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Gold gains continue after US and Iran peace agreement

Gold gains continue after US and Iran peace agreement
Gold gains continue after US and Iran peace agreement

Gold rose by more than 2% on Monday, after U.S. officials and Iranian officials announced that they had reached a preliminary agreement to end the war. This lowered oil prices and eased concerns about inflation and rising interest rates.

Gold spot rose 2.3%, to $4,316.03 an ounce, by 0730 GMT. This was its highest level since the 9th of June and extended gains for a 3rd straight session. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose?2.3% at $4,337.20.

U.S. officials and Iranian officials announced on Sunday that they had reached an agreement on a framework for ending their war, stopping the U.S.'s blockade of Iran, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Shehbaz sharif, the Pakistani prime minister, said on X that the pact would be signed in Switzerland on?Friday.

The U.S. Dollar fell to its lowest level in 10 days, making bullion priced in greenbacks?cheaper' for holders of other currencies, while oil prices dropped more than 4%.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that lower oil prices and a softer currency, resulting from reduced geopolitical risks, as well as the reopening of Strait of Hormuz are helping to reduce inflation expectations.

The combination of the two has provided the precious metals with the best tailwinds in recent weeks. However, the sustainability will depend on the durability of the peace agreement.

Since the start of the U.S./Israeli war on Iran, in late February, gold prices have dropped by about 20%. Global oil prices have risen sharply since the Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed. This has sparked inflation fears and raised expectations that interest rates will remain high for longer.

Bullion is a non-yielding investment and therefore loses its appeal in a high interest rate environment.

According to CME FedWatch, the market has reduced expectations of a U.S. interest rate increase in December from 69% to 51% following?the peace agreement.

Investors are now awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy announcement and remarks on Wednesday. Rates are expected to remain the same.

"Currency debasement fears, fiscal risks and the ongoing geopolitical fracture continue to support?long-term (demand for gold). OCBC stated in a report that a moderated energy-driven inflation could help these themes gain traction.

Spot silver increased 3.3%, to $70.22 an ounce. Platinum gained 2.7%, to $1763.38. Palladium rose 2.7%, to $1317.22.

(source: Reuters)