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US power usage forecast to reach record highs in 2024 and 2025

U.S. power consumption will increase to record highs in 2024 and 2025, the U.S. Energy Info Administration (EIA) stated in its Short-term Energy Outlook ( STEO) on Tuesday.

EIA forecasted power need will rise to 4,096 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2024 and 4,125 billion kWh in 2025.

That compares to 4,000 billion kWh in 2023 and a record 4,067 billion kWh in 2022.

As homes and companies utilize more electricity instead of fossil fuels for heat and transport, EIA forecast 2024 power sales would increase to 1,506 billion kWh for property consumers, 1,389 billion kWh for business customers and 1,047 billion kWh for industrial customers.

That compares to all-time highs of 1,509 billion kWh for domestic consumers in 2022, 1,391 billion kWh in 2022 for business customers and 1,064 billion kWh in 2000 for industrial customers.

EIA stated gas' share of power generation would hold at 42% in 2024, the same as 2023, before easing to 41% in 2025. Coal's share will drop from 17% in 2023 to 15% in 2024 and 14%. in 2025 as sustainable output increases.

The portion of renewable generation will increase from 21% in. 2023 to 24% in 2024 and 25% in 2025, while nuclear power's share. will hold at 19% in 2023, 2024 and 2025.

The use of coal to generate power has been falling versus. gas in part due to the fact that gas produces less co2 and other. emissions and its relative cost to coal has dropped.

EIA projects gas will be less expensive per million British thermal. systems (mmBtu) than coal in 2024 for the very first time ever,. according to federal energy data going back to 2001.

In 2024, spot gas costs at the U.S. Henry Hub criteria. << NG-W-HH-SNL > in Louisiana will average simply $2.15 per mmBtu. versus $2.45 for coal, EIA said. That compares to 2023's. averages of $2.54 for gas and $2.52 for coal.

Over the previous 5 years (2018-2022), gas was a lot more. pricey, balancing $3.62 per mmBtu versus just $2.07 for coal.

EIA forecasted 2024 gas sales would rise to 12.57 billion. cubic feet daily (bcfd) for residential customers, 9.34 bcfd. for industrial clients and 35.88 bcfd for power generation,. but slide to 23.22 bcfd for industrial customers.

That compares to all-time highs of 14.32 bcfd in 1996 for. property consumers, 9.63 bcfd in 2018 for commercial. consumers, 23.80 bcfd in 1973 for industrial consumers and 35.43. bcfd in 2023 for power generation.

(source: Reuters)