with the softer economic data after the recent U.S. Government shutdown, has strengthened expectations that central bank rates will be cut next month. The traders now see 87% of a chance that the rate will be cut in December. This is up from 50% just last week. Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He said that "the technical charts have become more bullish over the last week or two, which has invited chart-based investors to be on the long side of silver." This week, gold demand in major Asian markets was muted as high prices curbed the retail buying of the precious metal despite India's wedding season. The removal of the tax exemption for gold purchases in China has slowed consumer demand. Palladium rose 0.5%, to $1.445.20, and is set to gain 5.2% for the week. Platinum was up 3.2% at $1,659.83. (Reporting from Pablo Sinha, Bengaluru Editing done by Rod Nickel and Paul Simao)
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Adani, an Indian company, wants to invest up to $5 billion in Google's data centers to take part in the AI boom
Adani Group, owned by Alphabet, plans to invest $5 billion into Google's India AI Data Centre Project, an executive revealed on Friday. The company is looking to capitalize on the booming demand in data capacity across the world's largest nation. Google announced in October that it would invest $15 Billion over five years in the state of Andhra Pradesh to build an artificial intelligence data center. This is its largest investment in India. AI demands enormous computing power. This is driving demand for data centres with thousands of chips linked together in clusters. Adani Group CFO Jugeshinder Singh stated that the Google project may mean an investment up to $5 billion in Adani Connex, a joint venture of Adani Enterprises with private data centre operator EdgeConneX. Singh told reporters Friday that "It is not only Google. There are many parties who would like to collaborate with us, particularly when the capacity of our data centres goes up to gigawatts and beyond." Google has committed to investing about $85 billion in expanding data centres capacity this year. Tech companies are investing heavily in infrastructure as they try to meet the demand for AI-based services. The Indian billionaires Mukesh and Gautam Ambani also announced investments to build data centres. The campus of the data centre in Visakhapatnam, a port city, will initially have a power capacity of one gigawatt. $1 = 89.3660 Indian Rupees (Reporting and editing by Kevin Liffey; Harshita Pandya, Dhwani Pandya)
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Silver sets new record for silver; gold heads to fourth consecutive monthly gain
Silver also hit a new record high. Spot gold rose by 1% on Friday to a 2-week high, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the coming months. By 12:10 pm EST (1710 GMT), spot gold had risen 1.3% to $4210.49 an ounce, its highest price in two weeks. It was also set for a weekly gain of 3.4%. Bullion is on course to record a 5% increase this month and is set for a fourth consecutive monthly rise. Silver reached a new record high of 56.41 dollars per ounce. This is a 5.3% gain for the session, and a 15.2% increase for the month. After an outage that lasted for several hours at CME, trading in the currency platform, as well as futures covering foreign exchange, commodities and Treasuries, resumed around 8:15 a.m. U.S. Gold futures for delivery in February rose by 1%, to $4245.70 an ounce. INVESTORS FOCUSED UPON FED Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that some investors are returning to gold because they believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates. Gold does well in environments with low interest rates. Recent dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, New York Fed president John Williams and softer economic data after the recent U.S. Government shutdown have increased expectations that the central banks will reduce rates next month. The traders now see 87% of a chance that the rate will be cut in December. This is up from 50% just last week. Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst with Kitco Metals. He said that "the technical charts of silver have become more bullish over the last week or two, which invites chart-based traders to be on the long side in the silver market." The demand for gold was muted across the major Asian markets during this week as high prices discouraged retail purchases despite India's wedding season. The removal of the tax exemption for gold purchases in China has slowed consumer demand. Platinum rose 3.2%, to $1659.02 and was up 10% on the week. Palladium rose 1.3%, to $1456.68, for a gain of 6%. (Reporting from Pablo Sinha, Bengaluru Editing done by Rod Nickel and Paul Simao.)
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Eskom's South Africa sees its annual profit match last year after a strong first half
Eskom, the South African power utility, said that it expects this year's profits to be similar to those of last year. This is after a good first half-year helped by higher rates and lower financing costs. Eskom's profit was 16 billion rands after taxes last year. This is its first profit for a full year in eight years. The profit came after Eskom drastically reduced the number of recurring blackouts, which have been holding back Africa's largest economy for over a decade. A multi-year bailout by the government and a dramatic turnaround in performance at its coal-fired energy stations have been key factors in its financial recovery. Eskom made a profit of 24.3 billion rand (1.4 billion dollars) in the first six months of the current financial year. This coincided with winter months in the Southern Hemisphere, when Eskom sells a lot more electricity and performs less maintenance on its plants. Eskom stated that the results showed that last year's profits were not an isolated event. The average tariff increased by 12.7%, helping to boost revenue to 191.3 billion rand in the six-month period ending September. Due to lower interest rates, and debt levels, net finance costs dropped by 14% to 15,3 billion rand. The amount of money owed to struggling municipalities has increased from 90.1 billion rand in the previous year to 105 billion. Eskom reported that power cuts only occurred on four days during the six-month period covered in its latest results. When power cuts in 2023 reached record levels, outages occurred on more than 300 of the 365 days. Former state monopoly still dominates the electricity market in the country. It generates most of its power through coal-fired facilities, but also has a small number of smaller plants that use diesel or water to produce energy.
Oil funds temper bearishness after OPEC+ reassurance: Kemp
Portfolio financiers last week repurchased a few of the petroleum they had sold the week before after Saudi Arabia and its OPEC+ allies stressed any future production boosts would be contingent on market conditions.
Hedge funds and other cash managers purchased the equivalent of 80 million barrels in the 6 crucial petroleum futures and alternatives contracts over the seven days ending on June 11.
Purchases reversed about 40% of the 194 million barrels sold the week before after OPEC+ stunned financiers by announcing plans to begin increasing production from the start of October.
In the most current week, the purchasing wave was led by crude ( +68 million barrels), spread in between NYMEX and ICE WTI (+42. million) and Brent (+26 million), reversing a few of the heavy. sales a week earlier.
There was some considerable purchasing in European gas oil (+17. million barrels) but no change in U.S. fuel and even more. sales in U.S. diesel (-5 million).
Chartbook: Oil and gas positions
Post-meeting rundowns to chosen media and experts. resolved fears OPEC+ would flood the market with additional barrels. from the fourth quarter of 2024.
The outcome was that costs rebounded to pre-meeting levels. while positions were somewhat however not totally restored.
Even after the round-trip, however, fund positions stay. extremely bearish for all parts of the petroleum complex with the. partial exception of European gas oil.
The combined position across all six contracts of 288. million barrels remained in just the 6th percentile for all weeks. considering that 2013. Bullish long positions outnumbered bearish short. ones by a ratio of just 1.96:1 (11th percentile).
Positions across the complex were consistently bearish (25-49th. percentiles) or really bearish (24th percentile and below) revealing. extremely little confidence among investors rates will increase later. this year.
The huge overhang of extra capability held by OPEC+. members in addition to continued production development from the United. States, Canada, Brazil and Guyana are anticipated to limit price. increases in crude.
On the fuel side, inventories of both fuel and diesel. have actually been increasing relative to the seasonal trend in the United. States, and consumption growth for fuels remains lukewarm throughout. The United States And Canada, Europe and China.
U.S. NATURAL GAS
Investors became more bullish about the outlook for gas. rates in the United States despite the restricted development made so. far in diminishing the enormous stocks rollovered from the. mild winter of 2023/24.
Hedge funds and other cash managers bought the. equivalent of 332 billion cubic feet (bcf) in the 2 significant. futures and options agreements connected to rates at Henry Center in. Louisiana over the 7 days ending on June 11.
Fund supervisors have been net buyers in 6 of the last. eight weeks purchasing a total of 1,607 bcf because April 16,. according to records submitted with the U.S. Product Futures. Trading Commission.
Funds have actually raised their position to a net long of 1,123 bcf,. in the 59th percentile for all weeks since 2010, from a web. short position of 483 bcf on April 16, in just the 19th. percentile.
As an outcome, the hedge fund community had actually built one of the most. bullish position in gas for more than a year because April 2023.
Increased bullishness has come even though inventories. remain well above normal for the time of year and reveal just. limited if any normalisation.
Stocks were 605 bcf (+26% or +1.47 standard deviations). above the prior ten-year seasonal average on June 7. The surplus. had actually narrowed just slightly from 662 bcf (+40% or +1.47 standard. variances) on March 15.
But investors are wagering drilling and production cuts. revealed in February will ultimately eliminate the surplus,. with summertime heatwaves, increased gas-fired generation, and. much faster LNG exports accelerating the process.
Associated columns:
- U.S. refining margins plunge as fuel stocks climb (June 13,. 2024)
- OPEC? surprise set off record hedge fund oil sales( June. 10, 2024)
- OPEC? switches strategy to safeguard market share (June 4,. 2024)
John Kemp is a market expert. The views expressed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)