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FUNDVIEW - India's JM Financial Asset is bullish on manufacturing and export shares following US trade deal

JM Financial Asset Management stated on Tuesday that India's trade agreement with the U.S. would improve the outlook for the domestic equity market over the next 12 to 18 months. This will provide a boost to export-oriented and manufacturing stocks.

Donald Trump announced on Monday a deal to reduce U.S. duties on Indian products from 50% to 18% in exchange for India ceasing its Russian oil purchases and lowering the trade barriers.

Satish Ramanathan is the chief investment officer at JM Financial Asset Management. He told the Trading India forum that "India's advantage in terms of competitiveness has increased." With lowest tariffs and wider access to markets as well as lowest cost of labour, this is a pivotal moment.

Ramanathan’s firm, which manages equities worth 100 billion rupees (1,11 billion dollars), plans to?increase its exposure to India’s small-and mid-cap shares, in particular to tap into opportunities among firms that can integrate more deeply into U.S. linked supply chains.

Ramanathan stated that large-cap stocks are still attractive from a valuation standpoint, even though their growth outlook is relatively moderate.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services reports that the Nifty 50 index trades at a price-to earnings ratio of 21.2, slightly higher than its long-term average of 20.8, resulting in an modest 2% premium.

Ramanathan stated that select mid-cap and small-cap firms could have a stronger earnings momentum if the export demand increases and domestic manufacturing activity speeds up.

To capture this potential, he stated that we need to achieve a better balance of exposure to SMIDs.

Ramanathan stated that companies are reporting improved profitability, despite having been hit by higher wages-related costs for several quarters. He did not provide a sectoral outlook as the earnings season is still ongoing.

Ramanathan stated that India's medium-term fundamentals were intact and investors shouldn't become "too bullish" despite short-term uncertainty. He also warned against potential changes in interest rates in the United States, as well as currency volatility, bond yields and other factors.

(source: Reuters)