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Antofagasta CEO: Trump's copper tariffs may help the project in the US that has been stalled.
Ivan Arriagada, CEO of Antofagasta Chilean Copper Mines, said that the Trump Administration's decision to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports has created an opportunity for the copper project which had been stalled in the United States. Antofagasta, a London-listed company, operates four copper mines and is developing Twin Metals Copper and Nickel Mine in Minnesota. However the project was halted after the previous Biden administration refused to grant permits due to environmental concerns. "We have a new project, and we see a chance to develop it in this context," Arriagada said at an event. He noted that it would be years before the final decision on investment could be taken. "We must continue to work with a longer-term perspective." He added that the miner had maintained its mid-term and longer-term contracts. There were no additional copper shipments for now to the United States. Since President Donald Trump opened an investigation into possible tariffs on imports of copper in February, U.S. firms have been stocking up on the metal. Chile is the largest copper producer in the world. Speaking alongside Arriagada in Chile, Mining Minister Aurora Williams said that the government has not received any precise information on how copper tariffs will be implemented. Reporting by Fabian Cambero; Writing by Daina-Beth Solomon; Editing and Marguerita Chy.
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Nine more suspects named in Pertamina corruption probe
The Indonesia Attorney General's Office named nine new suspects on Thursday in a corruption probe involving the state energy company PT Pertamina. Indonesia previously named several former Pertamina executives in an investigation of alleged corruption between 2018 and 2023. The state and economy suffered losses of 285 trillion Rupiah (17.58 billion dollars) as a result of the criminal activities, according to prosecutors. Abdul Qohar is a director of the AGO. He said that the nine people named by the AGO were six former executives from Pertamina or its subsidiaries, a manager who worked at Trafigura trading company, a manager for Mahameru Kencana Abadi shipping company, and a beneficiary owner at PT Orbit Terminal Merak fuel terminal. Abdul, a reporter, said that the suspects had been involved in improper imports crude oil and fuels, incorrect shipping leases, and leases for fuel terminals. Pertamina's spokesperson stated on Thursday that they respect the legal process in place and are cooperating. Trafigura didn't respond immediately to an e-mail sent to the address on their website asking for a comment. PT Mahameru couldn't be reached after office hours. PT Orbit was not accessible and could not be reached immediately. In May, Indonesian investigators approached several trading firms in Singapore to conduct an investigation. Reporting by Fransiska Naangoy, editing by Philippa Feletcher.
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Argentina appeals U.S. Court Order to Transfer 51% YPF Share
According to a Thursday court filing, Argentina has filed notice of its appeal against a U.S. ruling ordering the country to surrender the 51% stake in the state energy company YPF. The notice was filed at the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York and appeals a Judge Loretta Preska's decision requiring Argentina hand over shares in partial satisfaction of a $16.1 billion judgment over the state takeover in 2012 of YPF. The case revolves around Argentina's seizure by Repsol of a 51 percent stake in YPF without making a bid to minority shareholders Petersen Energia Inversora or Eton Park Capital Management. Preska ordered Argentina in September 2023 to pay $14,39 billion to Petersen, and $1.71 to Eton Park. Argentina is appealing the ruling. The Argentine Government did not respond immediately to a comment request from. Preska's move is a blow to President Javier Milei. His administration has been trying to boost foreign currency reserves, rein in inflation and manage a heavy debt load. (Reporting and Writing by Eliana Razewski. Editing by Aida Pelaez-Fernandez.)
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Documents show that EU countries want to keep Russian gas withdrawal plans secret.
A document internal to the EU, seen by, shows that European Union governments would like Brussels to keep secret their plans to stop using Russian oil and natural gas by 2027. Last month, the European Commission proposed legislation to phase-out EU imports from Russia. A part of this would require countries produce national plans outlining measures and timelines on how they will achieve this. A draft document of the negotiations showed that EU governments are currently negotiating this proposal and have requested the Commission to keep these plans secret. The document was drafted by Denmark, which currently holds the rotating EU Presidency and is leading negotiations between EU countries. The plan should also include "an explanation of the intended national or regional measures to reduce demand and encourage renewable energy production, as well as any technical, contractual, or regulatory barriers that may hinder diversification." Some countries may not want to share sensitive information about their plans for sourcing fuel from non-Russian sources or information that could impact gas prices. The document stated that while countries would still have to submit their plans for approval to Brussels, they would be required to maintain "professional secrecy", which would prevent the information from being disclosed to anyone else or any authority. The Commission's proposal did not confirm whether the plans will be kept secret. A spokesperson for the Danish EU presidency declined comment on the talks. Diplomats from EU countries will review the document in the coming week. EU diplomats say that the negotiations are still in their early stages and haven't yet addressed issues such as potential legal risks to companies who break their Russian gas contract. Slovakia and Hungary continue to import Russian gas by pipeline. They opposed the Russian Gas Ban, which Brussels designed to be passed legally without their support. Slovakia, however, has stated that it will not approve new EU sanctions against Russia for its war in Ukraine (which require unanimous approval by all 27 EU member states) unless the concerns about gas supplies are addressed. The ambassadors of EU countries are expected to discuss the package of sanctions on Friday. Robert Fico, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, said that on Thursday it was still unclear whether or not the EU has addressed Slovakia's concerns over high gas prices and its demands for compensation due to a halt in Russian gas imports. Last week, European Commission officials visited Bratislava to discuss the concerns of the government. Fico stated, "At this time, we refuse vote for the 18th set of sanctions." Kate Abnett is the reporter. Jan Lopatka contributed additional reporting. Mark Potter (Editor)
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Trump's tariffs - What is in effect now and what might be coming?
Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has started a global war of trade with a variety of tariffs targeting individual products and nations. Trump has set an initial tariff of 10% for all imports into the United States. He also imposed additional duties on specific products or countries. Here is a listing of the targeted tariffs that he has implemented, or has threatened to implement. TARIFFS ON PRODUCTS ARE IN EFFECT Steel and Aluminum - 50% Automobiles and auto parts: 25% TARIFFS ON PRODUCTS - A THREAT Copper - 50% will take effect on August 1 Pharmacies - Up to 200% Semiconductors with a 25% or greater content Movies – 100% Timber and lumber Critical Minerals Aircraft, engines, and parts COUNTRY Tariffs in Effect Canada - 10% for energy products and 25% for all other products that are not covered by the U.S. Canada-Mexico Agreement Mexico - 25% on products that are not covered by USMCA China: 30% with some additional tariffs United Kingdom – 10% with certain auto and metal imports excluded from the higher global rates Vietnam - 20% on certain products and 40% on transshipments of third country products COUNTRY TARIFFS TO TAKE EFFECT ON AUGUST 1, Algeria 30% Bangladesh 35% Bosnia and Herzegovina 30% Brazil 50% Brunei 25% Cambodia 36% Indonesia 32% Iraq 30% Japan 25% Kazakhstan 25% Laos 40% Libya 30% Malaysia 25% Moldova 25% Myanmar 40% Philippines 20% Serbia 35% Sri Lanka 30% South Africa 30% South Korea 25% Thailand 36% Tunisia 25%
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Climate Prediction Center predicts ENSO neutral conditions for August to October with a 56% chance.
The U.S. Climate Prediction Center said that El Nino and Southern Oscillation neutral conditions will be likely in summer 2025 in the Northern Hemisphere, with 56% of the chance occurring in August to October. Climate Prediction Center stated that neither El Nino nor La Nina is likely. The CPC stated on Thursday that the chances of La Nina conditions increasing into the fall and Winter 2025-2026 are comparable to ENSO neutral, but will remain similar. Why it's important El Nino is the warming of ocean temperatures on the surface in eastern and central Pacific. This can cause crop damage, fires, or flash floods. La Nina is a part of El Nino and the Southern Oscillation, which affects the water temperatures in central and eastern Pacific Ocean. La Nina causes cooler water temperatures which increases the risk of droughts and floods. This can have an impact on crops. When ENSO neutral, water temperature stays around average, leading to better weather and possibly higher crop yields. CONTEXT The Japan weather bureau stated that the normal weather patterns continue and that the La Nina phenomena is likely to emerge in autumn of the Northern Hemisphere. The National Weather Service of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has forecast above-normal activity for hurricanes in the Atlantic basin during the 2025 season. KEY QUOTES The neutral ENSO will continue until at least the end the year. The odds of transitioning to El Nino or La Nina is rather low. However, the odds of La Nina being slightly higher than El Nina, as we move closer to fall and winter, said Donald Keeney. The ENSO neutral conditions will increase planting and yields for corn/soybeans, both in the U.S. and South America. However, they may lower expectations for wheat in Australia.
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Gold firms as safe-havens amid rising trade tensions
The gold price edged higher on Thursday, as traders flocked to bullion in response to rising trade tensions. However, gains were capped by a rise in the dollar. By 1307 GMT, spot gold had risen 0.4% to $3326.48 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures rose 0.4% to $3335.10. Daniel Pavilonis is a senior market strategist with RJO Futures. He said, "I believe that the entire metals complex has gone up due to the knock-on effect of the tariffs on copper." "However there are limited upsides unless a geopolitical escalate occurs." On Wednesday, U.S. president Donald Trump launched another tariff attack, announcing new tariffs of 50% on U.S. imports of copper and 50% on Brazilian goods, both starting on August 1. In a recent note, Paul Wong, Market Strategist, Sprott Asset Management, said that gold is "gaining in popularity among emerging economies, who see its counterparty-free properties as appealing in a world weighed down by geopolitical risks." Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting in June showed that only "a few" officials felt rates could be cut as early as this month. Most policymakers are still worried about the inflationary impact they expect from tariffs. The U.S. Dollar index rose 0.2%, limiting the price increase. When the U.S. Dollar strengthens, gold tends to lose its appeal as it becomes more costly for investors who hold other currencies. The number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits dropped unexpectedly last week. This suggests that employers are holding onto workers despite signs of a cooling of the labor market. Silver spot rose by 1.4%, to $36.62 per ounce. Wong said that if you break above $35, it increases your chances of reaching $40. Palladium rose 3.5%, to $1144.40, while platinum gained 0.3%, to $1350.95.
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Rivers in southwest China exceed warning levels and thousands are evacuated
State media reported that 25 rivers in southwest China were above safe levels after the remnants from former typhoon Danas combined with East Asian Monsoon Rains. More than 10,000 people had been evacuated. Meteorologists attribute extreme rainfall and severe floods to climate change. They pose a major challenge as they threaten to overwhelm the ageing flood defences and displace millions. Beijing Daily, a state-run publication, reported that heavy rains hit the capital as well. One area of the Chaoyang district received 68.2mm (2.7") in just one hour, on Thursday morning. The water ministry warned that ten rivers in the southwest, including Longyan which flows through densely populated Chongqing region, could rupture their levees and embankments at any moment, according to broadcaster CCTV. It added that the remaining 15 were above the level at which their banks could be blown up, but still posed a lower risk. The broadcaster reported that more than 24 hours torrential rainfall had pushed the Chishui River in Guizhou Province to its highest level since records began in 1952, and the Xiaocao River, in Sichuan Province, was at its highest for 29 years. State media reported that more than 10,000 people had been evacuated from cities of Sichuan province and Yunnan province on Wednesday, as monsoon rains from East Asia pushed northward from India. Xinhua reported on Thursday that two people were killed by torrential rainfall in Yunnan’s Zhaotong City. Beijing's health authorities have warned that the combination between frequent downpours and high temperatures, as well as humidity, increases the risk of food and water contamination. Reporting by Joe Cash & Ethan Wang. Clarence Fernandez, Mark Potter and Clarence Fernandez edited the report.
Japan re-signs long-term LNG contracts on AI boom and national energy plan
The emergence of artificial intelligence and the rising cost of cleaner energy, combined with a new energy plan and the rise in costs for cleaner energy, has brought Japan back into the limelight for LNG producers.
Japan, which is the second largest LNG importer in the world, has secured long-term deals with Qatar, and other buyers are also securing such agreements.
Japan's LNG exports have been falling for over a decade, as the nuclear power plants that were idled following the Fukushima catastrophe began to operate again and renewable energy sources grew.
The AI boom will require enormous power consumption from data centres. Japan's 7th Strategic Energy Plan, released in February, identified gas as an important source of energy even after the country achieves its goal of achieving zero net carbon emission by 2050.
Yukio KANI, CEO of JERA (Japan's largest power generator and LNG purchaser), said that the data centre boom is changing the curve. "If we need quick solutions for data centers, Japan needs LNG." This is an external change."
Kani stated that the rising costs of alternative fuels such as hydrogen and ammonia have also dimmed the prospects for these fuels.
He said, "Until two to three years ago, ammonia development was expected to be faster, but we now have paused." "In the last year or two, we have been switching back to LNG."
STILL IN THE MIX
According to the Japanese energy plan, if Japan meets its target of reducing emissions, it is expected that annual LNG demand will fall from 66 millions tons to 53-61 million tons by 2040. In a scenario with lagging decarbonisation technology, METI predicted that demand would rise to 74 millions tons.
Amid price volatility and the risk of supply disruption, the plan calls for public/private cooperation in order to secure long-term fuel contracts. Under Japan's previous decarbonisation-focussed energy plan, gas importers had hesitated to sign long-term contracts.
Takashi Uchida is the chairman of Japan Gas Association, and Tokyo Gas, the top city gas supplier.
Lachlan Clancy, energy partner of Herbert Smith Freehills Kramer, said: "It is very clear that LNG can play a significant role as a fuel for transition, and now it is firmly in the mix during this investment cycle."
According to the Organization for Cross-regional Coordination of Transmission Operators in Japan, Japan has also auctioned new gas-fired capacity to replace coal power plants. In the last two years, 7 gigawatts were awarded.
The organisation predicted that the capacity of LNG-fired power plants would increase to 85.75GW by 2034, from 79.98GW in 2024.
According to Japan's Energy Plan, power generation is expected to increase between 12% and 22 % from levels in 2023 up until between 1,100 terawatt hours and 1,200 Terawatt Hours by 2040. The International Energy Agency predicts that Japan's data centers will consume 80% more energy, or 15 TWh by 2030.
Morgan Stanley predicts that Japan's imports of LNG will reach 78 million tonnes in 2030, as the gas-fired generation of electricity increases amid rising costs for solar and wind energy.
'UNCERTAINTY AHEAD'
Since METI's energy plan was released, Osaka Gas has signed a 15 year pact, Kyushu Electric Power announced that it would be signing a long-term contract with Energy Transfer. JERA also inked four deals of 20 years with U.S. companies NextDecade Infrastructure, Cheniere Marketing, and Commonwealth LNG.
From late 2022 until early this year, Japanese purchasers announced three contracts longer than 10 years.
Masanori Odaka, analyst at Rystad Energy, predicts that more deals will be made soon as utilities look to replace volumes expiring for supply security, and to meet seasonal demand.
Last month, it was reported that JERA and Mitsui & Co were in discussions for a long-term supply of electricity from QatarEnergy’s North Field Expansion Project.
There is still uncertainty about Japan's LNG demand, mainly because of its inability to meet its carbon neutrality goals and the pace at which it restarts nuclear plants.
Importers have increased their trading operations to address this issue and are now pursuing flexible contracts.
Tokyo Gas' Uchida said that, with the government providing multiple future scenarios it was no longer possible to give a definitive forecast for energy demand and supply. This highlights the uncertainty in the near future.
(source: Reuters)