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Concerns about US-Iran Peace Deal, Restored Supply, and Oil Prices are causing a rebound in the price of oil

Concerns about US-Iran Peace Deal, Restored Supply, and Oil Prices are causing a rebound in the price of oil
Concerns about US-Iran Peace Deal, Restored Supply, and Oil Prices are causing a rebound in the price of oil

The oil prices rose on Tuesday due to concerns over the lack of detail in a preliminary agreement that would end the war between Iran and the U.S.

Brent crude futures rose?26 cents or 0.3% to $83.42 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate was up 46 cents or 0.3% to $81.12 per barrel as of 0108 GMT. Oil prices dropped by almost 5% on Monday to their lowest level since March 4. U.S. president Donald Trump announced that a memorandum-of-understanding had been signed to end the U.S. and Israeli war with Iran. The conflict shut down the Strait-of-Hormuz, which carried about one-fifth the world's supply of oil before the conflict.

The full details of the memo have not yet been made public and there hasn't been a truce permanent.

Early indications are that the agreement will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which has been closed for the past 60 years. It will also extend the ceasefire period by 60 days. This would allow negotiators the opportunity to address difficult issues such as the future of Iran’s nuclear program.

Masoud Pezeshkian, the Iranian president said that the U.S. and Iran memorandum was "an important step" towards stopping the fighting. However, a final agreement on a lasting ceasefire "has yet take shape."

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that the market will likely show some restraint in regards to the further unwinding the risk premium in energy markets.

According to a senior Iranian official, Iran will freeze its nuclear activities until a final deal is reached. This includes refraining from further enriching uranium or expanding nuclear facilities.

It is unclear, even with the current agreement how quickly the curtailed supplies will be able return to the market.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst at IG. He said, "The path to normal supply flow remains far from'straightforward.

Sycamore said that clearing mines, restoring marine insurance coverage and allowing vessels and operators to feel comfortable returning to the Gulf would all take some time.

(source: Reuters)