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United States retail sales to increase at a slower pace in 2024, states NRF

U.S. retail sales are anticipated to increase as much as 3.5% this year, a slower pace than 2023, industry body National Retail Federation said on Wednesday, as sticky inflation dampens hopes of a strong recovery in consumer spending.

CONTEXT

U.S. consumer rates increased sturdily in February on higher costs for gas and shelter, the 2nd straight month of firmer inflation readings from the Labor Department.

Huge merchants, consisting of Walmart and Target, have laid out conservative forecasts for the year, as shoppers browse an uncertain macroeconomic environment.

Blended financial information has likewise pushed back expectations for the U.S. Federal Reserve's first rates of interest cut to June from May.

BY THE NUMBERS

The NRF has predicted retail sales to rise between 2.5% and 3.5% this year to in between $5.23 trillion and $5.28 trillion, compared with a 3.6% growth in 2023.

The trade body anticipates inflation to moderate to 2.2% on a. year-over-year basis in December, due to a cooling labor market. and retreating housing costs.

Retail sales, as defined by NRF, include both store-based. And online purchases in a broad range of retail setting. leaves out purchases at vehicle dealers, gas station and. restaurants.

SECRET PRICES QUOTE

The resiliency of consumers continues to power the American. economy, and we are confident there will be moderate however steady. growth through the end of the year, NRF President and CEO. Matthew Shay said in a statement.

I presumed mid-year decrease in the Fed funds rate,. I'm at the point where it could be moving out. That. could adversely impact substantially on decision making by. consumers, NRF Chief Economic expert Jack Kleinhenz stated. GRAPHIC

(source: Reuters)