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Oil prices continue climb on US-Iran deal doubts; stocks retreat

Tuesday, oil prices reached a new high and Wall Street closed lower as traders became more pessimistic over a possible deal to restore stability in the Middle East and open the Strait of Hormuz.

The uncertainty?over global inflation expectations also weighed.

The gold price?retreated after a peak of two months ahead of the consumer price data that is due on Wednesday.

The Strait of Hormuz is closed until the U.S. changes its behavior and accepts Iran's demands to end the conflict, said the newly appointed Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council on Tuesday.

Ron Albahary is chief investment officer of LNW. He said that the markets are grappling with the prospect of some sort of detente. However, they're mistaken in believing that any kind of resolution will be the end of the story.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell 0.23%, reversing earlier gains.

The escalating tensions between the U.S., and Iran have been at the forefront of attention. Oil prices soared 5% on Monday as a result.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, responded on Monday to Iranian demands for a deal by stating his own. He demanded that Iran pay compensation for those who died in wars and attacks, as well as protests. This could complicate efforts to reopen this vital waterway.

Brent futures finished $1.19 higher, or 1.4% at $88.91 per barrel. U.S. crude oil ended up $1.07 or 1.3% at $83.20.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. "You can probably see the (oil market) sitting in the $75-$95 range as we wait to see which party blinks first."

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall 0.34% to 53791.85, S&P 500 drop 0.32% at 7,728.20, and Nasdaq Composite decline 0.60% at 26,445.45.

Investors weighed the geopolitical risk in the Middle East against earnings optimism, keeping STOXX 600 near its all-time highs.

Emerging markets stocks dropped 0.28% to 1,665.44. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan closed unchanged at 1,627.53.

INFLATION DATA

The U.S. consumer price report for July will not include the latest rise in energy prices, but it can still be used to set expectations for the Federal Reserve meeting in September, where money markets indicate a 50-50 possibility of an increase.

Jonas Goltermann is the chief markets economist of Capital Economics. He said: "We believe that risks are skewed in favor of a hot print. This would likely drive a recovery in rate expectations, and potentially, renewed concerns about stagflation."

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10 year?notes dropped 0.35 basis points to 4.695 percent.

Focus on TECH STOCKS

The Nasdaq closed about 2% lower than the record-breaking close of early June. Amazon and Alphabet both fell, weighing down the tech-heavy S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.

Nvidia announced overnight that it has teamed up six major financial institutions, including BlackRock and Apollo, to create funding measures for AI infrastructure worth more than 500 billion dollars.

The company did not reveal any other details, including financial terms or investment commitments, nor how the $500 billion planned could fit in with existing funding arrangements.

"A small piece of me wondered if this was how I felt when subprime loans first became mainstream products -- the innovation which helped to trigger the GFC,"?Sycamore said, referring the global financial crises.

Intel has raised $20 billion in a share offering, its first since 1971 when the chipmaker listed.

CURRENCY GYRATIONS

The yen is back in the spotlight among currencies. The yen was last up 0.01% versus the dollar. It is still off the high of last week of 155.20. This follows several suspected rounds, including a move by Japan and the United States.

The holiday season in Japan led to a thinner trading volume than usual. This is often viewed as a catalyst for an intervention as small trades can have a larger impact on the price than normal.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies including the yen, the euro and others) rose by 0.05%, to 99.82. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.01%, to $1.1541.

Gold futures in the United States rose 0.5% to $4,441.10, but spot gold dropped 0.45%. (Additional reporting by Rae Wee and Avinash P in Singapore, and Purvi Agarwal and Nick Zieminski in Bengaluru. Editing by Clarence Fernandez and Kate Mayberry; Toby Chopra and Rod Nickel).

(source: Reuters)