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Singapore exports fall unexpectedly by 3.5% in May

Singapore exports fall unexpectedly by 3.5% in May

Singapore's domestic non-oil exports dropped 3.5% from the same period a year ago, according to government data released on Tuesday. This was in contrast with analyst expectations, as shipments into the United States plummeted a month after Washington announced new tariffs. The drop was compared to a poll prediction of an 8.0% growth year-on-year, and came after a 12.4% increase in April. Electronics shipments rose slightly, but petrochemicals and non-monetary gold as well as specialised machinery dropped.

Brian Lee, an economist at Maybank, said that a boost in exports caused by frontloading is cooling. This can be seen in the 20,6% drop in exports from the United States compared to a year ago after five months of growth. He suggested that the drop could have been made worse by a large base from a year ago.

In May, exports to Taiwan and Indonesia increased on an annual basis, while those to Thailand, Malaysia, and the U.S. decreased. The outlook remains uncertain for the financial center as the United States' tariffs are expected to slow global trade. Singapore's GDP forecast was downgraded in April from 1%-3% to 0%-2%, citing the risk of a recession and job loss. Gan Kim Yong, Singapore's Trade Minister, said in May that the U.S. would not budge from its 10% tariff on Singapore but that the nation was working to negotiate concessions for pharmaceutical tariffs President Trump had threatened to implement.

Singapore, one of the most open economies in the world, is often viewed as a bellwether economy for global growth. Its international trade dwarfs that of its domestic market. (Reporting and editing by John Mair; Reporting by Jun Yuan Yong)

(source: Reuters)