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Mexican economy seen growing up to 3.5% in 2024, draft budget plan programs

Mexico's economy is seen growing in between 2.5% and 3.5% this year and after that expanding 2.0% to 3.0% in 2025, a draft budget from the nation's finance ministry revealed on Wednesday.

Inflation in Latin America's second-biggest economy is expected to tick down to 3.8% this year, according to the draft, basically fulfilling the reserve bank's target of 3%, plus or minus one portion point. The anticipated 2024 inflation rate would likewise signal a slowdown from the 4.40% annualized development rate in consumer costs in February.

For 2025, the draft spending plan anticipates that inflation will further relieve to 3.3%.

The file, which is used by lawmakers to plan future costs, likewise sees Mexico's peso trading at 17.8 pesos per dollar this year, and a little deteriorating to 18.0 versus the U.S. currency next year.

Average crude oil production this year is forecast at 1.85 million barrels each day (bpd), rising slightly to 1.86 million bpd in 2025.

While the draft budget said the estimates describe crude volumes, the federal government normally combines crude with condensate liquids in its figures.

Authorities information reveals that state-owned oil business Pemex pumped an average of

1.55 million bpd

of crude in February, its least expensive level since 1979.

Pemex's oil output, the sales of which are a significant factor to public finances, has actually been on a consistent decrease from its peak of 3.4 million bpd two decades ago.

On the other hand, crude exports are anticipated to reach 967,600 bpd this year and drop to 958,400 bpd next year.

(source: Reuters)