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London copper prices rise; caution before US reciprocal tariffs cap gains
The copper price in London increased on Wednesday. However, gains were limited as investors awaited the details of reciprocal duties from U.S. president Donald Trump. As of 0336 GMT, the benchmark three-month price for copper at the London Metal Exchange rose by 0.5%, to $9,736 a metric ton. Trump announced on Sunday that his reciprocal tariffs would apply to all countries. He will announce the tariffs at 20:00 GMT. A base metals trader stated that "we sense a risk off sentiment because of the looming uncertainty ahead of Trump’s reciprocal tariffs announcement later today." Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, released on Tuesday, rose to 51.2 from 50.8 in Feburary, indicating growth in manufacturing in spite of potential threats from an escalating U.S. Trade War. Tin on the Shanghai Futures Exchange has outperformed the base metals markets, increasing 4.3% to 298660 yuan (40404.17 USD) because of fears about supply disruptions following an earthquake that occurred in tin rich Myanmar last Friday. In a recent note, Chaos Research stated that the earthquake had affected the market's expectations of the resumption tin-mining in the country. If the mining area collapsed it is likely that there will not be a return to Wa State in this year. Wa State in Myanmar had previously considered allowing mining in the tin rich region to resume. Myanmar is the third largest tin producer in the world and the dominant supplier of tin to China. Other metals include LME aluminium, which fell 0.2%, to $2.501 per ton. Lead rose 0.2%, to $1.996, Zinc added 0.1%, to $2.825, Tin gained 1.9%, to $38,205, and Nickel was flat, at $16,110 per ton. Lead fell 0.2% to 17.325 yuan and SHFE copper increased 0.3%. Nickel rose 0.7% at 129,530.
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Markets await new US tariffs
The oil prices were stable in a thinly traded session on Wednesday, after dropping in the previous trading session. This was due to concerns that new U.S. Tariffs, which are set to be announced at 2000 GMT on Thursday, could deepen a trade war globally and limit crude demand. Brent futures rose 1 cent to $74.50 per barrel at 0346 GMT, after falling 0.4% on the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures gained 3 cents to reach $71.23 following a 0.4% drop. Prices reached their highest level in five weeks Monday. The White House confirmed Tuesday that President Donald Trump would impose new trade barriers on Wednesday. However, it did not provide any details on the size or scope of these trade barriers. Oil prices have been stable since March as the markets wait for clarity about Trump's plans to implement universal tariffs ahead of "Liberation Day". The low trading volumes on the oil market show that there are growing concerns over these tariffs despite positive demand signals coming from mainland China, said Phillip Nova's Senior Market Analyst Priyanka Sahdeva. At 0353 GMT on the LSEG platform, ICE data showed that Brent trading volumes for June were 8,550 lots, compared to 672,617 open interest lots for the same period. Trump has been promoting April 2 as "Liberation Day" for weeks. This would mean new duties which could shake up the global trading system. The White House will make an announcement at 4 pm. ET (2000 GMT). "The (tariff) announcement could impact prices either to the upside or the down, although the balance of risk lies to the downside, given that weaker-than-expected tariff measures are unlikely to drive a significant rally in Brent, while stronger-than-expected measures could trigger a substantial selloff," BMI analysts said in a note. Trump's threats to impose secondary duties on Russian oil and his Monday escalation of sanctions against Iran as part of the "maximum-pressure" campaign by his administration to reduce its exports offset any declines. Janiv Shah, vice president for commodity markets at Rystad Energy, said that if tariffs were successful in enabling a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, these punitive actions could be short lived. Tariffs would likely have a positive impact on crude oil, but a negative effect on products. "Oil prices are still low, and we're waiting for an official response from the major importers on the new tariffs." The U.S. fuel and oil inventories paint a mixed picture of supply and demand for the world's largest producer and consumer. According to sources citing the American Petroleum Institute, crude oil stocks in the United States increased by 6 million barrels during the week ending March 28. The sources reported that gasoline inventories fell by 1.6m barrels while distillate stocks dropped by 11,000 barrels. The Energy Information Administration is expected to release official crude oil inventories in the United States later today. Reporting by Laila K. Kearney and Trixie Yap, both in New York; editing by Christian Schmollinger & Muralikumar A. Anantharaman
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Denmark Prime Minister to Visit Greenland As Trump Applies Pressure
Denmark's Prime Minister will visit semiautonomous Greenland for talks on Wednesday with the territory’s incoming Government, after U.S. president Donald Trump repeatedly expressed his interest in controlling this Arctic island. Mette Frederiksen starts her three-day journey less than a month after the visit by U.S. vice president JD Vance to the territory was met with a cold reception by authorities in Denmark. Greenland’s incoming prime minister Jens-Frederik Nielson, who won the general elections last month and will form a government coalition, said that he welcomed Frederiksen’s visit, declaring on Monday, that Denmark remains “Greenland’s closest partner”. The relationship between Greenland, Denmark and the United Kingdom has been strained since recent revelations of colonial mistreatment of Greenlanders. Denmark has been prompted to work faster to improve relations with Greenland because of Trump's interest to control the island. This is part of an international competition to gain influence in the Arctic. Nielsen said late on Monday night that Greenland will strengthen its ties to Denmark until they can fulfill their ultimate desire of becoming a sovereign country. He said that Greenland wants to build a respectful relationship between the United States and Greenland. "Talking of annexation, and talking about Greenland acquisition without respecting sovereignty is not being respectful. Let's begin by showing respect to each other, and then build a strong partnership in all areas," he said. During his visit to a U.S. military base in northern Greenland on Friday, Vance accused Denmark of not doing a good job of keeping the island safe and suggested the United States would better protect the strategically-located territory. Vance's description about Denmark was "unfair" according to Frederiksen. He said that it was up to Greenland's people to decide on their future. Greenland is a country of 57,000 people, and a majority support independence from Denmark. However, many are concerned that Greenland may suffer if it seeks independence too soon, as they fear the U.S. could gain more influence over Greenland. (Reporting by Tom Little in Nuuk, Louise Breusch Rasmussen and Stine Jacobsen in Copenhagen, editing by William Maclean)
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India's NTPC is looking for global partners to help build 15 GW of nuclear reactors
NTPC is India's largest power producer and it has issued a tender to find global partners for the construction of large nuclear reactors. The capacity will be around 15 gigawatts combined. This is the first significant tender since India opened up this highly-protected industry. The tender stated that the state-run company which runs primarily coal-fired power plants is seeking partners to assist in setting up nuclear power plants based on pressurized-water reactor technology and to commit to a life-time supply of nuclear fuel. The partner must have the approval of the relevant authorities in their country and comply with Indian policy, including having a or obtaining a license for technology offered, NTPC stated in its tender published last Thursday. The Atomic Energy Act of India of 1962 prohibits private investment in nuclear power plants. Meanwhile, the Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage Act of 2010 imposes strict liability on foreign firms like GE and Westinghouse. In early February, India announced that it would amend its Nuclear Liability Law to encourage foreign and private investment. The state-run Nuclear Power Corp of India currently operates the nearly 8 GW of capacity in the country, and aims to increase that to 20 GW before 2032. India aims to reach at least 100 GW in nuclear power by 2047. NTPC plans to build 30 GW over the next 20 years at a cost $62 billion. This was reported in February. Sethuraman N.R., Savio D.Souza (reporting)
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Philippine 500MW OW Project Cleared for Pre-Development Activities
Nexif Ratch Energy has been granted Pre-Development Environmental Compliance Certificate (Pre-Dev ECC) for its 500MW San Miguel Bay offshore wind project in the Philippines.The certificate was granted by the Philippines’ Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) in accordance with its administrative order and the Philippine Environmental Impact Statement System (PEISS).The Pre-Dev ECC approval paves the way for crucial pre-development activities, including offshore geotechnical and geophysical investigations, wind and metocean measurements, as well as environmental and social baseline and assessments.These activities are essential for understanding the project site’s characteristics, ensuring that development decisions are informed and sustainable.In December 2024, the San Miguel Bay Wind Project received the Certificate of Energy Project of National Significance (CEPNS) from the Department of Energy (DOE), alongside being recognized as a Strategic Investment under the Green Lane Initiative of the Philippine Board of Investments (BOI).The issuance of the Pre-Dev ECC further reinforces the project’s strategic importance in advancing the Philippines’ renewable energy goals, supporting the country’s clean energy transition.“This achievement marks a significant step forward in our commitment to developing offshore wind projects in the Philippines in an environmentally responsible manner. It aligns with national priorities, and we are proud to contribute to the Philippines’ growing renewable energy sector,” said Cyril Dissescou, CEO of Nexif Ratch Energy.In addition to San Miguel Bay, Nexif Ratch Energy is also progressing toward securing the Pre-Dev ECC for the 475 MW Lucena Wind Power Project in Quezon Province, after the project being awarded CEPNS in January 2025.These ongoing development efforts position the company strongly for the upcoming Green Energy Auction 5 (GEA-5) by the DOE, slated for the third quarter of 2025.Nexif Ratch Energy is jointly owned by Nexif Energy (Singapore) with a 51% stake, and RATCH Group (Thailand) with a 49% stake.
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Gold prices rise on demand for safe-havens ahead of US tariffs
The gold price continued to rise on Wednesday after hitting a new record in the previous session. Investors sought comfort in the metal as they waited for the impact of U.S. tariffs. As of 0240 GMT, spot gold was up 0.7% to $3,131.25 per ounce. Bullion reached a record high of $3148.88 Tuesday. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.4% to $3.159.90. The main reason behind these consecutive record highs is safe-haven purchasing, and the geopolitical uncertainties that underpin this show no signs of abating," said Philip Newman. Newman stated that a U.S. slowdown in economic growth, a potential increase in inflation and interest rate reductions could lead to gold reaching $3,300 within the next few months. The market is in suspense ahead of the U.S. Tariffs that will be implemented later today, a day President Donald Trump called "Liberation Day." Trump's tariff policy could cause inflation to rise, economic growth to slow and trade disputes escalate. In an environment of low interest rates, gold, which is a hedge against inflation and global instability, flourishes. The White House confirmed that new tariffs would be implemented, but did not provide details about the size and scope. Bullion's rise has been fueled by a number of factors, including strong demand from central banks, the expectation that interest rates will be lowered by the Federal Reserve and the geopolitical unrest in the Middle East, Europe and Asia, as well as increased flows into exchange-traded funds backed by gold. Aakash Doshi is the global head of Gold Strategy at State Street Global Advisors. He said that in a bull-case scenario, the market could reach $3,400/oz within 9 months. Fed officials are worried that employment may slip, but they can't do much about it because of the threat from tariff-driven inflation. The markets await the ADP employment report, due later today, and non-farm pay on Friday. Spot silver increased 0.2%, to $33.82 per ounce. Platinum gained 0.8%, to $987.66. Palladium rose 0.7%, to $990.45.
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London copper prices rise, but caution before US tariffs cap gains
The copper price in London rose on Wednesday but gains were limited as investors awaited the details of reciprocal duties from U.S. president Donald Trump, scheduled for later that day. As of 0250 GMT, the benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange rose by 0.2%, to $9,716 a metric ton. Trump announced on Sunday that his reciprocal tariffs would apply to all countries. A base metals trader stated that "we sense a risk off sentiment" due to the looming uncertainty ahead of Trump's announcement on reciprocal tariffs later today. The Caixin/S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, released on Tuesday, rose to 51.2 from 50.8 in Feburary, reflecting manufacturing growth despite the potential threats of an escalating U.S. Trade War. The Shanghai Futures Exchange saw a 2.5% increase in the price of tin, which is due to the fear that supply will be disrupted by the earthquake that occurred last Friday in Myanmar, a country rich in tin. Chaos Research stated in a report that the market's expectations have been affected by the recent earthquake. If the mining area collapsed as a result of the earthquake, there is a good chance the mining will not resume in Wa State in 2018. Myanmar's Wa State had previously considered allowing the mining of tin in this region. Mines in Wa state produce 70% of the tin produced by Myanmar, which is the third largest producer on the planet and the dominant supplier to China. Other metals include LME aluminium, which fell 0.3%, to $2499 per ton. Lead rose 0.1%, to $1992, Zinc dropped 0.1%, to $2819, Tin gained 0.2%, to $37.570, and Nickel advanced 0.2%, to $16,065 per ton. SHFE copper remained flat at 79.930 yuan per ton. SHFE aluminium fell 0.1% to 20.465 yuan per ton. Zinc lost 1.0% to 23.290 yuan. Lead dropped 0.5% to 17.325 yuan. Nickel rose 0.3% to 129.005 yuan. $1 = 7.2693 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and editing by Rashmi aich in Beijing, Violet Li in Shanghai)
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Stocks are on tenterhooks, as Trump's tariff plans approach
Asian stocks stumbled on Wednesday as investors worried about escalating global trade wars awaited the details of U.S. president Donald Trump's proposed tariffs. In recent weeks, investors have been focused on the new round reciprocal levies which the White House will announce at 2000 GMT on Wednesday. These are expected to go into effect immediately following the announcement. Trump has already imposed duties on autos, aluminium and steel, as well as increased duties on all Chinese goods. This has rattled the markets, with fears growing that a full-blown global trade war may trigger a sharp economic slowdown. Asian stocks dropped in the early morning trading after a turbulent session in the United States. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.3%, while South Korea's benchmark was down 0.57%. Wall Street's benchmark S&P and Nasdaq both ended the session higher, after earlier losing ground. The Dow ended a little lower. Chris Weston is the head of Pepperstone's research. He said: "We are experiencing a trading environment that is in a state if chop. Market players are adjusting their exposures at the margins and don't want to commit." The blue-chip index rose 0.14%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.3% in early trading. Vasu Menon is the managing director for investment strategy at OCBC. He said: "Trump called April 2, 'Liberation Day,' but it's unlikely that investors will be truly liberated from tariff uncertainty." This possibility will likely continue to make investors nervous. Investors are becoming increasingly concerned by signs such as rising prices, a slowing economy and cracks on the labour market. The data showed that U.S. manufacturing shrank in March, after two months of growth. A measure of inflation in the factory gates jumped to its highest level in almost three years due to rising concern over tariffs on imported products. In a recent note, ING economists stated that "Tariffs were meant to reinvigorate U.S. Manufacturing, but they are more concerned about the impact on supply chains, and what it means for foreign retaliation, despite signs of a cooling in the domestic economy." The Labour Department reported on Tuesday that U.S. employment opportunities fell by 194,000 in February to 7.568 millions as tariff uncertainty dampened labour demand. The yield on the 10-year Treasury benchmark note in the United States was 4.189% during Asian hours, having fallen to 4.133% Tuesday. This is its lowest level since February 4. Most currency pairs traded in tight ranges. The euro remained at $1.079125 while the sterling traded at $1.29125. The yen was slightly weaker, at 149.83 dollars per yen. But the focus will be on tariff details. This is especially true after a report in the media said that Trump's advisers were considering a plan to raise duties by around 20% on products from almost every country rather than target certain countries or specific products. "We are heading into Trump's time to shine, with many already having deleveraged in order to run as neutral or flat a position they can on equity, USD (dollar), and Treasuries." Pepperstone's Weston stated Gold, which is seen as a safe haven against economic and political turmoil, was well-priced at $3,132.43 an ounce. This price, while up by 0.7%, was still just below the previous session's record high.
Andy Home: Crisis in Europe is a hindrance to future metals strategies for Europe
The European Commission identified 47 strategic project which it hopes will kickstart the critical minerals sector in the region and reduce its dependency on imports from China, especially.
Even as European policymakers strive to create a future industrial base for the region, they face a crisis within its existing metals industry.
The long-term decline in European steel and aluminum production has been accelerated by Chinese overcapacity, and high energy costs.
However, the latest threat comes from the United States. The tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, in particular the higher tariff on aluminum imports, could lead to a metal flood into Europe.
Europe's response will be equally protectionist and lead to further fracturing in global trade patterns.
BUILDING FOR FUTURE
Europe's strategic project qualify for fast-track progress through the permitting phase - maximum 27 months in case of mine projects, and 15 months if it is a processing project - as well as access to both European and national funding.
List is heavily geared towards battery inputs like lithium, cobalt and nickel, but includes other elements as well, such as germanium, gallium and tungsten. The list includes 14 of the 17 metals listed on the EU’s strategic metals.
The projects in 13 states span the entire supply chain, from mining and processing to recycling to materials substitution.
The EU should be able to meet its domestic production benchmarks of cobalt, lithium and nickel by 2030 and make "substantial" progress with other battery materials like manganese, graphite, and nickel.
METLEN’s project in Greece, which covers the needs of the region by 2028, will be able to meet the current Chinese export restrictions on gallium.
More is to come.
The European Commission has received 46 requests for projects outside the EU. The European Commission said that a decision regarding the selection of these projects would be made at a future stage.
CRISIS CURRENT
The European ambitions to develop new energy metals are in stark contrast with the problems that Europe's traditional metals sector faces.
The EU's steel production has fallen from 160 million tons in 2017 down to 126 millions in 2023. The Commission has stated that the current steel capacity utilization of around 65% was unsustainable.
Around half of the remaining capacity has been idled in the region since 2021.
In its "Action Plan", the Commission identifies that high power costs are a major problem for their industrial metals base. The power prices soared in 2022 following Russia's invasion in Ukraine. Although they have since dropped, they are still higher than their historical levels and far above those in the United States.
There are a number of proposed solutions, from improving the efficiency of the network to facilitating longer-term contracts for power supply.
The short-term goal is to "use all of the flexibility (of the state aid rules) in order to reduce costs for energy intensive industries."
Tariff Turbulence
Metal diverted from America washing up in Europe has prompted a focus on ways to stop further contractions in Europe's nonferrous and steel metals sector.
According to the Executive Vice-President of the European Commission Stephane Sejourne, tighter steel import quotas may come as early as next month.
The Commission is considering a "melted and poured rule" that would allow it to take action directly against the original metal producer, rather than the third-party converter.
The Commission is preparing to implement some kind of safeguard measure in order to prepare for the plans for imposing import restrictions on aluminum.
Many struggling operators are in a race against the clock.
Paul Voss has called for "immediate and targeted interventions to stabilize the sector immediately."
One of these interventions would be to stop the flow of recyclable material out of Europe.
SCRAP WARS
The U.S. 25% tariff on aluminum imports has been described as "without exemptions or exceptions", but it does not apply to scrap.
The EU was already on course to export a record 1.3 million tonnes of aluminium scrap last year. This figure will likely rise as more scrap material is sent to the United States where it can be remelted into aluminum products, and the processors are able to pocket the premium.
The threat of U.S. tariffs on copper is already causing European copper recycling companies to worry that more units are being sent to the United States, along with refined metal.
The Commission promises to propose appropriate trade measures by the third quarter this year to ensure that more scrap remains in the EU.
This will include reciprocal actions against both countries that impose metals tariffs as well as those who currently block the export of scrap.
Geopolitics have not affected global scrap trading much, but this is about to change.
SENSE URGENCY
When it comes to critical metals, the European Union is catching up with the United States.
The 27-member bloc does not have the same presidential powers as the Joe Biden or Trump administrations.
The combination of metals action plans and strategic projects shows that the European Commission is aware of the importance of building for the future while protecting what they already have.
As both corporations and lobby groups are quick to note, words must be followed by actions.
To quote Voss, European Aluminium: "Strategy will not keep our operation running."
These are the opinions of a columnist who writes for.
(source: Reuters)