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EUROPE GAS - Prices rise on colder weather and weaker winds

Dutch and British wholesale gasoline prices rose Friday morning due to colder weather forecasts, and a weaker wind output.

The benchmark 'Dutch front month contract at TTF hub increased by 1.16 euros to 34.97 Euros per Megawatt Hour (MWh) as of 0925 GMST, according to LSEG data.

LSEG data shows that the contract reached a high intraday of 35.17 during earlier trading, its highest level since August 1, last year.

The Dutch March price was 0.69 euros higher, at 33.42 Euros/MWh. The UK price for February was 3.67 pence more expensive? at 91.17 pennies per therm.

This week, prices have risen due to colder weather forecasts and falling?storage levels. There are also concerns about the supply of liquefied gas (LNG).

The temperatures are expected to drop in North-West Europe until the end the month. Wind power production is expected to be lower, increasing the demand for gas.

Gas Infrastructure Europe's data shows that European gas storage levels are at 52%, as opposed to a five-year median of 67%.

The cold snap, as well as lower LNG supplies, have led to higher withdrawals than normal.

Prices have also been driven higher by the purchases of investment funds with short positions.

Analysts at ING warned that the market could see a rally to cover short positions, due to the large short position funds had in TTF during the winter.

The investment funds' net shortfall in TTF has already been reduced from 92.76?terawatt-hours (TWh), in mid-December, to 55.14?TWh at present.

LSEG data show that the day-ahead Dutch contract closed Thursday above the 200-day'moving average' for the first since last?winter. This indicates a bullish trend in this week.

Dzmitry Dzmitry, LSEG's gas analyst, says that the Relative Strength Index is at 72 and the Average Directional Index near 20. This indicates a moderate trend, as well as the possibility of a price correction on a short term basis.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was 0.82 euros higher, at 93.06 euro per metric ton. Nina Chestney reports.

(source: Reuters)