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Gold prices rise as attention shifts to US payroll data

Gold prices rose on Monday and held above $4,000 an ounce as investors waited for the U.S. payroll data that is due this week in order to gauge the likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate cut.

Gold spot rose 0.2%, to $4.009.87 per ounce at 09:29 am. ET (1429 GMT). U.S. Gold futures for delivery in December rose by 0.6% to $4.021.40.

Edward Meir, Marex analyst, said: "Gold is carving out a range of trading. It could be in the mid-3000s up to the high-4000s. This is expected consolidation following such a large move."

Metal, which gained 53% in this year, is down over 8% since the record high reached on October 20, 2008.

Investors will be watching the Federal Reserve policy direction closely as they await the release of ADP U.S. Employment data on Wednesday, and the ISM PMIs later this week. The U.S. shutdown of the government has prevented the release of important economic data. This includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Last week, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates again this year. But Chair Jerome Powell stated that another rate cut in this year is "not a certainty".

The odds of a December rate cut have dropped from last week, when it was almost certain.

Gold that does not yield a return is more popular when interest rates are low or in economic times of uncertainty.

"Gold's pause looks like a breather and not a collapse." The short-term decline can be explained by seasonal softness, temporary Chinese policies, and a stronger dollar, but this does not change the long-term story, according to Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank's head of commodity strategies.

China has ended its long-standing policy of tax exemption for certain gold retailers, which could set back the buying spree in the world's largest consumer market.

Other metals rose in price as well. Spot silver increased by 0.2%, to $48.77 per ounce. Platinum rose 1.1%, to $1.585.20, and palladium gained 1.8 percent, to $1.459.42.

(source: Reuters)