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China's gas exports rebound in November before tax modifications

China's gas exports are anticipated to have actually rebounded in November after refiners rushed to protect higher earnings before changes to export tax refunds worked this month, analysts and traders said.

The increase could reduce China's high products stocks and offer short support to Chinese refiners that have actually dealt with thin margins as demand at the world's No. 2 consumer of the product barely grew this year.

China's exports of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel are approximated to rise to 2.74 million metric heaps in November, with Singapore the greatest destination for the first 2 fuels, according to shiptracking firm Vortexa.

In October, exports of transport fuels, consisting of marine fuel, was up to an 18-month low of 3.96 million tons, customs data showed, as weak export margins reduced deliveries.

Fuel exports in November were approximated at 1.1 million tons (9.295 million barrels) by Vortexa, while Kpler's price quote was 1.18 million heaps. LSEG's quote is 850,000 loads, the highest in five months.

This is higher than the 670,000 loads reported by Chinese customs for October gasoline exports, which was the most affordable given that April.

Beijing revealed in mid-November that it will minimize the export tax rebate rate for a variety of products, including some refined oil products, from 13% to 9%. Exporters' margins had been anticipated to fall by 200-300 yuan ($ 27.51-$ 41.27) per ton, a. state oil official stated.

Chinese refiners decided to export gasoline before the Dec. 1. cut-off, Kpler expert Zameer Yusof stated.

About 200,000 lots of the gasoline were repaired without clear. destinations or buyers, he included.

Even if they are distressed and float in the backwardated. market, the losses will still be lower than the estimated $3/bbl. loss they would've incurred by exporting them in December. rather, Yusof stated. Prompt costs are greater than those in. future months in a backwardation market.

LSEG expert Su Ling Teo stated gasoline exports are expected. to decline once again after the December tax modification.

Another LSEG analyst Charles Ong also expected bad margins. to control diesel exports in the near future.

For November, Vortexa expected a rebound in diesel exports. to 704,000 lots, while the quotes from Kpler and LSEG are. 360,000 lots and 220,000 heaps, respectively.

In October, diesel exports were 480,000 loads, down 57.2%. from a year earlier, customs information showed.

For jet fuel, Kpler approximated that about 1.04 million heaps. were exported in November. That is close to Vortexa's estimate. of 935,400 loads, however below the 1.45 million heaps in October. reported by China custom-mades.

(source: Reuters)