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Gold bulls set sights on previously dismissed record $3,000/ oz milestone

Gold market bulls are locking in bullion prices rising to fresh records, with a turning point of $ 3,000 per ounce entering into focus, fired up by monetary alleviating by significant central banks and a tight U.S. governmental election race.

Area gold reached a historic high of $2,572.81 an ounce on Friday and is on track for its greatest yearly performance given that 2020, with an increase of over 24% driven by safe-haven demand, due to geopolitical and economic unpredictability, and robust reserve bank purchasing.

Gold could reach $3,000 per ounce by mid-2025 and $2,600 by completion of 2024 driven by U.S. rates of interest cuts, strong demand from exchange traded funds and over the counter physical need, said Aakash Doshi, head of commodities, The United States and Canada at Citi Research.

Last week, the World Gold Council said global physically backed gold exchange traded funds saw a fourth successive month of inflows in August.

With the next Federal Reserve conference approaching on September 18, markets are grasped by the probability of the first U.S. rates of interest cut given that 2020. Low rates tend to be supportive for gold, which bears no interest.

Financiers are currently pricing in a 55% opportunity of a. 25-basis-point U.S. rate cut and a 45% chance of a 50-bps cut,. the CME FedWatch tool revealed.

If incoming information indicate growth threats and weak point in the. labor market, it will raise the possibility of a 50 bp rate cut in. either November or December, which would increase the tailwind. for gold and pull forward the timing for attainment of $3,000,. said Peter A. Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist. at Zaner Metals.

Interest rate cuts from major reserve banks are well. underway, with the European Central Bank on Thursday providing. its second quarter-point cut of the year.

We're likewise evaluating other factors stimulating need from. the Western investor, consisting of the approaching U.S. election. probably contributing to the uncertainty and gold working as a hedge. against instant occasion risks, stated Joseph Cavatoni, market. strategist at World Gold Council.

The upcoming Nov. 5 governmental election might increase gold. costs as possible market volatility might drive investors. towards safe-haven gold.

Achieving the $3,000 per ounce target is possible, said. Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures,. including that the circumstance could be driven by political unrest. following elections.

Investment banks and experts have turned significantly. bullish on gold, with Wall Street bank Goldman Sachs showing the. highest self-confidence in near-term advantage in gold, which remains. its preferred hedge versus geopolitical and monetary threats.

Australia's Macquarie raised its gold rate forecasts this. week and is now looking for a quarter typical cyclical peak in. the first quarter next year of $2,600 per ounce, with capacity. for a spike towards $3,000.

While the backdrop of challenged industrialized market financial. outlooks remains structurally favorable for gold, a lot is. perhaps already in the rate, with the capacity for cyclical. headwinds to emerge later next year, experts at Macquarie. said.

(source: Reuters)