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VEGOILS-Palm rises on strong Dalian palm olein, crude oil prices
Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Monday for the fourth consecutive session, following the strength of crude?oil and Dalian palm olein. By midday, the benchmark palm oil contract for June delivery on the 'Bursa Malaysia derivatives exchange had gained 85 ringgit or 1.86% to 4,657 Ringgit ($1,184.99), a metric tonne. A Kuala Lumpur based trader reported that Dalian palm oil futures had seen strong gains during the morning Asian sessions, when it traded at its highest price since June 2022. The trader said that "the market was also supported" by "firmer crude oil price." Dalian's soyoil contract with the highest volume increased by 0.34% while palm oil contracts grew by 2.52%. Prices of soyoil on the Chicago Board of Trade fell by 0.95%. As palm oil competes to gain a share of the global vegetable oil?market, it tracks the price movements of its rival edible oils. The price of crude oil rose, as investors focused on threats to Middle East oil installations, despite U.S. president Donald Trump's request for nations to assist in safeguarding the Strait of Hormuz - a vital artery used for energy shipments around the world. Palm oil is a better option as a feedstock for biodiesel due to the stronger crude oil futures. Intertek Testing Services, a cargo surveyor, estimated that exports for Malaysian palm oils products from March 1-15 were up 43.5% compared to a month earlier. AmSpec Agri Malaysia will release its estimates later that day. The ringgit (the currency used to trade palms) strengthened by 0.15% against dollars, increasing the price of the commodity for buyers who hold foreign currencies. Indonesia's senior economic minister has said that if needed, the government may have to impose additional taxes on certain commodities such as palm oil in order to lessen the impact of rising oil prices on the budget. Technical analyst Wang Tao stated that palm oil could test support at 4,494 ringgit a metric tonne after twice failing to break through resistance at 4,612 ringsgit.
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Indian shares are up, but Middle East conflict limits gains
India's benchmark indexes rose on Monday morning, rebounding from their worst week for years. However, investors remain?wary that crude oil will continue to rise above $100 per barrel amid the prolonged Middle East conflict. As of 10:08 a.m. IST, the Nifty 50 index rose by 0.2%, to 23,189. The BSE Sensex increased by 0.18%, to 74697.2. Nine out of 16 major sectors were higher. Mid-cap and small cap fell by 0.2% and 0.7% respectively. The U.S. and Israeli war against?Iran has led to the closure of Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery of global oil?and?gas shipments. Brent crude was hovering around $104 per barrel as U.S. president Donald Trump called on other countries to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rising are bad for India, the third largest crude importer in the world, because they can increase the fiscal deficit and inflation, which will negatively impact the growth. V.K. Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit Investments. Vijayakumar stated that foreign portfolio investors will likely continue to sell Indian equities even if the markets rise. Since the start of the war, foreign portfolio investors sold Indian shares totaling more than $5 billion in March. This is a record monthly outflow. Citi, the broker, has lowered the year-end target for the benchmark Nifty 50 index from 28,500 to 27,000 points. The reason given was the impact that higher crude oil prices have had on the economy and earnings. The gains on Monday in Indian markets were similar to those of their Asian counterparts, who rose by 0.4%. Consumer stocks rose 0.7%, while heavyweight financials gained 0.6% to lead the gains in India. IDBI Bank's share price fell 13.3% following?media reports that the Indian government would?shelve bids received for the sale of a majority stake in the lender.
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JSW Steel unit eyes debut $1 billion shorter-duration debt issue, bankers say
Two merchant bankers on Monday said that India's JSW Kalinga Steel is set to issue its first shorter-duration bonds before the end of this month, as it aims to raise up to 95 billion rupees (about $1.03 billion). Bankers said that the company will likely sell two tranches with a five-year term each. The aim is to raise 60 billion rupees or 35 billion rupees through these bond sales. The notes would have zero-coupon paper and put and call options. Crisil rated the bonds of JKSL as AA. The ratings took into account the credit support that was expected from JKSL’s joint venture partners JSW Steel, and Japan-based JFE Steel Corporation. One of the bankers cited above said that "most of the top mutual fund companies have signed up as anchor investors and the bidding will take place at the end of this week, or early next," The bankers asked for anonymity as they were 'not authorized to speak to the media.' JKSL, however, did not respond to an email asking for comment. JSW Kalinga Steel, a 100% subsidiary of Piombino Steel Ltd., also holds a 100% shareholding in JSW Sambalpur Steel Ltd. These?entities were formed to own and operate Bhushan Power Steel Ltd.
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Chinese iron ore buyers ease buying ban
Iron ore futures fell from their two-month highs as China's state-backed buyer of iron ore eased its?ban until next week on a top-miner BHP product, while weaker steel production?and property statistics weighed on sentiment. As of 0237 GMT, the?most traded? May iron ore contract at China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.92% higher/lower. It was 807.5 yuan (US$117.08) per metric ton. Sources said that China will ease a ban on BHP's?Jimblebar fines, an iron ore product, until next week. This comes only a day after Beijing expanded restrictions against its third-largest supplier. Sources said that China would ease the ban on BHP’s iron ore product?Jimblebar fins until next week. This comes only one day after Beijing tightened restrictions on its third largest supplier. China Mineral Resources Group (the state-run iron ore buyer) told domestic steelmills they could already take delivery of Jimblebar?fines at ports in a week. Steelmakers and traders are excluded from the exception. CMRG banned steelmakers and traders in September from buying Jimblebar Fines. It has gradually expanded these restrictions, and most recently, this week, while it negotiates the terms of BHP’s 2026 Supply Contract. Statistically, the world's largest steelmaker produced 160.34 millions tons of "crude steel" in January and February, a 3.6% decrease from last year, according to the Statistics Bureau. Beijing has promised to reduce industrial production, including steel, in an orderly fashion as it struggles with persistent overcapacity. In February, home prices in China continued to drop. This indicates that the property sector remains troubled despite some signs of improvement. Steelhome, a consultancy, reported on March 13 that iron ore inventories at major Chinese ports had increased by 2.24 percent. Coking coal and coke are also included in the list of steelmaking ingredients that harden. The Shanghai Futures Exchange steel benchmarks have mostly gained. Hot-rolled coil remained unchanged, while wire rod increased by 0.3%. Stainless steel, meanwhile, lost 1.65%.
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Coal India unit Central Mine Planning seeks $1.33 billion valuation, IPO opens Friday
A newspaper advertisement states that Coal India subsidiary Central Mine Planning & Design Institute has set a price range of 163-172 rupees per share for its 18.38 billion rupee ($198.68 millions) initial public offering. The company that provides support and consultancy services for coal and minerals exploration is looking to be valued at $1.33 billion, i.e. the top of the price range. The IPO will be available for subscription between?March 20 and March 24. Global markets are under pressure due to geopolitical tensions resulting from a conflict in the Middle East. India's primary markets have also been affected by the weak sentiment, as seven out of 11 IPOs that were launched in 2026 listed below their original issue price. Bharat Coking Coal is another subsidiary of Coal India. Its debut in January saw a nearly two-fold increase, thanks to the support?of its parent and the robust demand for coking coal from steelmakers. Central Mine Planning’s IPO is a pure offer to?sell, with Coal India aiming to?offload as many shares as possible. The company reported a?profit?of 4,25 billion rupees?for the nine-month period ending?December 2025. This is up approximately 9% from the year-ago time period.
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Japan's Nikkei index falls for a third consecutive day, as the Iran crisis fuels stagflation fears
Japan's Nikkei average fell for the?third day in a row on Monday, as the Middle East Crisis threatened to cause longer-term economic damage through higher energy prices and a weaker yen. As of midday, the benchmark index?Nikkei225? fell by 1.3% to 53138.42. The Topix index, which is a broader measure of the market, fell 0.7% to 3,602.71. The Nikkei index has fallen more than 9% in the past two weeks since U.S. airstrikes on Iran began. As the conflict spread to neighbouring countries, it paralyzed the shipment of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. The Nikkei briefly rose after U.S. president Donald Trump stated that he was urging other countries in order to safeguard shipping routes. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that Japan has no plans to send?naval ships to escort vessels in the Middle East. Satsuki Katayama, the Finance Minister, said that the government was prepared to act decisively on the financial markets as the yen fell close to the psychologically significant 160 per dollar line. Maki Sawada is an equity strategist at Nomura Securities. She said that the market appears to be increasingly worried about stagflation. This occurs when economies are gripped with simultaneous increases in inflation and declines in economic growth. Sawada stated that "concerns over an economic slowdown caused by a rise in oil prices" are now being taken into account. "Rather than a general selloff, we are seeing a tendency where these domestic demand segments are performing strongly and underpinning Japan's?stock market." The Nikkei had 43 advancing stocks versus 182 declining ones. Furukawa Electric, Fujikura and other key suppliers in the artificial intelligence industry were the biggest losers. Both fell 6.7%. The index's biggest gainers were NH Foods (up 2.3%) and Denka (a chemical and advanced material company), which gained 2.2%. (Reporting and editing by Sonia Cheema in Tokyo)
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Reactions to Trump’s call for assistance to secure the Strait of Hormuz
U.S. president Donald Trump asked allies to help'secure the Strait of Hormuz' as Iranian forces 'continued attacks on this vital waterway during the U.S. and Israeli war against?Iran in its third week. Trump claimed that his administration has already reached out to seven countries but refused to name them. In an earlier post on social media, Trump said he hoped China would join the effort, as well as France, Japan and South Korea. Iran effectively closed the Strait between Iran and Oman. This narrow passage of water has cut off a fifth global oil supply, the largest disruption in history. Some countries responded to Washington's request to send ships to the region: On Monday, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that Japan has no plans to send naval vessels to escort ship in the Middle East. "We have made no decisions about dispatching escort vessels." Takaichi, a member of parliament, said that we are "continuing to look at what Japan can do on its own and what is possible within the legal framework". AUSTRALIA A government minister announced on Monday that Australia would not send ships to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz. "We will not be sending a vessel to the 'Strait of Hormuz. Catherine King, who is a cabinet member for Anthony Albanese, said in an interview with ABC that she was aware of how important this issue is. However, the government has not asked her to do so or requested that she contribute. SOUTH KOREAN The South Korean presidential office announced on Sunday that it would "communicate closely with the U.S. about this matter" and then make a "decision following a careful review." BRITAIN A Downing Street spokesperson said that Prime Minister Keir starmer and Trump discussed the necessity to reopen Strait in order to stop disruptions to global shipping. Starmer spoke with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and the two agreed to continue discussions on the Middle East conflict during a Monday meeting, said the spokeswoman. (Compiled by Himani Sarkr; edited by Michael Perry).
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China's aluminium production in January and February is up due to higher profitability
Official data released on Monday showed that China's primary aluminum output in the first two?months of 2026 increased by 3% compared to the same period last year. This was due to higher profits. According to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics, China was the world's largest producer of aluminum. In January and February alone, it produced 7.53 million metric tonnes of primary aluminium. Profit margins for light metal, which is widely used in construction, packaging and auto manufacturing, have improved, resulting in an increase in output. According to Chinese research firm Antaike, aluminium smelters made an average profit per ton of 7,879 Yuan ($1,142.26), up?2.2% from month to month, as input costs fell while the price for the light metal increased. The most active aluminium contract increased by nearly 11% in January. However, it fell back almost 7% in February. Antaike reported that the input costs fell 0.7% on a monthly basis and 6.4% annually as electricity prices and alumina raw materials dropped. The production of ten non-ferrous metals, including copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and nickel, grew by a?3.9% year-on-year to 13.42 millions tons. Other non-ferrous materials include tin, mercury, magnesium, antimony and titanium. China combines the output data from January and February to reduce the impact of Lunar New Year holidays that fall in either month. $1 = 6.8977 Chinese Yuan Renminbi (Reporting and editing by Sonali Paul; Lewis Jackson, Dylan Duan)
Tumbling US gas rates show unstoppable, hurting manufacturers
For almost a. year, U.S. natural gas producers have actually slammed the brakes on. production as rates fall. However relentless output gains including. from oil companies that pump gas as an oil by-product have. released record supplies.
In the oil versus gas contest, gas manufacturers are losing. Some are shutting in wells, canceling projects or selling. themselves to rivals to avoid losses. Natural gas costs this. month was up to an inflation-adjusted 30-year low of $1.59 per. thousand cubic feet, benefiting customers of the fuel like. utilities, but hurting manufacturers who are costing nominal. rates as low as they were in the depths of the COVID-19. downturn.
No place is the discomfort of low-cost gas as evident as Denver-based. BKV Corp. In the last five years, it invested $2.7 billion to. get 4,000 gas wells and 2 gas-fired power plants. It. vowed $250 million to build a lots underground carbon capture. and storage websites to make its gas more climate friendly.
The nosedive in U.S. gas costs has actually stalled BKV's prepare for. a going public and scuttled the carbon joint endeavor. with Verde CO2 to combine its gas and power plants with carbon. sequestration. BKV last year directly prevented loan defaults with. a $150 million bailout by its parent.
Majority-owned by Thailand power giant Banpu Public Co., the. little-known BKV in 2016 began buying scores of U.S. gas wells,. taking castoffs from oil producers' Exxon Mobil, Devon. Energy and others.
We definitely wish to be the greatest natural gas. producer in the nation. That's my aspiration, BKV Chief. Executive Christopher Kalnin stated in an interview here in. December at its very first carbon-sequestration site.
BKV's earnings skyrocketed to $410 million in 2022 on strong. natural gas prices after Russia's intrusion of Ukraine spurred. substantial demand for exports of melted U.S. gas. The business. introduced a strategy to develop a U.S. variation of its Thai parent,. tying together gas and power. The strategy consisted of an IPO. to assist finance the gas-to-power growth and a complement of. carbon-burying wells.
CLIPPED WINGS
BKV fell back to earth under costs suffering from a. relentless unrelenting growth U.S. natural gas output. Its earnings fell. to about $79 million in its most-recently reported nine-month. duration.
U.S. gas firms in 2015 cut drilling 22% to stem the. gusher. However the flows keep coming: The U.S. will pump 105. billion cubic feet a day of gas this year, up 2.5 billion cubic. feet a day in the last year. That boost suffices to fuel. 12.5 million U.S. homes for a day.
In many industries, volume boosts are excellent. More. production equates to more revenue. Rising output has actually overwhelmed. efforts to curtail drilling and even demand from frigid. temperature levels, causing a price drop that knocked U.S. gas. just recently to less than a 3rd of 2022's typical $6.50 per. million British thermal systems. By contrast, benchmark WTI crude. prices fell simply 17%.
Oil prices have actually held steadier thanks to worldwide supply cuts. by significant OPEC producers and their allies.
Skyrocketing gas production, specifically from oil companies. who view gas as a byproduct of their output, has actually proven. reasonably insensitive to costs, stated Nicholas O'Grady, CEO. of U.S. shale gas explorer Northern Oil and Gas.
Gas producers have actually been reluctant to cut output deeply on. the potential customers of giant brand-new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants. opening this decade, he stated.
LNG exports would drain pipes the excess gas supplies and should. return rates to levels that make gas lucrative to drill again. by 2025, O'Grady and BKV's Kalnin anticipate.
There are 4 U.S. jobs with export allows on the. drawing boards that would consume approximately 6.3 billion cubic feet. If they go ahead would be producing LNG later on this, of gas that. years.
The risk is that 3rd wave of brand-new LNG plants may be. delayed or lost permanently. President Joe Biden's administration. last month indefinitely paused reviews of brand-new gas-export. licenses, jeopardizing as much as 32 billion cubic feet daily. of future consumption.
U.S. natural gas producer Comstock Resources said. recently it would reduce the variety of rigs in operation and. suspend its dividend up until gas costs increase sufficiently, while. competing Antero Resources stated it would cut drilling and drop. task costs budget plan by 26%.
' BEST STORM'
BKV, short for Banpu Kalnin Ventures, started operations in. Pennsylvania in 2016 with a strategy to buy additional old gas. fields from huge oil companies, invest just enough to hold. production steady, await prices to rise and - just then -. invest in expanding production.
The moment appeared to show up in mid-2022. As U.S. gas. reached over $9 per thousand cubic feet, BKV's Kalnin. released a costly and enthusiastic growth strategy.
In July that year, he closed on a $750 million deal for. Exxon Mobil gas homes in North Texas. The exact same. month, he obtained a Temple, Texas, gas-fired power plant for. $ 460 million. Weeks later on, he followed that deal with a $250. million collaboration with Texas-based Verde CO2 LLC to build a. dozen carbon sequestration sites across the United States.
We didn't see rates collapsing like they did, said Kalnin. at the opening of his first carbon sequestration website in. December.
Kalnin, a former McKinsey specialist who spent his early. years in Thailand and later on worked for the nation's national. oil and gas business, hasn't quit on his gas-to-power empire.
( Gas costs) are establishing for another fly-up in the. second half of 2024, Kalnin said in December, indicating. forecasts for increasing LNG need.
There are micro windows for IPOs opening up, a. spokesperson included on Tuesday. We are hoping to stay ready for. when that micro window opens. Market performances for IPOs and. gas prices require to enhance, she included.
Associated gas, which comes out of wells together with oil,. pulled the carpet out from Kalnin's vision. More than a 3rd of. all U.S. gas production comes from manufacturers drilling for oil,. according to government price quotes. That figure is increasing as. wells develop and more gas turns up than oil.
BKV last year won a lifeline from its moms and dad, selling shares. to Banpu for $150 million to avoid breaching debt covenants. Most of the money was put into a debt service account.
You have this perfect storm. A warm winter season plus too. much gas supply, both main and associated, and now, possible. hold-ups to new LNG export allows, stated Blake London, a handling. partner of private equity fund Formentera Partners.
(source: Reuters)