Latest News

Morgan Stanley predicts that gold will reach $4,800 in the fourth quarter of 2026

Morgan Stanley predicted gold would reach $4,800 an ounce in the fourth quarter, surpassing last year's records. They cited falling interest rates, the change of leadership at the Federal Reserve and central bank and fund purchases. Morgan Stanley also stated in a note dated January 5 that the events of Venezuela over the weekend would likely attract buyers who are looking for a safe place to store their money. However, it did not mention this as one reason why its forecast was $4,800/oz.

Bullion reached a record-high of $4,499.71/oz in December and ended 2025 at a gain 64%. This was its best performance for the year since 1979.

SAFE HAVENS IN TIMES of UPHEAVOR Traders see gold as a store of 'value in times of economic and political turmoil. It also performs well when interest rates are low, because its non-yielding properties?are less of a financial disadvantage.

The bank stated that the peak silver deficit would be in 2025. It also added that China's export licence requirements which came into effect at the beginning of this year have increased the "upside risks for silver".

Silver's annual gains in 2025 were the highest ever, soaring 147% on the back of a growing industrial and investor appetite, and a structural deficit.

The bank stated that it preferred aluminum and copper in the base metals sector, as both are facing supply issues and increased demand.

The note stated that "Aluminium supplies are constrained everywhere but Indonesia while the increasing?Midwest premium suggests some U.S. purchasing may be returning."

The report also stated that copper supply disruptions in 2025 would continue into 2026, despite the fact that U.S. imports of copper have increased.

The London Metal Exchange's benchmark 3-month copper reached a high of $13,387.50 Tuesday. The bank also highlighted the strength of?nickel, which is driven primarily by the risk of supply disruption in Indonesia. However, it noted that much of this can be priced into the market.

Nickel rose 5.8% on Tuesday to $17.980 per ton, its highest level since October 8, 2024. (Reporting by Anjana Anil in Bengaluru; editing by Barbara Lewis)

(source: Reuters)