Latest News

Iron ore to gain weekly on strong demand despite Trump tariff shock

Iron ore to gain weekly on strong demand despite Trump tariff shock

The price of iron ore fell on Friday but was headed to a weekly increase due to strong demand, positive economic data, and the hope for more stimulus coming from China, its largest consumer. However, the Sino-US trade tensions continued to limit gains.

The most traded September iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange closed morning trade 0.84 percent lower, closing at 705.5 yuan (96.69 dollars) per metric ton. This is the second week in a row that this contract has gained.

As of 0334 GMT the benchmark May iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange had fallen 0.16%, to $97.65 per ton. However, it has risen 0.5% this week.

The price of the main ingredient in steel production was supported by a firming demand. Mysteel's survey shows that the average daily hot metal production, which is a measure of iron ore use, reached a 17-month high on Thursday.

The sentiment and price of commodities were also boosted by a number of Chinese data that was better than expected, as well as the hope that Beijing would unveil more measures to counteract the U.S. Tariff shocks.

Goldman Sachs analysts, however, forecasted that iron ore would fall to $90 in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 and to $80 in the fourth quarter, citing the return of surplus from the second part year.

We expect tariffs will weigh on China's domestic demand as well as steel exports for the rest of the year.

While U.S. president Donald Trump has signalled that the U.S.-China tit-fortat tariff increases, which shocked the markets, may be ending soon, all eyes will be on signs of progress in easing the trade tensions.

Coking coal and coke, which are used to make steel, also fell, by 3.13% and 2.08 percent, respectively.

The SHFE steel benchmarks have declined. Hot-rolled coil, stainless steel and rebar fell by 0.66%. Wire rod increased by 0.57%. Reporting by Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson and Sumana Nandy; editing by Sumana Niandy.

(source: Reuters)