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Gold falls on increased risk appetite, US-Iran talks are in focus

Gold prices fell slightly after reaching a one-month high earlier in the session, as the prospect of a second round of talks between Iran and the U.S. boosted risk appetite. Meanwhile, rising oil prices contributed to inflation problems.

As of 0501 GMT spot gold was down by 0.3%, at $4,826.13 an ounce. It had previously reached its highest level since March 18. U.S. Gold Futures for June delivery remained unchanged at $4,850.40. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that talks to end the Iran War could resume in Pakistan within the next two days after weekend negotiations failed.

Marex analyst Edward Meir said that gold prices are reacting to headlines from the Middle East in the short-term with the hope that both countries will engage in dialogue.

If things go wrong again, we could revert back to the pre-ceasefire pattern, which was characterized by lower gold prices, a stronger US dollar, and lower stock prices.

Bullion has gained 1.6% this week. Investor optimism about the Iran War boosted Asian stocks to a six-week high. Oil prices rose amid uncertainty about crude supply coming from Middle East, the region that produces the most oil. The Strait of Hormuz is still largely closed.

Inflation is fueled by higher crude oil prices because they increase transportation and production costs. Gold is a hedge to inflation but higher interest rates are affecting the demand for this non-yielding material. The U.S. Military announced late Tuesday that American forces have 'completely halted the economic trade going into and leaving Iran by sea via a blockade on Iranian ports.

In the U.S. traders now see a 29% chance that a rate cut of 25 basis points will occur this year. This is up from 13% last week. Prior to the war, two rate cuts were expected for 2026.

In a recent note, analysts at OCBC stated that "while gold and silver rallied overnight, the overall signal was a 'risk-on' rather than defensive position."

(Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich, Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair) (Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich, Subhranshu Sahu and Harikrishnan Nair)

(source: Reuters)