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Gold set to suffer its biggest weekly loss since 2006 as inflation fears fuelled by the Iran War

Gold was set to suffer its?largest weekly loss in six weeks on Friday as the escalating U.S. Iran conflict pushed up oil prices. This increased inflationary pressures, and strengthened the case for higher U.S. rates. Gold spot was up 0.3% to $3,980.64 an ounce at 0455 GMT. It had touched its lowest level since July 1, earlier in the day. U.S. Gold futures for August delivery fell 0.2% to $3,984.10. Metal prices have fallen 3.4% this week. This is the biggest drop since June 1. The ongoing Middle East tensions are outweighing support provided by softer U.S. inflation figures released this week.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that despite the lower CPI and PPI numbers, traders couldn't rejoice over the lower inflation figures because of the recent spike in oil prices.

"Geopolitical risk in the Middle East is still present, and inflation and yield fears are the predominant forces that hold gold back." Iran and the United States traded intensifying fire Thursday, in a weeklong escalation which has largely undone last month's ceasefire. The limited oil flow out of the Strait of Hormuz has caused the price of oil to rise by about 12% this week. Tehran asked the Houthi movement to be ready to close the Red Sea export route.

Oil prices are on the rise, which could increase inflation fears and interest rate increases. In a high interest rate environment, non-yielding assets like gold tend to struggle as investors gravitate towards assets that offer higher returns. Lorie Logan, the Dallas Federal Reserve president, became the first new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh colleague to publicly call for a rate increase. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said he was also 'open to raising rates in the event of a near-term inflation improvement.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 73% probability of an interest rate hike for December. Silver spot?fell by 0.6%, to $55.20 an ounce. Platinum lost 1.1%, to $1.599.17. Palladium slipped 0.4%, to $1.244.16. All three metals are headed for a loss this week. (Reporting from Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru and Swati verma; Editing from Subhranshu Sahu and Sherry Jacob Phillips)

(source: Reuters)