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Gold prices rise on higher Fed rate cuts bets and a weaker dollar

Gold prices increased on Monday due to a growing expectation of a Federal Reserve rate cut in the next month, and a weaker US dollar.

As of 10:53 am EST (1553 GMT), spot gold was up by 0.6% to $4,091.45 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.3%, to $4.089.80 an ounce.

Dollar-priced gold is now more affordable to holders of other currencies, as the dollar index has slipped lower.

Bart Melek is the head of commodity strategy at TD Securities.

Melek continued, "A combination (of lower expectations) and a stronger U.S. Dollar has helped gold in the current environment." John Williams, the New York Fed president, said that U.S. rates could drop "in the short term" without jeopardizing the Fed's goal of inflation and while protecting against a decline in the jobs market.

The CME FedWatch tool revealed that 79% of bets on a rate reduction next month are in place.

Gold is a non-yielding investment that tends to perform well in low interest rate environments and when there is geopolitical unrest.

Investors will be watching for important economic data, which was delayed by the government shutdown. These include U.S. retail sale, unemployment claims, and producer prices, due this week. The U.S., Ukraine and other countries continued their talks Monday in order to come up with a plan that would end Russia's conflict in Ukraine. This was after the U.S. agreed to revise a previous proposal, which many considered too favorable to Moscow.

In a recent note, Rhona O’Connell, an expert at StoneX, stated that "gold is likely to continue catching a bid, but we believe it will remain range-bound between $4,000 and $3,100."

Silver spot rose 0.8% per ounce to $50.41. Platinum rose 2.1%, to $1.542.75, and palladium increased 1.3%, to $1.392.36. (Reporting and editing by Nick Zieminski, Matthew Lewis, and Pablo Sinha from Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)