Latest News

The world shares are nearing record highs due to geopolitical tensions and AI optimism

As international tensions simmered on Friday, global stocks hovered around record highs. The?dollar also held close to a six-week peak as traders reduced bets about Federal Reserve interest rate reductions.

Gold, the safe-haven, was little changed. Oil prices, however, rebounded after a previous decline, as U.S. president Donald Trump, who had earlier threatened intervention, adopted a "wait-and-see" attitude toward Iran. Since the beginning of the year, the markets have been focusing on international politics following Trump's actions in Venezuela and threats to takeover Greenland.

Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone said: "Although we seem to have dialled down the likelihood of U.S. Intervention in the Middle East, I don't believe we can completely rule it out."

US PUBLIC HOLIDAY CURBS MARKET ACTIVITY

Brown stated that market participants might lack confidence ahead of Monday's Martin Luther King Jr. Day U.S. holiday.

He said: "I would not be confident if I were running a long-risk book or short-crude for a three-day holiday with Middle East tensions this high." After reaching a record-high on Thursday, the pan-European Stoxx 600 Index was down 0.1%. The Stoxx 600 index is on track to finish the fifth week in a row in 'positive territory,' extending gains from the end of the year 2025 into this new year. The CAC 40 in France was down 0.7%, lagging behind regional peers due to political uncertainty. French government postponed Friday talks on its budget for 2026 because lawmakers failed to reach an agreement.

U.S. Stock Futures point to a strong start on Wall Street. A week of earnings will conclude with State Street's results. In 'Asia', indexes dominated by tech in Taiwan and South 'Korea reached all-time highs as stellar results from Taiwanese semiconductor maker TSMC revived AI trade. U.S.-Taiwan trade agreement signed on Thursday reduces tariffs for many semiconductor exports and directs investment towards U.S. tech industry. It could also anger China.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst for IG. He said, "I think with the TSMC's report yesterday sounding pretty solid and optimistic, it provided a much needed shot in the arms for those AI names that have struggled on Wall Street over the past few months."

The U.S.

premarket

Trading showed that semiconductor stocks were on course to extend their AI fueled rally, as Intel and Nvidia began to edge up.

TRADERS WATCH FOR YEN INTERVENTION The yen has been the focus of attention on the currency markets since Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Catayama stated that Tokyo would not exclude any options for countering excessive volatility in foreign exchange, including coordinated intervention with the United States. Her comments boosted the yen a little. After a report that stated some Bank of Japan policymakers are open to raising interest rates earlier than the markets expected, April is a possibility.

Dollar was down by 0.3% last time at around 158yen. Investors are betting that a snap Japanese election could be held as early as next month. This would lead to a fiscal stimulus by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Dollar hovers 'near a 6-week high following U.S. Economic releases this week, including data showing that the number of Americans who filed new unemployment benefit applications unexpectedly dropped last week. The dollar was at 99.21 against a basket currency, which is close to its peak of 99.493 on Thursday, its highest level since early December.

The markets have priced in 20% of a Fed rate reduction in March. This is down from 50% about a month earlier. Prices on the oil market rose slightly, as supply risk remained a focus despite the decreasing likelihood of an American military strike against Iran. Brent crude and U.S. West Texas Intermediate traded at roughly 1.2% higher. Gold spot was stable at $4,611 per ounce and recouped some of its earlier losses. (Reporting from Sophie Kiderlin and Rae Wee, in London; editing by Dhara Ranasinghe & Andrew Heavens).

(source: Reuters)