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Oil prices rise as Middle East inflation worries persist

On Tuesday, stocks fell and oil prices soared to $100 per barrel as investors fretted about inflation and the ongoing conflict in Middle East.

The three main U.S. indexes all fell on Tuesday, starting off the holiday-shortened work week in a negative note. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended down 1.18%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 fell 0.58%. And the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.32%.

The MSCI index of global stocks was down by 0.55% last week.

Oil prices rose after the?Houthis, backed by Iran, attacked Saudi energy installations in Yemen. Brent crude oil rose 2.13% to $99,07 per barrel while U.S. crude increased 2.82% to $94,05 per barrel.

Inflation has risen in recent weeks and this is partly due to the rise in bond yields which have reached multi-year highs. This puts pressure on central banks to increase interest rates.

The European Central Bank will almost certainly raise the euro zone rates by a quarter-point on Thursday of this week. Meanwhile, the Bank of Tokyo is likely to do the same thing next week. This has put the yen in a position for its biggest rally in the past two years. Federal Reserve will also be reviewing its rates on September 16, issuing a statement.

The U.S. data on inflation released by the Federal Reserve this Friday may be decisive for setting expectations about the outcome of its upcoming meeting. Money markets indicate that traders currently attach a 58% chance to a rate increase.

The yen's rise is a major concern for the global markets. Oil was the main theme on Tuesday. Due to its low yield, traders borrowed yen to buy higher-yielding assets, including currencies, bonds, and equities. This strategy is known as carry trading.

The yen gained nearly 4% in the past week, its biggest week-on week increase since July 2024. On Tuesday it was around 153.97 and the dollar was slightly lower for the day.

The dollar index, which measures greenbacks against a basket currencies including the yen, the euro and other major currencies, increased by 0.02% at 98.86.

Copper, a commodity other than oil, hit a new record on Tuesday as the global supply was tightened. The metal continued to flow into the U.S. in anticipation of possible tariffs.

The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange was up 1.5% to $14,728 per ton.

On the bond market, U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury bills yielded 4.8%. This was not far from their highest since November 20,23.

(source: Reuters)