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Shanghai copper reaches record high due to tight supply

Shanghai copper reached a record-high on Thursday. This was boosted by the sharp increase in London Metal Exchange cancellations, which signaled a tightening of supply outside of the United States. Also, bets increased that Federal Reserve rates would drop this month.

As of 0240 GMT the most active copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had risen 2.45% to 91150 yuan (12,893.96) per kilogram, after reaching an all-time-high of 91400 yuan during the morning.

The rally was triggered by the record-breaking high reached on Wednesday for LME three-month copper benchmark. London copper rose 0.08% to $11,497 per tonne on Thursday.

LME data showed that on Wednesday, 50,725 tonnes of copper were cancelled in South Korea and Taiwan warehouses 0#MCUSTX, which brought the amount of copper on warrant in LME sheds down to its lowest level since July, at 105.275 tons.

Analysts at Chinese broker Jinrui stated in a report that the sharp increase in LME warrants cancelled suggested that expectations for tightening of supply on markets outside of the United States were starting to materialise.

Glencore cut back its copper production forecast for 2026 on Wednesday but still said that it expected to see a rise by 2035.

Goldman Sachs has raised its average LME Copper Price Forecast for the First Half of 2026 from $10,415 to $10,710.

The dollar fell on Thursday as a result of mediocre economic data that bolstered the argument for a Fed rate reduction next week.

Tin prices have risen to their highest levels in over three and a half years.

Shanghai tin rose 3.50% to 320,160 Yuan per ton after reaching its highest level since April 2022, when it was 323,700 Yuan.

London tin fell 0.38% to $40,625 per ton after reaching $41,010 earlier. This was also the highest price since April 2022.

Aluminium, zinc, and lead all rose in price. Nickel also increased by 0.22%.

Aluminium was up by 0.26% in London. Zinc gained 0.10%, while lead and nickel both rose 0.15%. Thursday, December 4, DATA/EVENTS(GMT) 0930 S&P Global PMI: MSC Composite - Output Nov 1330 Initial US Jobless Clm 29, Nov, w/e (1 = 7.0692 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and Editing by Subhranshu, Sahu, and Lewis Jackson)

(source: Reuters)