Latest News

Trump's proposed auto-tariffs are hitting the demand for platinum group alloys

Analysts said that demand for industrial precious metals such as platinum and palladium would likely drop if President Donald Trump's tariffs on U.S. imports of autos dampens vehicle sales.

Trump announced earlier this month that levies will be imposed on automobiles as early as April 2. Imports would be more expensive and exporters would see a decline in demand.

It is expected that the ripple effect will spread to palladium, rhodium and platinum, collectively known as platinum group metals. These metals are used to make vehicle exhaust systems in gas, diesel, and hybrid vehicles.

Zain Vawda is a market analyst for MarketPulse, by OANDA. He said that tariffs can fuel inflation, keep interest rates high, and slow economic growth. This could weaken the demand for palladium and platinum.

Nearly 40% of global platinum demand is accounted for by the auto industry, and 80% of global palladium consumption.

Vawda anticipates that global demand for platinum will decline by around 1%, or 102,000 ounces, this year. Palladium is expected to drop by 4%, or 364,000 ounces, if tariffs are placed on U.S. automobile imports.

The U.S. automobile industry relies heavily on imported parts and vehicles, especially from Canada and Mexico.

Barclays estimates that Mexico supplies up to 40% of parts used in U.S. cars, Canada more than 20%, and German auto giant Volkswagen manufactures about three quarters of its North American Fleet in Mexico.

Wilma Swats, Director of PGM Research for Metals Focus, has said that PGM demand may drop by about 150,000 ounces if tariffs cause a drop in U.S. car sales of up to a million units, and if 90% is due to internal combustion engines and hybrids.

David Whiston is Morningstar's equity strategist for U.S. automobiles. He said that American consumers might hesitate to purchase a vehicle with a higher tariff because they don't want the increased price.

On February 19, the day after Trump's announcement of his auto tariff plans, spot platinum and palladium both fell by more than 2%. Since then, the prices have fallen by about 5% and 7 %, respectively.

(source: Reuters)