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Iron ore futures are up on a supply decline, but China's property woes limit gains

Iron ore futures rose on Wednesday, as exports from Australia and Brazil fell. However, the persistent weakness of China's real estate market limited gains.

As of 0357 GMT, the most traded September iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.77% higher. It was 716 yuan (US$99.91) per metric ton. Singapore Exchange benchmark August iron ore was up by 0.86% to $94 per ton.

Everbright Futures, a broker, said that iron ore exports from Australia and Brazil, two of the world's top iron ore producers, have decreased, while global iron ore shipment has also declined.

Everbright reported that hot metal production, which is a measure of iron ore consumption, has continued to rise month-on-month.

China's factory output has increased since November 2024, according to official PMI and Caixin PMI.

Even so, the resale prices of homes in China dropped at a faster rate in June. Meanwhile, new home price growth slowed down, highlighting persistent weakness on the property market in China.

Analysts at ANZ also noted that a proposed by the China Iron & Steel Association restricting exports of certain products of steel could increase supply in the country and potentially pressure prices.

Coking coal and coke both gained 0.92% on the DCE.

The benchmark steel prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange have risen. Rebar climbed 1.44%; hot-rolled coil jumped 1.12%; wire rod grew by 0.45% and stainless steel jumped 1.04%.

(source: Reuters)