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Venezuela will reveal its $240 billion debt load ahead of restructuring, FT reports

The Financial Times reported that Venezuela was preparing to reveal a $240 billion debt pile, which is larger than expected, as it prepared for what could be one of the largest sovereign debt restructurings in history, according to sources familiar with its plans.

Centerview Partners, a U.S.-based advisory firm, was hired by the country to assess its debts. The country has been in default since 2017 and President Nicolas Maduro, who was captured by U.S. troops in January, is in default.

Analysts estimated the total to be between $150 and $200 billion. Centerview Partners declined comment.

The FT reported that Caracas was planning to publish its 'assessment' by the end June. However, the FT also said that it may be published in early July.

Venezuelan bonds, which had been retreated over the last month following a sharp rally after Maduro was captured, rose as much as one cent per dollar in response to the report. This also applied to those issued by the state oil company PDVSA.

The FT also added that a Macroeconomic Framework Analysis, due to be released by the end this month, would estimate South America's annual economic production at around $100 billion. This implies a debt-to GDP ratio?above 200%.

Tellimer, a research firm, said that the higher-than-expected estimate of debt could affect bondholders’ "recovery expectations" -- or what creditors can expect to recover after restructuring.

The risk is greater "if the final creditor perimeter (from Caracas's perspective) is wider than expected, and if competing claims from those who want to be paid back by Caracas dilute a bondholders' recovery", they said.

A representative of the Venezuelan Creditor Committee, who is a legal expert, declined to comment.

(source: Reuters)