Latest News

Tumbling US gas rates show unstoppable, hurting manufacturers

For almost a. year, U.S. natural gas producers have actually slammed the brakes on. production as rates fall. However relentless output gains including. from oil companies that pump gas as an oil by-product have. released record supplies.

In the oil versus gas contest, gas manufacturers are losing. Some are shutting in wells, canceling projects or selling. themselves to rivals to avoid losses. Natural gas costs this. month was up to an inflation-adjusted 30-year low of $1.59 per. thousand cubic feet, benefiting customers of the fuel like. utilities, but hurting manufacturers who are costing nominal. rates as low as they were in the depths of the COVID-19. downturn.

No place is the discomfort of low-cost gas as evident as Denver-based. BKV Corp. In the last five years, it invested $2.7 billion to. get 4,000 gas wells and 2 gas-fired power plants. It. vowed $250 million to build a lots underground carbon capture. and storage websites to make its gas more climate friendly.

The nosedive in U.S. gas costs has actually stalled BKV's prepare for. a going public and scuttled the carbon joint endeavor. with Verde CO2 to combine its gas and power plants with carbon. sequestration. BKV last year directly prevented loan defaults with. a $150 million bailout by its parent.

Majority-owned by Thailand power giant Banpu Public Co., the. little-known BKV in 2016 began buying scores of U.S. gas wells,. taking castoffs from oil producers' Exxon Mobil, Devon. Energy and others.

We definitely wish to be the greatest natural gas. producer in the nation. That's my aspiration, BKV Chief. Executive Christopher Kalnin stated in an interview here in. December at its very first carbon-sequestration site.

BKV's earnings skyrocketed to $410 million in 2022 on strong. natural gas prices after Russia's intrusion of Ukraine spurred. substantial demand for exports of melted U.S. gas. The business. introduced a strategy to develop a U.S. variation of its Thai parent,. tying together gas and power. The strategy consisted of an IPO. to assist finance the gas-to-power growth and a complement of. carbon-burying wells.

CLIPPED WINGS

BKV fell back to earth under costs suffering from a. relentless unrelenting growth U.S. natural gas output. Its earnings fell. to about $79 million in its most-recently reported nine-month. duration.

U.S. gas firms in 2015 cut drilling 22% to stem the. gusher. However the flows keep coming: The U.S. will pump 105. billion cubic feet a day of gas this year, up 2.5 billion cubic. feet a day in the last year. That boost suffices to fuel. 12.5 million U.S. homes for a day.

In many industries, volume boosts are excellent. More. production equates to more revenue. Rising output has actually overwhelmed. efforts to curtail drilling and even demand from frigid. temperature levels, causing a price drop that knocked U.S. gas. just recently to less than a 3rd of 2022's typical $6.50 per. million British thermal systems. By contrast, benchmark WTI crude. prices fell simply 17%.

Oil prices have actually held steadier thanks to worldwide supply cuts. by significant OPEC producers and their allies.

Skyrocketing gas production, specifically from oil companies. who view gas as a byproduct of their output, has actually proven. reasonably insensitive to costs, stated Nicholas O'Grady, CEO. of U.S. shale gas explorer Northern Oil and Gas.

Gas producers have actually been reluctant to cut output deeply on. the potential customers of giant brand-new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants. opening this decade, he stated.

LNG exports would drain pipes the excess gas supplies and should. return rates to levels that make gas lucrative to drill again. by 2025, O'Grady and BKV's Kalnin anticipate.

There are 4 U.S. jobs with export allows on the. drawing boards that would consume approximately 6.3 billion cubic feet. If they go ahead would be producing LNG later on this, of gas that. years.

The risk is that 3rd wave of brand-new LNG plants may be. delayed or lost permanently. President Joe Biden's administration. last month indefinitely paused reviews of brand-new gas-export. licenses, jeopardizing as much as 32 billion cubic feet daily. of future consumption.

U.S. natural gas producer Comstock Resources said. recently it would reduce the variety of rigs in operation and. suspend its dividend up until gas costs increase sufficiently, while. competing Antero Resources stated it would cut drilling and drop. task costs budget plan by 26%.

' BEST STORM'

BKV, short for Banpu Kalnin Ventures, started operations in. Pennsylvania in 2016 with a strategy to buy additional old gas. fields from huge oil companies, invest just enough to hold. production steady, await prices to rise and - just then -. invest in expanding production.

The moment appeared to show up in mid-2022. As U.S. gas. reached over $9 per thousand cubic feet, BKV's Kalnin. released a costly and enthusiastic growth strategy.

In July that year, he closed on a $750 million deal for. Exxon Mobil gas homes in North Texas. The exact same. month, he obtained a Temple, Texas, gas-fired power plant for. $ 460 million. Weeks later on, he followed that deal with a $250. million collaboration with Texas-based Verde CO2 LLC to build a. dozen carbon sequestration sites across the United States.

We didn't see rates collapsing like they did, said Kalnin. at the opening of his first carbon sequestration website in. December.

Kalnin, a former McKinsey specialist who spent his early. years in Thailand and later on worked for the nation's national. oil and gas business, hasn't quit on his gas-to-power empire.

( Gas costs) are establishing for another fly-up in the. second half of 2024, Kalnin said in December, indicating. forecasts for increasing LNG need.

There are micro windows for IPOs opening up, a. spokesperson included on Tuesday. We are hoping to stay ready for. when that micro window opens. Market performances for IPOs and. gas prices require to enhance, she included.

Associated gas, which comes out of wells together with oil,. pulled the carpet out from Kalnin's vision. More than a 3rd of. all U.S. gas production comes from manufacturers drilling for oil,. according to government price quotes. That figure is increasing as. wells develop and more gas turns up than oil.

BKV last year won a lifeline from its moms and dad, selling shares. to Banpu for $150 million to avoid breaching debt covenants. Most of the money was put into a debt service account.

You have this perfect storm. A warm winter season plus too. much gas supply, both main and associated, and now, possible. hold-ups to new LNG export allows, stated Blake London, a handling. partner of private equity fund Formentera Partners.

(source: Reuters)