Latest News

Traders say that China's imports of coking coal will rise due to the Shanxi mine accident, which has affected supply.

Traders say that China's imports of coking coal will rise due to the Shanxi mine accident, which has affected supply.
Traders say that China's imports of coking coal will rise due to the Shanxi mine accident, which has affected supply.

China's coking coal imports are expected to increase this year, after a deadly?mine accident reduced the domestic supply. Chinese importers are turning to Canada and Australia as producers for June and July delivery after 155 mines in Shanxi province, China's largest coal producer, closed for safety checks in response to the accident that occurred in late May. Local coking coal costs had soared after the closures.

A survey conducted by the consultancy Mysteel revealed that as of June 17th, 64% of production capacity affected had resumed.

Johnny Deng, vice-manager of ferrous metals for trading firm Gent Commodity?, told the Singapore Coking Coal Conference on Thursday that production was still below pre-accident levels. He anticipates that the utilisation rate will average between 70% and 80%. This is down from earlier levels of 105% to 110%.

Deng said, "We imported a few Canadian loads into China when the prices soared after the accident."

The price of coking coal futures reached a 19-month peak on June 8 at 1,486.5 yuan per ton, but has fallen 5% in the last week. State media reported last month that the initial investigation revealed 'further safety concerns at the mines. The government has pledged to leave no stone untouched.

Edwin Yeo is a senior manager at trading firm Exen Resources. He expects that there will be a shortage between 20 and 30 million tons, even after the plants are restarted.

He told the conference that this was especially true for higher-grade cargoes which are not available from Russia or Mongolia. China's coking coal imports in the first quarter of this year have risen by 20% from their low point a year earlier due to increased supply from major producers like Mongolia and better border logistics. This is despite a drop in steel production of 4.1%. This increase in Chinese imports also prompted concerns about stiffer competition among global suppliers. Junxing Zhang is a manager of PT Kinrui New Energy Technologies Indonesia. The company produces metallurgical coal. Zhang stated that "we cannot compete with them in a market where coals are very popular," adding that they purchase material from countries with less demand for Chinese coal, such as Colombia and the U.S. to keep costs down. Some traders and steelmakers, however, are wary of importing more coal into China due to the tightened steel margins and uncertainty in steel demand. It's difficult to predict the prices in two or three months...we haven't decided to purchase more seaborne cargoes," said an executive from a Chinese Steelmaker at a conference. The manager declined to give his name as he was not authorized to speak to media. The trader also said that the gap in price between imports and domestic coking coal has shrunk, which reduces the incentive to increase shipping. (Reporting and editing by Florence Tan, Eileen Soreng and Amy Lv)

(source: Reuters)