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Silver, platinum and gold all reach new heights
On Wednesday, gold broke the $4,500 mark for the first-ever time. Silver and platinum also reached new records, as speculation and a demand for'safe havens' and further U.S. interest rate cuts in 2019 fueled speculative metals. At 1220 GMT the spot gold price was up by 0.2% to $4,494.49 an ounce, after hitting a session high of $4,525.19. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery climbed 0.4%, to $4,523.10. Platinum peaked at 2,377.50, but then pared gains to end up at 2,312.70, a 1.6% increase. Silver reached an all-time record high of $72.70, and it was lastly up 1.3%. Palladium fell 1.5% to $1,830.37 per ounce after reaching its highest level in three years. Fawad Rasaqzada is a market analyst for City Index and FOREX.com. He said that the lack of bearish factors, and strong momentum are all backed up by solid fundamentals. These include central bank purchases, a declining U.S. Dollar, and some haven demand. "Other metals, like copper, have been rising. This is providing support for the entire commodities complex." As investors seek safe-haven assets in the face of geopolitical tensions, and as they expect that the U.S. Federal Reserve would continue to ease its monetary policy, gold has gained more than 70% over this past year. U.S. president Donald Trump said Tuesday that he wanted the next Fed chair to lower interest rates if the markets were doing well. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to perform well in an environment of low interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in at least two rate reductions?next. Silver's price has risen by more than 150% in the past year, surpassing gold, due to strong investment demand and its inclusion on "the U.S. Critical Minerals List" as well as rising industrial usage. Analysts at Societe Generale wrote in a report that the risk of a significant drop in gold prices is largely tied to a'slowing down of outright gold purchases, such as those by central banks in emerging markets. Investor positions indicate that, barring such a situation, the unprecedented rise in gold prices is likely to continue. This supports our Commodities Strategists' forecast of $5,000/oz by 2026. The price of platinum and palladium (used in catalytic converters for automobiles to reduce emissions) has risen by 160% and 100% respectively year-to date, due to tight mine supplies, tariff uncertainty and a shift away from gold investment.
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Russia plans to build a nuclear plant on the Moon within 10 years
Russia is planning to build a nuclear plant on the Moon 'within the next ten years to power its lunar space program and a joint Russian/Chinese research station, as major powers race to explore Earth's only natural satellite. Since 1961, when Soviet cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin was the first person to enter space, Russia has been a leader in the space exploration field. However, in recent years, it has fallen further behind the United States, and increasingly China. Elon Musk revolutionised space vehicle launches, which were once a Russian specialty. Is that a nuclear reactor on the Moon? Roscosmos, the Russian state space corporation, announced in a press release that it had signed a contract to build a moon power plant by 2036. Roscosmos didn't say that the plant was nuclear, but said that it included the Russian state nuclear corporation Rosatom as well as the Kurchatov Institute - Russia's foremost nuclear research institute. Roscosmos stated that the plant would be used to power the Russian lunar programme. This included rovers and an observatory, as well as the infrastructure for the joint Russian-Chinese International Lunar Research Station. Roscosmos stated that the project is an important step in the creation of a permanently operating scientific lunar station, and the transition from a one-time mission to a long term lunar exploration program. Dmitry Bakanov said that Roscosmos's goal was to build a nuclear plant on the Moon and explore Venus, also known as Earth's "sister planet". The moon is located 384,400 kilometers (238,855 mi) away from our planet. It moderates earth's wobble, which helps to maintain a stable climate. It also creates tides in all the oceans. U.S. PLANS REACTOR ON MOON Russia isn't the only country with such plans. NASA announced in August its intention to place a nuclear reactor on?moon within the first quarter fiscal year 2030. "We are in a race for the moon with China. "We need energy to have a moon base," U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy stated in August when asked about plans. He also said that the United States is currently "behind" in the race to reach the moon. He said that energy is essential for life to continue?on the Moon and then to reach Mars. Nuclear weapons are prohibited in space, but nuclear energy sources can be placed there as long as certain rules are followed. Some space analysts predicted a gold rush on the Moon: NASA estimates that there is a million tonnes (or more) of Helium-3 on the moon, which is an isotope helium rare on Earth. Boeing's research shows that rare earth metals, such as scandium, yttrium, and 15 lanthanides - which are used in smartphones, computer and advanced technology - can also be found on the Moon. According to Boeing's research, the rare earth metals - used in smartphones, computers and advanced technologies - are also present on the moon. These include scandium, yttrium and 15 lanthanides.
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The US dollar's weakness and growth in GDP has led to a record-breaking price for copper of $12,300.
The?U.S. economy grew at a robust pace, boosting demand prospects and supporting prices. Economic growth increased demand prospects, and a weaker US dollar supported prices. As of 1010 GMT on the London Metal Exchange, benchmark three-month copper was up 1.1% to $12,195 per metric tonne, after earlier hitting a record high $12,282. This week the metal gained 2.6%, December saw a 9% increase and 2025 is on track to see a 39% jump as supply restrictions lead to bullish bets. Copper also reached a record high of 96.750 yuan (13,793) per ton at the Shanghai Futures Exchange on Wednesday. John Meyer, an analyst at SP Angel, said: "It wouldn't surprise me to learn that the Chinese are purchasing physical copper on the market. They will get as much as possible while no one else is watching." The Yangshan premium The, a measure of Chinese demand for copper, has risen to $55 per tonne, its highest level since September 24. The U.S. economic growth accelerated to its highest rate in two years during the third quarter. Meanwhile, the dollar is headed for its worst performance in over two decades due to investors' bets on more rate cuts in 2019. The greenback is weakening, making metals more affordable to holders of other currencies. Copper has been flowing in large quantities to the United States over the past few months. This includes more than 50,000 tonnes from China in November. Aluminium was up 0.6% to $2,956 per ton on the LME after reaching its highest level since May 2022. Zinc grew 0.2% to $3 098, while lead increased 0.6% to $1 994.50. Tin climbed by 1% to $43,005. Nickel was up 0.6% to $15,835, and rose for the sixth consecutive day, on the expectation that Indonesia will reduce ore production next year. The LME Ring, or the open-outcry floor, will close at 1440 GMT on Wednesday before closing on Thursday and Friday to celebrate Christmas.
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Gold, silver and Platinum extend record streak
Silver and platinum both reached new records on Wednesday, as the speculative demand for precious metals and expectations of future U.S. interest rate cuts fuelled speculation. At 1023 GMT the spot gold price was up by 0.1% to $4,493.76 an ounce, after hitting a session high of $4,525.19. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery climbed 0.3%, to $4.520.00. Silver reached an all-time peak of $72.70, and last rose 0.9% to $72.09 per ounce. Platinum peaked at 2,377.50, before reversing gains, now standing 0.3% higher, at $2282.70. Palladium fell?2.5% to $1,815.25, after reaching its highest level in three years. Gold is supported by the lack of bearish factors, strong momentum and solid fundamentals. These include central bank purchases, a declining U.S. Dollar and some haven demand, according to?Fawad Rasaqzada. "Other metals, like copper, have been rising. This is supporting the whole commodities complex." Gold is up more than 70% in 2018, its largest annual gain since 1979. Investors are flocking to safe-haven investments amid geopolitical tensions, and they expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to continue to ease their monetary policy. U.S. president Donald Trump said Tuesday that if the markets are performing well, he would like to see the next Fed chair lower interest rates. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to perform well in an environment of low interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in at least two rate reductions next year. The price of silver has risen by more than 150% in the past year, surpassing that of gold, due to strong demand for investment, its inclusion on?U.S. The inclusion of silver on the U.S. critical minerals list, and its increasing industrial use have all contributed to this increase. In a recent note, analysts at Societe Generale stated that the risk of a significant drop in gold prices is largely related to a slowing in outright gold purchases by central banks in emerging markets. Investor positions indicate that, barring such a situation, the unprecedented rise in gold prices will continue. This is consistent with our Commodities Strategists' forecast of $5,000/oz for end-2026. The price of platinum and palladium (used in catalytic converters for automobiles to reduce emissions) has risen by 160% and 100% respectively year-to date, due to tight mine supplies, tariff uncertainty and a shift away from gold investment.
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Global shares hover near record highs; gold, silver scale new highs
As 2025 approaches, global shares remained near their record highs, capping an?abundant artificial intelligence-driven year. Commodities, like gold and silver have extended their bullish trend to new?highs?. Overnight, on Wall Street the S&P 500 closed at a record high as the long-elusive Santa Claus rally finally took hold. The U.S. economic data that showed the economy expanding at a faster rate than expected in the third quarter helped boost risk sentiment but hurt bonds. The STOXX 600 Index in Europe was unchanged at the start of trading, while the UK's blue-chip FTSE 100 dropped 0.2%. The bourses in Amsterdam, Brussels, and Paris will be closed for a half-day session, while those in Germany, Milan, and Brussels are open. Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures also remained unchanged amid low liquidity. This week, gold and silver were among the biggest movers as markets prepared for a shorter trading day before the holidays. Gold spot prices remained unchanged at $4489.91 an ounce. They had earlier reached a record high of $4525.86, bringing their gain for the year to 72%. Silver prices jumped by 1.2%, to $72.27, a new record. This was the best year for silver ever. Chris Zaccarelli of Northlight Asset Management, the chief investment officer, said that the data released on Tuesday showing that the U.S. economic growth grew at its fastest rate in two years during the third quarter is "exceptional". He wrote that if the economy continues to produce at the same level, there's less reason to be concerned about a slowing down economy. Instead, the focus may shift to price stability. Goldman Sachs economists expect a global GDP growth rate of 2.8% for 2026. This is slightly higher than the 2.5% consensus and 2.6% for the U.S., compared to 2% consensus. In a note, the Wall Street Bank's U.S. chief economist David Mericle said that "our 2026 global outlook" argues for growth above consensus and declining inflation next year. Goldman's outlook reflects a reduced drag on the economy from tariffs, as well as tax cuts and easier financial conditions. ASIAN Shares Higher, Traders Eye Yen The broadest index for Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.4%, following the Wall Street rally. The index has risen 26% this year, which is its best performance in years. Scott Chronert is a U.S. Equity Strategist at Citi. He predicts that equities will continue to rise in value and earnings over the next year. "Yet high-performance dispersion in themes, sectors and the market cap is expected." The yen has gained on the foreign exchange markets for the third session in a row amid the risk of intervention by?Japanese officials. The dollar fell 0.3% to 155.83 Japanese yen and retreated from the previous 158-level zone which drew interventions. The euro remained largely unchanged at $1.18 after a 14% increase this year. The dollar has been down around 10% against other major currencies this year. Treasuries rose this year as the Fed resumed rate cuts. The yield on two-year Treasury bonds remained at 3.532% despite falling by 72 basis points in the past year. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was 4.1589% despite a 42 basis point decline for the same period. Early trade saw oil prices remain stable, but they were on track for a decline of a third consecutive year. Brent crude futures rose 0.1% to $62.45 per barrel but are down 16% on the year. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam & Tomasz Janowski)
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Indonesia will fine palm oil producers and miners $8.4 billion for forest encroachment
The Attorney General of Indonesia said that in 2026, it could collect $8.5 billion in fines from palm oil companies as well as illegal miners in forests. The forestry taskforce of President Prabowo, which is made up from military personnel, police, prosecutors, and government officials, cracked down this year on a massive scale on mines and plantations in areas that authorities claim were supposed to have been forest. Analysts predict that the military-backed campaign, combined with Indonesia's ambitious "biodiesel" plans, could increase global prices even further by disrupting production. Sanitiar?General Sanitiar?Burhanuddin said, at a ceremony held in front of tall piles of red Rupiah notes, that the task force had already taken over illegal mines and plantations covering 4.1 million hectares (9.8 millions acres), an area roughly the same size as the Netherlands. Burhanuddin handed over to the Finance Minister the 2.34 trillion Rupiah ($139.70 million) in fines that the task force collected against 20 palm oil companies, and one nickel mining company. Burhanuddin stated that there was a potential revenue from fines imposed on palm oil plantations, and mining within forest areas. The fines for palm oil are 109.6 trillion Rupiah, or $6.54 billion, and for mining, 32.63 trillion Rupiah, or $1.95 billion. He did not mention any companies. Burhanuddin transferred 240,500 acres of plantations, as well, to the state-owned firm Agrinas Palma Nusantara. This company was established in early 2025. Agrinas has now grown to a total of 1.7 million hectares. This makes it the largest palm oil producer in the world. At the ceremony Prabowo praised "the task force" and attacked those who he claimed had "tried to drain Indonesia dry, as well as foreign powers undermining his Government." He said: "Even though it is a difficult journey, I know that in 2026, we will be taking even bolder measures... We'll save the wealth of this nation without hesitation." The world's largest exporter of palm, thermal coal and nickel is Indonesia. $1 = 16,750,0000 rupiah (Reporting and editing by David Stanway; Gayatri Suryo)
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Sources: India's Reliance receives a one-month US concession for Rosneft Oil to be purchased by Reliance.
Two sources familiar with this matter claim that Reliance Industries Limited in India continues to receive oil shipments from Rosneft, after Washington granted a one-month concession. Washington had imposed sanctions against the Russian producer. Reliance's special permission has never been announced before. The U.S. announced sanctions against Rosneft in October and Lukoil on November 21, giving companies until then to "wind down" transactions with these two energy firms. Reliance signed a long-term agreement with Rosneft to buy 500,000 barrels of Russian oil per day for its world's biggest refining facility, which processes 1.4 million barrels a day. Separately the EU announced that it would not accept fuel produced in?refineries? that had received or processed Russian crude oil 60 days before the date of the bill-of-lading. RELIANCE: CARGOES FROM "PRE-EXISTING TRANSACTIONS"? According to Kpler's trade flow data, Reliance received 15 cargoes worth of Russian oil since November 22. Reliance responded via email that "These are existing transactions, which are being wound up in a sanction-compliant way." The U.S. Treasury refused to comment on this?concession. Reliance said that it had loaded the last cargo of its Rosneft contract on November 12 and would be processing Russian oil arriving after?November 20 in its India-focused plant. This will enable it to continue fuel sale?to the EU through its 704,000-bpd refinery focused on export. According to Kpler data, Reliance will receive one cargo of?Russian crude oil each in December and January. After the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, India became the largest buyer of Russian crude oil on sea. However, Washington has pressed India to reduce these imports. Trade sources and LSEG show that Russian oil imports are expected to be between 1.2-1.5m bpd on average in December, down from the 1.77m bpd of November. Reporting by Nidhi verma, Editing by Bernadette baum
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What drives the gold market and how investors buy it?
Gold prices broke through the $4,500 mark on Wednesday. This was boosted by the expectation of a looser U.S.monetary policy, and the lingering geopolitical conflicts that have pushed the price of gold to record highs. Bullion, the classic safe haven in times of economic and political unrest, reached a new record price earlier this session. The price of gold has risen by more than 70% so far this season, the biggest rise in a single year since 1979. This is due to a combination of "safe-haven" demand, bets on U.S. interest rate cuts, central bank buying, dedollarisation trends, and ETF purchases. Here are some tips on how to invest in gold. SPOT MARKET Big banks are usually the gold buyers for large investors and buyers. The spot market is determined by the real-time dynamics of supply and demand. London has the largest influence on the spot gold markets, thanks to the London Bullion Market Association. The association provides standards for gold trading, a framework for over-the counter trades, and facilitates transactions between banks, dealers, and institutions. China, India, Middle East, and the United States, are also major gold trading centers. Futures Market Futures exchanges are another way for investors to get exposed to gold. COMEX, part of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYSE), is the world's largest gold futures exchange in terms of volume traded. Shanghai Futures Exchange (China's largest commodities exchange) also offers gold contracts. Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) is another major player in the Asian gold market. EXCHANGE TRADED PRODUCTS Exchange-traded product or exchange-traded fund issue securities that are backed by actual metal, allowing people to get exposure to gold prices without having to take delivery of the metal itself. According to World Gold Council, the total inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded fund funds have reached $64 billion for the year so far, and a record amount of $17.3 billion was added just in September. BARRES AND COINS Metals traders can sell bars and coins to retail consumers in shops or online. Both gold bars and coins can be used to invest in physical gold. What drives the market? : Investor Interest and Market Sentiment The price of bullion has been affected by the rising interest in investment funds over recent years. Sentiment driven buys and sells of gold can be fueled by news, market trends and global events. FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE Gold is an effective hedge against the volatility of currency markets. Gold has historically moved the opposite way to the U.S. Dollar, as a weaker dollar makes gold priced in dollars cheaper for holders of other currencies. MONETARY POLICY & POLITICAL TENSION Precious metals are widely regarded as a safe haven in times of uncertainty. The trade tariffs imposed by U.S. president Donald Trump have caused a global war of trade, which has rattled currency markets. Gold's direction is also affected by the policy decisions made by global central banks. Gold's opportunity cost is reduced by lower interest rates, since it pays no interest. CENTRAL BANK GLOBAL GOLD RESERVES Reserves of gold are held by central banks. Recent years, central-bank demand was high due to macroeconomic and political uncertainties. In its annual survey?in June, the World Gold Council revealed that more central banks planned to increase their gold reserves in the next year despite high prices. The World Gold Council reported in late October that global gold demand increased 3% annually to 1,313 tons in the third-quarter of 2025. This is the highest quarterly total ever recorded, due to a surge in investment demand. China continued to add gold to its reserves. Its holdings reached 74.12 millions fine troy pounds at the end November, up from 74.09 at the end October. This was the 13th consecutive month that China has been on a buying spree. (Compiled by Bangalore Commodities and Energy Team Editing By Peter Graff).
Stock financiers scout out Europe's rate-cut winners
Investors in European equities are stepping up their look for stocks that are likely to benefit from lower borrowing expenses, after the European Reserve bank's (ECB) first interestrate cut in practically 5 years.
While the cut was expected, analysts see the relocation as a. potential turning point for beaten-down sectors like utilities. and small caps, and even extremely shorted stocks, which have. suffered as rates have risen and remained high. Banks, which have. been a few of the biggest recipients of policy tightening up,. could rather remain in for profit-taking.
Much depends upon how fast inflation falls towards the main. bank's 2% target, allowing for more cuts in the coming months as. the area's economy recovers.
Typically, policy easing is helpful for European. equities, stated Citi strategist Beata Manthey. Combined with an. inflecting revenues image, this need to assist justify some. additional advantage.
After Thursday's quarter-point cut from a record 4%, the. ECB's deposit rate now stands at 3.75%. Reserve banks in Europe. have been very first movers in this reducing cycle, with Sweden and. Switzerland cutting rates in May and March, respectively.
SMALL CAPS TURNING A CORNER
Little caps are seen as among the most likely winners of. rate cuts in Europe. These stocks have actually lagged their bigger. counterparts given that the ECB began jacking up rates in July 2022.
Today Amundi, Europe's most significant cash manager, and other. investors see scope for a rebalancing in their favour.
As a property class, little cap has actually been suffering a fair bit. from rates going up everywhere worldwide, stated Fabio Di. Giansante head of large-cap European equity at Amundi. Frequently. they are leveraged business and they require to pay finance while. the mid caps and large caps have tons of money and they can. access the debt market quite easily.
For Goldman Sachs, European small caps represent the. obvious cyclical and rate-sensitive piece of the marketplace which. continues to lag the rally. They have actually currently started to. outperform.
Swiss bank UBS recommends going long UK little and mid caps,. citing current tax cuts, upcoming rate cuts and the potential for. even more fiscal costs and EU alignment as factors.
RATE-CUT CARING SECTORS
Utilities and real estate have been two. clear losers of a high-rate environment. But some portfolio. supervisors in Europe are placing for a change in fortune.
Viewed as a proxy to bonds because of their extreme. sensitivity to rates, utilities may likewise get a boost out of. bets that energy prices have actually bottomed out and by long-lasting. purchasing connected to their function in powering the. artificial-intelligence and electric-vehicle transitions. Low-cost. appraisals are another plus.
Realty, which tends to outperform in bond booming market,. might be in for a breather from selling, as the aspects that. threw some home markets into a deep crisis start to ease off. Lower rates might help kick-start brand-new jobs, increase possession. value and lower the expense of debt.
Energies and realty are the 2 worst-performing. sectors because the start of the year in Europe, for that reason a. reverse pattern post rate cuts might be most likely, stated Chiara. Robba, head of LDI equity at Generali Asset Management.
' I LIKE TO SQUEEZE THE SHORTS'
Following the revival of the meme frenzy on Wall Street,. short-covering threats have actually returned to the fore.
The big retail ownership of U.S. stocks has little bit. read-across in Europe. But rate cuts throughout the old continent. might provide investors an essential factor to buy into shorted. stocks, especially those where the main issue is financial obligation.
Heavily indebted trainmaker Alstom rose nearly 30%. in May in the run-up to setting regards to a 1-billion-euro money. call. Financiers are 28% short Alstom-- the most significant bearish bet. on the STOXX, per data elaborated by Mediobanca.
Another leading short, BT, increased 17% on incomes day May. 16, scoring its greatest rise considering that going public in 1984. I. always love to squeeze the shorts? and show them incorrect?, its. CEO Allison Kirkby stated.
Likewise, lower rates help M&A, making it risky to hold a. bearish bet on prospective takeover targets, while the growing. function of systematic techniques and leveraged hedge funds in. setting rate action could magnify volatility.
BANK PROFIT-TAKING
European banks have been among the main recipients of. the rise in borrowing costs because 2022, following a years of. low rates and squeezed margins. However strategists are turning. cooler on this sector as rates fall.
MSCI's European banks index is up almost 20%. in 2024 alone, the very best performing major sector in Europe.
Banks definitely enjoy rising bond yields, stated Sebastian. Raedler, head of European equity method at Bank of America. Merrill Lynch.
But if rate cuts result in lower yields, that tailwind could. fade.
Banks have actually had good profits characteristics over the last couple. of quarters, predicated on lower threat premiums and higher bond. yields, Raedler included. If that goes into reverse you must be. underweight banks.
Barclays sees profit-taking in banks around ECB and Bank of. England rate cuts in the much shorter term, but cheap appraisals and. buybacks indicates it is positive on this sector in the longer term.
(source: Reuters)