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India exports are hit by new US tariffs that will be implemented on Wednesday

India exports are hit by new US tariffs that will be implemented on Wednesday

Indian exporters should prepare for disruptions following a U.S. Homeland Security confirmed that Washington will impose an extra 25% tariff on all Indian origin goods starting Wednesday, increasing trade pressure against the Asian nation. U.S. exports to India will be subject to duties up 50%, among the highest Washington has imposed. This is in response President Donald Trump's announcement of extra tariffs in punishment for New Delhi purchasing Russian oil. Homeland Security's notice states that the new duties will be applied to goods coming into the U.S. or being withdrawn from storage for consumption as of 12:01 am EDT or 9:31 am IST on Wednesday. In early trading, the Indian rupee fell 0.2% to 87.75 US dollars per dollar, even though the greenback was falling against other currencies. The benchmark equity indices were trading at a 0.7% decline.

White House trade advisor Peter Navarro, along with U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent, have accused India indirectly funding Russia's conflict against Ukraine through increased Russian oil purchases. They said this must stop.

Bessent said earlier this month that India profited from its dramatically increased purchases of Russian crude oil. This now accounts for 42 percent of India's overall oil imports. Before the war, it was only 1%. Washington called this shift unacceptable.

The Indian Commerce Ministry has not responded to an email asking for comment about the latest notification.

The government does not expect any relief in the short term or a delay of U.S. Tariffs, said an official from the Commerce Ministry who spoke under condition of anonymity as they were not authorized to speak with media.

The official said that exporters who are hit by tariffs will receive financial assistance, and they will be encouraged to diversify their markets to include China, Latin America, and the Middle East.

The government has identified more than 50 countries to increase Indian exports. This includes textiles, food products, leather products, and marine products.

EXPORTERS Seek Aid

Exporter groups estimate that the hikes will affect 55% of India’s $87 billion worth of merchandise exports to America, but benefit competitors like Vietnam, Bangladesh, and China.

The U.S. customer has already stopped placing new orders. Exports could drop by 20-30% with these new tariffs from September, said Pankaj Chadha.

Chadha said that the government had promised financial assistance, including increased subsidies for bank loans and support to diversify in the event financial losses.

He said that exporters saw limited opportunities to diversify into other markets or sell on the domestic market.

India exports

Diamond Industry

The demand for gems and jewellery has already fallen to its lowest level in two decades due to weak Chinese demand. Now, higher tariffs could cut off access to the largest market that accounts for almost a third (28,5 billion dollars) of the annual shipment.

BROADER ECONOMIC IMPACT Private analysts warn of the impact a sustained tariff of 50% could have on India's economic and corporate profits – resulting in the steepest downgrades to earnings in Asia – even if domestic tax reductions are proposed.

Capital Economics stated last week that the economic growth of India would be affected by 0.8 percentage points if all U.S. Tariffs were implemented this year and in 2019.

Last week, Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar stated that trade negotiations were in progress and that Washington’s concerns over Russian oil purchases did not apply to other major purchasers such as China and Europe.

As of yet, the government has not issued any directives regarding the purchase of oil from Russia. Three sources from the refining industry said that companies will continue to purchase oil based on economics.

After five rounds of negotiations with the United States, Indian officials expressed confidence that they would be able to reach a favorable deal. They even told the media the tariffs might be limited to 15%.

Both sides claimed that a combination of political misjudgment and missed signals, as well as bitterness, led to the collapse of the deal between two world economies with bilateral trade worth more than $190 billion.

Narendra Modi, the Indian Prime Minister, has pledged to not compromise the interests and livelihoods of farmers in India even if it means paying a high price. Modi also plans to visit China for the first time in seven years at the end of this month. (Reporting and editing by Lincoln Feast and Sam Holmes; Additional reporting by Nidhi verma.

(source: Reuters)