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Titan targets a 20% increase in its jewellery business by fiscal 2026. Gold rally threatens margin

Titan targets a 20% increase in its jewellery business by fiscal 2026. Gold rally threatens margin

Titan expects revenue growth up to 20 percent for its mainstay jewelry business in the coming financial year. This is due to demand from Indians who are wealthy. However, rising gold prices could pose a risk to margins.

Even though the gold price has increased, Indians of affluence have continued to spend lavishly on wedding ornaments and gold as an investment. This is despite middle-class Indians cutting back on their discretionary spending.

Ashok Sonthalia, Chief Financial Officer of Titan, said on Monday that the jewellery division, which accounts for almost 90% of the company's total revenue, will grow by a mid-teens percentage to 20% during the year starting April 1.

Segment growth was 20.2% last year, and 20.4% for the nine-month period ending December 31.

Sonthalia stated that Titan's revenue is mostly from Indians who are affluent, and whose buying power and desire to indulge in luxury goods are not affected by inflation or higher interest rates.

Titan faces a challenge in achieving its forecasted core profit margin of between 11% to 11.5% due to a rise in gold benchmark prices.

Sonthalia stated that "if gold prices continue to rise like this and it does not normalize,... 11%-11.5% could be difficult."

The price of spot gold is expected to rise by 27% between 2024 and 2025, as the demand for gold will increase due to increased economic uncertainty and inflation concerns under President Donald Trump’s second term.

Titan said that the surging gold prices were encouraging more customers to purchase coins, which are a less profitable investment for Titan.

The core profit margin of its jewellery business fell 100 basis points in the quarter ending December 31 to 11.2%.

Sonthalia predicted that the group's revenue would grow by double-digit percentages in the current quarter. $1 = 86,7550 Indian Rupees (Reporting and editing by Eileen Soreng in Chennai)

(source: Reuters)