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The oil price is stable, but rising production offsets the disruptions in Russia's supply
The oil prices were in a narrow range on Monday, as concerns about the rising production and the impact that U.S. Tariffs will have on demand outweighed supply disruptions caused by intensified airstrikes between Russia and Ukraine. Brent crude dropped 12 cents or 0.18% to $67.36 a barge by 0046 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was down 13 cents or 0.2% at $63.88 a barge. Due to the U.S. Bank Holiday, trading is expected to be muted. Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the Ukrainian president, vowed to retaliate on Sunday by ordering further strikes in Russia following Russian drone attacks against power plants in northern and south Ukraine. Both countries have intensified their airstrikes over the past few weeks, focusing on energy infrastructure and disrupting Russian crude oil exports. According to ANZ analysts, the markets remain concerned about Russian oil flow. Weekly shipments from Russian ports have dropped to a 4-week low of 2,72 million barrels a day. The poll conducted on Friday indicated that oil prices will not rise much from their current levels in this year. This is because rising production from the top producers increases the risk of an excess, and U.S. Tariff threats are weighing on demand growth. An official survey released on Sunday showed that China's manufacturing sector shrank for the fifth consecutive month in August. This suggests that producers are holding off amid uncertainty about a possible trade agreement with the U.S., and weak domestic demand. Investors will be watching the meeting on September 7 between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies to get more clues about the rising production from OPEC+. According to the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude production reached a record in June. It increased by 133,000 barrels a day, to 13,58 million bpd. The U.S. Labor Market Report this week will provide a vital read on the health of the economy and test investors' belief that interest rates are soon to be cut. This view has boosted their appetite for riskier investments such as commodities. (Reporting and editing by Himani Sarkar; Florence Tan)
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This week, the second opposition leader to die in state custody in Nicaragua has been reported.
Local media and opposition parties reported that a critic of the authoritarian Nicaraguan government died in custody two weeks after being arrested. This comes days after another longtime critic died in detention. The deaths suggest that President Daniel Ortega, and his wife, Rosario Murillo (co-president), have intensified their crackdown on dissent, and arrested hundreds of opponents over the past few years. Since 2019, five government critics have reportedly died in government custody. Carlos Cardenas was arrested in August during police raids against government opponents. He was previously imprisoned in 2018 following a social uprising. On Saturday, the Great Nicaraguan Opposition Confederation said that the "dictatorship had handed another dead political prisoner over to his family." The Nicaraguan Government did not respond immediately to a comment request. On Monday, Nicaraguan leaders of the opposition condemned the death of Mauricio Alonso, a political activist who was detained by authorities in mid-July. Gabriela Selser, Diego Ore, and Nick Zieminski edited the story.
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FT reports that Rolls-Royce is weighing funding options for a small nuclear unit including an IPO.
The Financial Times reported that Rolls-Royce Holdings was exploring financing options for its small reactor unit. This included the possibility of a public offering. The report said that the board of directors is not in a hurry to make a decision, and the talks with banks and investment houses are still at an early stage. The Rolls-Royce SMR unit has been selected by the British government to build the first Small Modular Reactors in its plan to accelerate the decarbonisation power network starting from mid-2030. The British engineering company, which owns the majority of the unit, is planning to build three nuclear reactors. The British government has pledged to invest 2.5 billion pounds ($3.4billion) in the SMR program over the next four-year period, with the aim of launching one of Europe's earliest small-scale nuclear industries. SMRs are being pursued by other countries, including the United States of America, Canada, Romania, and the Czech Republic. If the British project is successful, it could create a global market. Rolls-Royce SMR and Rolls-Royce did not respond immediately to requests for comments outside of regular business hours. Surbhi misra, Bengaluru (Reporting and Editing by Bernadettebaum and Alex Richardson).
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Ukrainian former parliament speaker Parubiy is killed in Lviv
Andriy Parubiy, a former Ukrainian parliamentary speaker, was killed in Lviv (west Ukraine) on Saturday. A manhunt is underway to find the assailant. The office of the Prosecutor-General said that a gunman shot several times at Parubiy and killed him instantly. It said that the attacker fled, and a manhunt had been launched. Parubiy was 54 years old and a member in the parliament. He was the speaker of the chamber from April 2016 until August 2019 and was also one of the protest leaders who called for closer relations with the European Union during the 2013-14 period. From February to August of 2014, he was the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council. This was a time when fighting broke out in eastern Ukraine and Russia annexed Crimea. The officials did not immediately indicate whether this murder was directly linked to Russia's conflict in Ukraine. "Minister for Internal Affairs Ihor Klymenko, and Prosecutor-General Ruslan Kravchenko just reported the first circumstances known of an horrific murder in Lviv. Andriy Paraubiy was killed," Volodymyr Zelenskiy wrote in a letter to X. He expressed his condolences to Parubiy's loved ones and family, adding: "All the necessary means and forces are being used in the investigation and the search for the murderer." The shooting was reported to the national police at about noon (0900 GMT). Lviv Mayor Andriy Sadovyi stressed the importance of finding the attacker and determining the circumstances of this attack. He wrote on Telegram: "This is about security in a war-torn country, where we can see that there are no places completely safe." TRIBUTES POUR IN The government and parliament colleagues paid tribute to Parubiy for his contribution to Ukraine’s struggle for independence and sovereignty as one of the leaders in the protests that became known as Euromaidan in 2013-14. On Telegram, the former president Petro Poroshenko stated that the murder of Parubiy was "a shot at the heart" of Ukraine. Parubiy was a member the parliamentary committee for national security, defense and intelligence. "Andriy is a great person and a friend." "They are afraid, and that's why they want revenge," he said. He praised Parubiy for his contribution to the building of the Ukrainian Army. In a Telegram statement, Andrii Sybiha, the Foreign Minister, described Parubiy, as "a patriot, a statesman, who has made a tremendous contribution to the defense of Ukraine's independence, freedom and sovereignty." He is a man that belongs in history. The Ukrainian police did not provide any information about the identity or motives of the killer. Yulia Shvyrydenko, Ukrainian Prime Minister, called for an immediate investigation into the murder. She described it as "a profound loss" to the country. She wrote: "You have always been a patriot and contributed greatly to the creation of our country."
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OWC Gets Cable Engineering Job for GreenVolt Floating Wind Farm
Renewable energy consultancy OWC has secured cable engineering support job for the 560 MW GreenVolt floating wind farm offshore Scotland, being developed by Flotation Energy and Vårgrønn, a joint venture firm created by Plenitude (Eni) and HitecVision.OWC’s scope of work includes cable engineering for both offshore and onshore cables.The subsea scope focuses primarily on the export cable, but OWC will also support inter array cable system design and alignment.The onshore engineering scope includes technical responsibility for the cable that runs from the landfall site near Aberdeen to an onshore substation.“It is a privilege to support a project that is setting new standards for floating wind and local content. Our contribution demonstrates the value of U.K.-based engineering talent and strengthens our position as a go-to partner for complex offshore wind developments,” said Will Cleverly, CEO of OWC.The GreenVolt project will deliver renewable electricity to oil and gas platforms, replacing existing natural gas and diesel power generation, while also providing power to the U.K. grid.The project has received support as part of Crown Estate Scotland’s Innovation and Targeted Oil & Gas (INTOG) leasing round.
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Elliott Affiliate's bid of $5.89 billion recommended as the winner of Citgo's auction
According to documents filed by the officer overseeing sale, a $5.89 billion offer from an affiliate hedge fund Elliott Investment Management was recommended as the winning bid in a U.S.-court-organized auction for shares of the Venezuelan-owned refiner Citgo Petroleum. Robert Pincus, a court officer, made the recommendation despite an attempt by a Gold Reserve subsidiary to sweeten their $7.4 billion deal earlier in the week. Pincus, in a ruling earlier this month said that an improved offer from Elliott's subsidiary Amber Energy was superior. The court then gave the Gold Reserve Group three days to match the bid. Pincus stated on Friday that Gold Reserve's Dalinar Energy transaction "didn't match or exceed the Amber Sale transaction and therefore the Amber Sale transaction continues to be a superior proposition." The proceeds of the auction are expected to compensate a few creditors who have been fighting in U.S. court since 2017 for nearly $19 billion after Venezuela expropriated its assets and defaulted. (Reporting and editing by Julia Symmes Cobb; Marianna Pararaga)
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California waives penalties for high profits from refineries
California's Energy Commission decided on Friday to set aside for a temporary period penalties for excessive refinery profits, which were adopted in response to the rise of gasoline prices over $8 per gallon by 2022. Phillips 66 Los Angeles refinery, which is preparing for a permanent shutdown by the end of next week, has delayed implementing penalties by five years. In an email, the staff of the Commission stated that "the fact is that supply is decreasing faster than demand and we need them to align: this means aggressively pursuing a transition to zero-emission vehicles while slowing down supply loss." California's Democratic governor Gavin Newsom proposed the penalties but has now changed direction due to fears of price spikes after 2026 following the closure of Phillips 66 refinery, and a plant in the San Francisco area operated by Valero Energy Corp. Both companies said declining gasoline demand promoted by state's policies in favor of non-fossil-fuel-powered vehicles made the once-lucrative California market untenable in the long-term. California has set a goal of banning the sale fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035. Western States Petroleum Association, which called for a 20-year delay in the penalties, said that global oil markets determine prices and not state policies. Consumer Watchdog, a group within the state of California, has criticized officials for their change in policy. Consumer Watchdog's Jamie Court wrote in a letter before the vote that by removing the penalty, California officials were opening the market up to the price spikes of 2022. The commission also adopted policies to stabilize California’s refinery capacity and increase motor fuel imports, as well as to promote the development of the oil reserves in the state. California is separated from U.S. refinery centers in the Midwest and along the Gulf Coast by the Rocky Mountains. The state depends on the refineries in Washington and California as well as Asian imports.
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California waives penalties for high profits from refineries
California's Energy Commission decided on Friday to set aside for a temporary period penalties for excessive refinery profits, which were adopted in response to the rise of gasoline prices over $8 per gallon by 2022. The delay of five years in implementing penalties comes at a time when Phillips 66 Los Angeles refinery prepares to start shutting down production next week, ahead of a complete closure. California's Democratic governor Gavin Newsom proposed the penalties but has now changed direction due to fears of price spikes after 2026 following the closure of a Phillips 66 plant and a Valero Energy Corp. plant in the San Francisco area next year. Both companies said declining gasoline demand promoted by state's policies in favor of non-fossil-fuel-powered vehicles made the once-lucrative California market untenable in the long-term. California has set a goal of banning the sale fossil fuel-powered cars by 2035. Western States Petroleum Association, which called for a 20-year delay in the penalty, supported this decision. WSPA has criticized the Energy Commission's claim that the threat of fines had kept gas prices low in the State. Catherine Reheis Boyd, WSPA president, said late last year that "no mandates, rules or decrees have been issued by Sacramento since 2019." Consumer Watchdog, a group within the state of California, has criticized officials for their change of direction. Consumer Watchdog's Jamie Court wrote in a letter before the vote that by removing the penalty, California officials were opening the market up to the price spikes of 2022. The commission also adopted policies to stabilize California’s refinery capacity and increase motor fuel imports, as well as to promote the development of the oil reserves in the state. California is separated from U.S. refinery centers in the Midwest and along the Gulf Coast by the Rocky Mountains. The state depends on the refineries in Washington and California as well as Asian imports.
Tumbling US gas rates show unstoppable, hurting manufacturers
For almost a. year, U.S. natural gas producers have actually slammed the brakes on. production as rates fall. However relentless output gains including. from oil companies that pump gas as an oil by-product have. released record supplies.
In the oil versus gas contest, gas manufacturers are losing. Some are shutting in wells, canceling projects or selling. themselves to rivals to avoid losses. Natural gas costs this. month was up to an inflation-adjusted 30-year low of $1.59 per. thousand cubic feet, benefiting customers of the fuel like. utilities, but hurting manufacturers who are costing nominal. rates as low as they were in the depths of the COVID-19. downturn.
No place is the discomfort of low-cost gas as evident as Denver-based. BKV Corp. In the last five years, it invested $2.7 billion to. get 4,000 gas wells and 2 gas-fired power plants. It. vowed $250 million to build a lots underground carbon capture. and storage websites to make its gas more climate friendly.
The nosedive in U.S. gas costs has actually stalled BKV's prepare for. a going public and scuttled the carbon joint endeavor. with Verde CO2 to combine its gas and power plants with carbon. sequestration. BKV last year directly prevented loan defaults with. a $150 million bailout by its parent.
Majority-owned by Thailand power giant Banpu Public Co., the. little-known BKV in 2016 began buying scores of U.S. gas wells,. taking castoffs from oil producers' Exxon Mobil, Devon. Energy and others.
We definitely wish to be the greatest natural gas. producer in the nation. That's my aspiration, BKV Chief. Executive Christopher Kalnin stated in an interview here in. December at its very first carbon-sequestration site.
BKV's earnings skyrocketed to $410 million in 2022 on strong. natural gas prices after Russia's intrusion of Ukraine spurred. substantial demand for exports of melted U.S. gas. The business. introduced a strategy to develop a U.S. variation of its Thai parent,. tying together gas and power. The strategy consisted of an IPO. to assist finance the gas-to-power growth and a complement of. carbon-burying wells.
CLIPPED WINGS
BKV fell back to earth under costs suffering from a. relentless unrelenting growth U.S. natural gas output. Its earnings fell. to about $79 million in its most-recently reported nine-month. duration.
U.S. gas firms in 2015 cut drilling 22% to stem the. gusher. However the flows keep coming: The U.S. will pump 105. billion cubic feet a day of gas this year, up 2.5 billion cubic. feet a day in the last year. That boost suffices to fuel. 12.5 million U.S. homes for a day.
In many industries, volume boosts are excellent. More. production equates to more revenue. Rising output has actually overwhelmed. efforts to curtail drilling and even demand from frigid. temperature levels, causing a price drop that knocked U.S. gas. just recently to less than a 3rd of 2022's typical $6.50 per. million British thermal systems. By contrast, benchmark WTI crude. prices fell simply 17%.
Oil prices have actually held steadier thanks to worldwide supply cuts. by significant OPEC producers and their allies.
Skyrocketing gas production, specifically from oil companies. who view gas as a byproduct of their output, has actually proven. reasonably insensitive to costs, stated Nicholas O'Grady, CEO. of U.S. shale gas explorer Northern Oil and Gas.
Gas producers have actually been reluctant to cut output deeply on. the potential customers of giant brand-new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants. opening this decade, he stated.
LNG exports would drain pipes the excess gas supplies and should. return rates to levels that make gas lucrative to drill again. by 2025, O'Grady and BKV's Kalnin anticipate.
There are 4 U.S. jobs with export allows on the. drawing boards that would consume approximately 6.3 billion cubic feet. If they go ahead would be producing LNG later on this, of gas that. years.
The risk is that 3rd wave of brand-new LNG plants may be. delayed or lost permanently. President Joe Biden's administration. last month indefinitely paused reviews of brand-new gas-export. licenses, jeopardizing as much as 32 billion cubic feet daily. of future consumption.
U.S. natural gas producer Comstock Resources said. recently it would reduce the variety of rigs in operation and. suspend its dividend up until gas costs increase sufficiently, while. competing Antero Resources stated it would cut drilling and drop. task costs budget plan by 26%.
' BEST STORM'
BKV, short for Banpu Kalnin Ventures, started operations in. Pennsylvania in 2016 with a strategy to buy additional old gas. fields from huge oil companies, invest just enough to hold. production steady, await prices to rise and - just then -. invest in expanding production.
The moment appeared to show up in mid-2022. As U.S. gas. reached over $9 per thousand cubic feet, BKV's Kalnin. released a costly and enthusiastic growth strategy.
In July that year, he closed on a $750 million deal for. Exxon Mobil gas homes in North Texas. The exact same. month, he obtained a Temple, Texas, gas-fired power plant for. $ 460 million. Weeks later on, he followed that deal with a $250. million collaboration with Texas-based Verde CO2 LLC to build a. dozen carbon sequestration sites across the United States.
We didn't see rates collapsing like they did, said Kalnin. at the opening of his first carbon sequestration website in. December.
Kalnin, a former McKinsey specialist who spent his early. years in Thailand and later on worked for the nation's national. oil and gas business, hasn't quit on his gas-to-power empire.
( Gas costs) are establishing for another fly-up in the. second half of 2024, Kalnin said in December, indicating. forecasts for increasing LNG need.
There are micro windows for IPOs opening up, a. spokesperson included on Tuesday. We are hoping to stay ready for. when that micro window opens. Market performances for IPOs and. gas prices require to enhance, she included.
Associated gas, which comes out of wells together with oil,. pulled the carpet out from Kalnin's vision. More than a 3rd of. all U.S. gas production comes from manufacturers drilling for oil,. according to government price quotes. That figure is increasing as. wells develop and more gas turns up than oil.
BKV last year won a lifeline from its moms and dad, selling shares. to Banpu for $150 million to avoid breaching debt covenants. Most of the money was put into a debt service account.
You have this perfect storm. A warm winter season plus too. much gas supply, both main and associated, and now, possible. hold-ups to new LNG export allows, stated Blake London, a handling. partner of private equity fund Formentera Partners.
(source: Reuters)