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Gold reaches $4,100 on the back of trade tensions and rate-cut optimism
On Monday, gold broke through $4100 per ounce, a new record, on renewed U.S. China trade tensions, and on expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Silver also reached a new high. As of 01:47 pm, spot gold had risen 2.2%, to $4,106.48 an ounce. After hitting a new record of $4,116.77 at 1747 GMT ET (1747 GMT), spot gold was up 2.2% to $4,106.48 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December closed 3.3% higher, at $4133. Gold prices have risen 56% in the past year, and last week they reached the $4,000 mark for the first. This is due to factors such as geopolitical uncertainty, economic concerns, and expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Central bank purchases are also a major factor. Gold could continue to rise. "We could see prices above $5,000 by 2026," said Phillip Streible. Chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures. Streible said that the structural support of the market is provided by steady central bank purchases, strong ETF inflows as well as U.S. China trade tensions. The geopolitical front saw U.S. president Donald Trump reinitiate trade tensions with China, ending a tense truce between two of the world's largest economies. While traders price in a 97% chance of a Federal Reserve rate reduction in October, and a 100% probability for December. Gold is a non-yielding investment that tends to perform well in low interest rate environments. Standard Chartered's forecast for next year has been raised to $4,488 on average. Standard Chartered Bank's global head of commodities research, Suki Cooper said: "We believe this rally will continue, but a short-term correction is better for a long-term trend." Spot silver climbed 3.1% to $51.82, reaching a record high earlier in the session of $52.12. This was boosted by the same factors that supported gold and tightness on the spot market. Technical indicators indicate that both gold and silver are overbought. The relative strength index (RSI), which measures the relative strength of the two metals, is 80 for gold and 83 in the case of silver. Palladium rose 5.2% to 1,478.94, while platinum gained 3.9%. Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru, Pablo Sinha, Sherin Elizabeth Varighese, and Kavya Varghese; Additional reporting and editing by Joe Bavier and Alexander Smith; Shreya Biwas.
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Officials say that 19 people were killed by rebels affiliated with the Islamic State in eastern Congo.
Two local officials reported on Monday that suspected Islamic State-backed terrorists killed 19 civilians during an overnight attack in eastern Congo. This has exacerbated the insecurity of this mineral-rich area. Alain Kiwewa is the Lubero territory military administrator, where Mukondo lies, and he told reporters that the death toll may rise. The ADF has not immediately claimed responsibility. Also known as the Islamic State Central Africa Province, (ISCAP), it has been responsible for several attacks in recent weeks, including a September attack on a funeral in which more than 60 people were killed. ADF could not be reached for comment immediately. Assailants from Mukondo were wearing uniforms that looked like those of the Congolese Army, which enabled them to enter Mukondo without being noticed. The attackers then used guns, knives, and clubs to attack people, according to a local priest who refused his name out of security concerns. Espoir Kambale, a leader of the civil society in the region, put the death toll at 19. He also said that eight people were injured and 26 homes had been burned. Kambale said, "We ask ourselves how the terrorists came and attacked us when we thought the village was secure." The population is in a panic. "Some residents fled to the bush and never returned." The ADF began as a Ugandan rebel force, but is now based in the Congolese forests since the late 90s. It has also been recognised as an affiliate by the Islamic State. The recent attacks by the M23 rebels, who are backed by Rwanda, have increased security concerns in eastern Congo. This has prompted U.S. president Donald Trump's administration, to attempt to broker peace. Reporting by Congo Newsroom; Writing by Ayen deng Bior; editing by Rob Corey-Boulet, Lisa Shumaker and Lisa Shumaker
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EU lawmakers oppose cuts to the reach of sustainability laws
The European Parliament’s Legal Committee backed plans on Monday to weaken the EU’s Corporate Sustainability Law, which has been criticized by companies who claim that complying with these rules will hinder the competitiveness for European industries. Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), adopted by the European Union last year, requires companies to address human rights and environment issues in their supply chain or face a fine of 5% global turnover. The European Parliament's Legal Committee voted on Monday to approve proposals that would only make the rules compulsory for companies with at least 5,000 employees and a turnover of 1.5 billion euros. CSDDD is currently applicable to companies that have 1,000 employees or more and a turnover of over 450 millions euros. The committee also supported dropping the requirement that companies have "transition plans." CUTTING BUSINESS COSTS The (conservative-leaning) European People's Party's aim has always been to reduce costs and simplify rules for businesses," said Jorgen Warsborn, the legislator who drafted the approved text on Monday. "Our vote will bring more predictability to our businesses in a world that is unpredictable," said Jorgen Warborn, the lawmaker who drafted the text approved on Monday. The committee asked that the European parliament begin negotiations with EU countries on final rules without a vote by the entire assembly. The committee could force a vote by a group of legislators equivalent to 10% of the assembly. Some of the proposed changes are already likely to be implemented. EU countries have already stated that they support changing the law so that it only applies to companies with at least 5,000 employees. CSDDD is one of the most controversial parts of Europe’s green agenda. Countries such as the United States and Qatar have demanded changes. The EU, they argue, is going too far by imposing these requirements on foreign firms. TotalEnergies and other European companies have called on the EU to scrap the law completely, warning that it could harm the competitiveness of the EU. Investors and activists have reacted negatively to the move, claiming that it undermines corporate accountability while reducing Europe's capacity to attract investment towards meeting climate goals. Amandine van den Berghe, senior lawyer at nonprofit law firm ClientEarth, said: "If these changes are adopted in the end, this law would be stripped of its purpose to serve short-term political convenience." What is a cornerstone for responsible business in Europe has been turned into a bargaining chip. (Reporting from Kate Abnett in Brussels and Inti landauro; Editing by Benoit van Overstraeten, Matthew Lewis).
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Gold reaches $4,100 on the back of trade tensions and rate-cut optimism
On Monday, gold broke through $4100 per ounce, a new record, on renewed U.S. China trade tensions, and on expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Silver also reached a record high. As of 12:17 pm, spot gold had risen 2.4%, to $4,114.31 an ounce. After hitting a new record of $4,116.77 at 1617 GMT ET (1617 GMT), gold prices have risen 2.4% to $4114.31 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 3.3% to $4133.90. Gold prices have risen 56% in the past year, and last week they reached the $4,000 mark for the first. This is due to factors such as geopolitical uncertainty, economic concerns, and expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Central bank purchases are also a major factor. Gold could continue to rise. "We could see prices above $5,000 by 2026," said Phillip Streible. Chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures. Streible said that the structural support of the market is provided by the steady central bank purchases, the firm ETF inflows as well as the U.S. China trade tensions. Streible added that on the geopolitical side, U.S. president Donald Trump reignited the trade tensions between China and the United States last Friday, ending a tense truce. While traders price in a 97% chance of a Federal Reserve rate reduction in October, and a 100% probability for December. Gold is a non-yielding investment that tends to perform well in environments with low interest rates. Bank of America analysts and Societe Generale expect gold to hit $5,000 by 2026. Standard Chartered's forecast has been raised to $4,488 on average next year. Standard Chartered Bank's global head of commodities research, Suki Cooper said: "This rally is strong, but a short-term correction will be better for a long-term trend." Spot silver increased 3.1% to $51.82, reaching a record high earlier in the session of $52.07. This was boosted by the same factors that supported gold and tightness on the spot market. Technical indicators indicate that both gold and silver are overbought. The relative strength index (RSI), which measures the strength of the relationship between two assets, is 80 for gold. Palladium rose 6.5%, to $1496.52. Platinum gained 5%, to $1666. Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru, Pablo Sinha in Mumbai and Sherin-Elizabeth Varghese; Additional reporting and editing by Joe Bavier & Alexander Smith.
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Trump will meet Zelenskiy this Friday to discuss air defense and new weapons
Three sources familiar with the plans said that President Donald Trump would meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy for a luncheon on Friday. The meeting comes amid increasing discussions over the possible provision of Tomahawk long-range missiles to Kyiv. Both leaders met on Saturday and Sunday. A high-ranking Ukrainian delegation, headed by Prime Minister Yulia Shvyrydenko is scheduled to arrive in Washington, DC, before Friday's meeting, to prepare the groundwork for their talks. One of the sources, who requested anonymity, as the visit had not been announced publicly, stated that the main topics would be air defense, additional U.S. arms for Kyiv, and Russia's possible return to the negotiation table. Zelenskiy is lobbying Washington for the supply of U.S. Tomahawk missiles that can hit Moscow but are only used on military targets, according to Ukrainians. Moscow said that such a move could be a significant escalation. Trump said that he was considering sending Tomahawks into Ukraine. He also stated that he may speak to Russian President Vladimir Putin. Ukraine and the U.S. also appear to be closing in on an historic drone deal, in which Ukraine will share drone technology with United States. European diplomats view such a deal to be an important tool in keeping the volatile U.S. President engaged and supportive of Ukraine. Reporting by Steve Holland in Washington, Tom Balmforth and Gram Slattery from London. Editing by Jeff Mason & Matthew Lewis.
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Gold reaches $4,100 on the back of trade tensions and rate-cut optimism
On Monday, gold broke through $4100 per ounce, a new record, on renewed U.S. China trade tensions, and on expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Silver also reached a new high. As of 10:50 am, spot gold had risen 2.1%, to $4,099.55 an ounce. After hitting a new record of $4,103.58 at 1450 GMT ET, gold prices rose 2.1% to $4099.55. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose 3% to 4,120.10. Gold prices have risen 56% in the past year, and last week they reached the $4,000 mark for the first. This is due to factors such as geopolitical uncertainty, economic concerns, and expectations of U.S. rate cuts. Central bank purchases are also a major factor. Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group, said that gold and silver prices rise when investors become concerned about the current state of the economy or politics. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, reignited the trade tensions between China and the United States on Friday. This ended an uneasy truce that existed between the two world's largest economies. While traders price in a 97% chance of a Federal Reserve rate reduction in October, and a 100% probability for December. Gold is a non-yielding investment that tends to perform well in environments with low interest rates. Bank of America analysts and Societe Generale expect gold to hit $5,000 by 2026. Standard Chartered's forecast has been raised to $4,488 on average next year. Standard Chartered Bank's global head of commodities research, Suki Cooper said: "This rally is strong, but a short-term correction will be better for a long-term trend." Spot silver increased 3.3% to $51.95, reaching a record high earlier in the session of $52.07. This was boosted by the same factors that supported gold and tightness on the spot market. Technical indicators indicate that both gold and silver are overbought. The relative strength index (RSI), which measures the relative strength of a currency, is 80 for gold. Palladium rose 5.4% to $1.482.00, while platinum gained 4.6%. (Reporting from Sherin Elizabeth Varighese and Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru, Additional reporting by Kavya Baliaraman; Editing and Joe Bavier by Alexander Smith and Joe Bavier)
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EU legislators back further reductions to the sustainability law
The European Parliament’s Legal Committee on Monday supported plans to further reduce the EU's Corporate Sustainability Law, which has been criticized by companies who say that complying with these rules would hinder European industries' competitiveness. Last year, the European Union adopted the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), which requires companies to address human rights and environment issues within their supply chains or risk a fine of 5% global turnover. On Monday, the European Parliament’s Legal Committee approved proposals to limit the application of the regulations to only those companies with at least 5,000 employees and a turnover of 1.5 billion euros. CSDDD currently covers companies with at least 1,000 employees and a turnover of more than 450 millions euros. The committee also supported dropping the requirement that companies implement "transition plans" in order to align their activities with climate change goals. The EPP has always sought to simplify the rules and reduce costs for business -- even going beyond the original Commission proposal. "Our vote today will bring more predictability to our businesses in a world that is unpredictable," said Jorgen Warborn. He was the legislator who drafted and approved the text on Monday. The committee asked that the European parliament now begin negotiations with EU countries on final rules. The EU Parliament as a whole will decide whether or not to proceed with this request next week. It appears that some of the changes are already likely to be implemented. EU countries have said that they are in favor of changing the law so it only applies to companies with at least 5,000 employees. CSDDD is one of the most controversial parts of Europe's Green Agenda. Countries like the United States, Qatar and others have demanded changes, claiming that the EU has overstepped by imposing demands on foreign companies. TotalEnergies and other European companies have called on the EU to scrap the law completely, warning that it could harm the EU's economic ability to compete with foreign competitors. Investors and activists have reacted negatively to the move back on ESG regulations. They say that it undermines corporate accountability, and Europe's ability attract more investment towards climate goals. Some companies also have resisted. In an August survey conducted by the think-tank E3G with YouGov of 2,500 European company leaders, 63% said that they were in favor of large companies implementing a climate change plan. Only 11% disagreed. (Reporting and editing by Kate Abnett, Inti Lanauro)
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Mexico: Torrential rains and flooding cause at least 64 deaths, 65 missing
The government announced Monday that the torrential rains which ravaged Mexico last week left 64 dead and 65 people missing. Landslides were triggered, power was cut in some municipalities, and rivers burst through their banks. Mexican authorities have sent thousands of personnel to clean up, evacuate and monitor the areas most affected by last week's rains in Gulf Coast states and Central States. Laura Velazquez is the national coordinator for civil protection. She said that Hidalgo, along with Veracruz was the worst affected state, with 29 fatalities and 18 missing persons reported in Veracruz and 21 deaths and 44 missing persons in Hidalgo. Authorities said that electricity was cut for five municipalities in Mexico, but it has now been restored to a large extent. (Reporting Ana Isabel Martinez, writing Stefanie Eschenbacher, editing Mark Heinrich).
Tumbling US gas rates show unstoppable, hurting manufacturers
For almost a. year, U.S. natural gas producers have actually slammed the brakes on. production as rates fall. However relentless output gains including. from oil companies that pump gas as an oil by-product have. released record supplies.
In the oil versus gas contest, gas manufacturers are losing. Some are shutting in wells, canceling projects or selling. themselves to rivals to avoid losses. Natural gas costs this. month was up to an inflation-adjusted 30-year low of $1.59 per. thousand cubic feet, benefiting customers of the fuel like. utilities, but hurting manufacturers who are costing nominal. rates as low as they were in the depths of the COVID-19. downturn.
No place is the discomfort of low-cost gas as evident as Denver-based. BKV Corp. In the last five years, it invested $2.7 billion to. get 4,000 gas wells and 2 gas-fired power plants. It. vowed $250 million to build a lots underground carbon capture. and storage websites to make its gas more climate friendly.
The nosedive in U.S. gas costs has actually stalled BKV's prepare for. a going public and scuttled the carbon joint endeavor. with Verde CO2 to combine its gas and power plants with carbon. sequestration. BKV last year directly prevented loan defaults with. a $150 million bailout by its parent.
Majority-owned by Thailand power giant Banpu Public Co., the. little-known BKV in 2016 began buying scores of U.S. gas wells,. taking castoffs from oil producers' Exxon Mobil, Devon. Energy and others.
We definitely wish to be the greatest natural gas. producer in the nation. That's my aspiration, BKV Chief. Executive Christopher Kalnin stated in an interview here in. December at its very first carbon-sequestration site.
BKV's earnings skyrocketed to $410 million in 2022 on strong. natural gas prices after Russia's intrusion of Ukraine spurred. substantial demand for exports of melted U.S. gas. The business. introduced a strategy to develop a U.S. variation of its Thai parent,. tying together gas and power. The strategy consisted of an IPO. to assist finance the gas-to-power growth and a complement of. carbon-burying wells.
CLIPPED WINGS
BKV fell back to earth under costs suffering from a. relentless unrelenting growth U.S. natural gas output. Its earnings fell. to about $79 million in its most-recently reported nine-month. duration.
U.S. gas firms in 2015 cut drilling 22% to stem the. gusher. However the flows keep coming: The U.S. will pump 105. billion cubic feet a day of gas this year, up 2.5 billion cubic. feet a day in the last year. That boost suffices to fuel. 12.5 million U.S. homes for a day.
In many industries, volume boosts are excellent. More. production equates to more revenue. Rising output has actually overwhelmed. efforts to curtail drilling and even demand from frigid. temperature levels, causing a price drop that knocked U.S. gas. just recently to less than a 3rd of 2022's typical $6.50 per. million British thermal systems. By contrast, benchmark WTI crude. prices fell simply 17%.
Oil prices have actually held steadier thanks to worldwide supply cuts. by significant OPEC producers and their allies.
Skyrocketing gas production, specifically from oil companies. who view gas as a byproduct of their output, has actually proven. reasonably insensitive to costs, stated Nicholas O'Grady, CEO. of U.S. shale gas explorer Northern Oil and Gas.
Gas producers have actually been reluctant to cut output deeply on. the potential customers of giant brand-new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants. opening this decade, he stated.
LNG exports would drain pipes the excess gas supplies and should. return rates to levels that make gas lucrative to drill again. by 2025, O'Grady and BKV's Kalnin anticipate.
There are 4 U.S. jobs with export allows on the. drawing boards that would consume approximately 6.3 billion cubic feet. If they go ahead would be producing LNG later on this, of gas that. years.
The risk is that 3rd wave of brand-new LNG plants may be. delayed or lost permanently. President Joe Biden's administration. last month indefinitely paused reviews of brand-new gas-export. licenses, jeopardizing as much as 32 billion cubic feet daily. of future consumption.
U.S. natural gas producer Comstock Resources said. recently it would reduce the variety of rigs in operation and. suspend its dividend up until gas costs increase sufficiently, while. competing Antero Resources stated it would cut drilling and drop. task costs budget plan by 26%.
' BEST STORM'
BKV, short for Banpu Kalnin Ventures, started operations in. Pennsylvania in 2016 with a strategy to buy additional old gas. fields from huge oil companies, invest just enough to hold. production steady, await prices to rise and - just then -. invest in expanding production.
The moment appeared to show up in mid-2022. As U.S. gas. reached over $9 per thousand cubic feet, BKV's Kalnin. released a costly and enthusiastic growth strategy.
In July that year, he closed on a $750 million deal for. Exxon Mobil gas homes in North Texas. The exact same. month, he obtained a Temple, Texas, gas-fired power plant for. $ 460 million. Weeks later on, he followed that deal with a $250. million collaboration with Texas-based Verde CO2 LLC to build a. dozen carbon sequestration sites across the United States.
We didn't see rates collapsing like they did, said Kalnin. at the opening of his first carbon sequestration website in. December.
Kalnin, a former McKinsey specialist who spent his early. years in Thailand and later on worked for the nation's national. oil and gas business, hasn't quit on his gas-to-power empire.
( Gas costs) are establishing for another fly-up in the. second half of 2024, Kalnin said in December, indicating. forecasts for increasing LNG need.
There are micro windows for IPOs opening up, a. spokesperson included on Tuesday. We are hoping to stay ready for. when that micro window opens. Market performances for IPOs and. gas prices require to enhance, she included.
Associated gas, which comes out of wells together with oil,. pulled the carpet out from Kalnin's vision. More than a 3rd of. all U.S. gas production comes from manufacturers drilling for oil,. according to government price quotes. That figure is increasing as. wells develop and more gas turns up than oil.
BKV last year won a lifeline from its moms and dad, selling shares. to Banpu for $150 million to avoid breaching debt covenants. Most of the money was put into a debt service account.
You have this perfect storm. A warm winter season plus too. much gas supply, both main and associated, and now, possible. hold-ups to new LNG export allows, stated Blake London, a handling. partner of private equity fund Formentera Partners.
(source: Reuters)