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Shanghai copper reaches record high due to tight supply

Shanghai copper reaches record high due to tight supply
Shanghai copper reaches record high due to tight supply

Shanghai copper reached a record-high on Thursday. This was boosted by an increase in the cancellation of metal from warehouses registered at the London Metal Exchange as well as increasing bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates this month.

After hitting a high of 91450 yuan, the most active copper contract traded at the Shanghai Futures Exchange for the day, the price jumped 2.26%, to 90,980 ($12,873.01), per metric ton.

The rally was triggered by the record-breaking high reached on Wednesday for LME three-month copper benchmark. London copper was 0.10% higher at $11,476 per ton by 0700 GMT.

LME data showed that on Wednesday, 50,725 tonnes of copper were cancelled in South Korea and Taiwan warehouses 0#MCUSTX -LOC>. This brought the amount of copper on warrant in LME sheds down to its lowest level since July, at 105.275 tons.

Analysts at Chinese broker Jinrui stated in a report that the sharp increase in LME warrants cancelled suggested that expectations for tightening of supply on markets outside of the United States were starting to materialise.

Glencore reduced its copper production forecast for 2026 on Wednesday but still expects a rise by 2035.

Goldman Sachs has raised its average LME Copper Price Forecast for the first half 2026 from $10,415 to $10,710.

The dollar fell on Thursday as a result of mediocre economic data that bolstered the argument for a Fed rate reduction next week.

Tin prices have risen to their highest levels in over three and a half years.

Shanghai tin ended the day 2.23% higher, at 316230 yuan per ton. It had earlier reached its highest level since April 20, 2022, at 323,700.

London tin fell 1.40%, to $40,210 per ton. It had previously reached $41,010, the highest level since April 2022.

Aluminium, zinc, lead, and nickel all rose in price.

Lead added 0.30% in London. Nickel edged up 0.11%, zinc fell 0.15% and tin dropped 1.40%. Aluminium was not changed.

(source: Reuters)