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Gold bulls claim that the broader rally will continue despite investors' rush for cash

Analysts and traders said that gold's appeal will remain unchanged despite the fact that some investors prefer the dollar as a safe haven.

The experts said that the sharp drop in?gold price on Tuesday would likely attract buyers.

The dollar index rose as traders sought safety. The dollar index rose by 0.5%, reaching a three-month high.

DOLLAR STRENGTH PUSHES SILVER LOWER

The 'dollar strength' has weighed heavily on gold, which is usually viewed as a hedge against inflation and a safe place to be during uncertain times. The dollar's surge pushed spot-gold to its lowest level since February 20, down 4%, at $5,136.

Robert Gottlieb said that if there are profits to be made, it's best to take them off the table wherever possible.

"But, have the fundamentals changed?" No. "We still face persistent geopolitical, economic and financial uncertainty."

The extreme volatility of the gold market on January 29, when it hit a record high of $5,594.82 and then plummeted over the following two sessions has made traders cautious.

Gottlieb said, "People learned to be careful on January 30th - to determine whether it is a knife falling or a dip and not to get caught."

INCREASED GOLD PURCHASE FORECAST

BNP Paribas has raised its average gold price forecast for 2026 by 27%, to $5,620. A peak of $6,250 is likely by the end of 2026.

A precious metals trader stated that the fall of gold to $5,100 will continue to attract Asian demand as safe haven buying continues. He requested anonymity as he wasn't authorized to speak with media.

He said that the sale of gold this week was greater due to the large amount of purchases made on Friday, ahead of Saturday's start of the U.S. and Israeli air war against Iran.

Profit-taking followed the gold price closing at $5,260 on Monday, its highest level since 30 January.

The S&P 500 index, which fell 1.5% last week, has added to the pressure placed on gold. Sharp equity corrections force investors to sell safe-haven holdings such as bullion to free up cash for broker deposits.

Adrian Ash, BullionVault's head of research, said that traders who were long gold before the New Year can use their gains to profit from margin calls on equities.

Gold prices surged by 64% in 2012, largely due to investors' cash flows into bullion. They were worried about S&P 500 gains in 2025.

"Their performance is like a coin flip - day-to-day and month-to-month." "If you think this war will drag on, God forbid," Ash said, gold's appeal as a long-term safe haven is hard to beat.

Gold tends to increase over a 12-month period when stocks are down from the previous year. According to Ash's calculations over a five-year period since 1970, gold was always higher than the five years prior when the S&P 500 index fell during that time. (Reporting and editing by Veronica Brown, Barbara Lewis, and Polina Devitt)

(source: Reuters)