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Gold returns to $4,000 on the back of a weaker US dollar and rate cuts

Gold prices recovered some lost ground Tuesday, rising over the $4,000 per ounce level. A weaker dollar and expectation of further Federal Reserve rates cuts outweighed the pressure from signs that U.S. China trade tensions are thawing.

As of 0141 GMT spot gold was up by 0.7% to $4,009.39 an ounce after falling more than 3% Monday, its lowest level since 10 October. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.1%, to $4.022.10 an ounce.

Gold buyers who were on the sidelines are now tempted to take positions at these prices. We are also seeing some softness in the dollar which gives gold a reprieve," stated KCM Trade Chief Analyst Tim Waterer.

Gold is now cheaper for holders of other currencies due to the dollar index's 0.1% decline.

Top Chinese and U.S. economists hammered out the framework for a trade agreement that U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping will decide on this week.

Trump told reporters that he believed a deal with China would be made. He also announced in Malaysia a series of deals with four Southeast Asian countries on minerals and trade. This was the first stop on his five-day Asia tour.

If Trump and Xi had a productive trade meeting this week, gold could be swimming against the flow to some extent. Waterer noted that this could be countered if the Fed adopts a more dovish tone in its rate-cutting announcement this week.

Investors are waiting for any language from Fed chair Jerome Powell that is forward-looking. The Fed is widely expected to lower interest rates by the end of their policy meeting on Tuesday.

Both the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan, are expected to keep rates unchanged this week.

The gold price has risen by 53% in the past year. It reached a high of $4,381.21 at the end of October, boosted by economic and geopolitical uncertainty, bets on rate cuts, and central bank purchases.

Other than that, silver spot fell 0.3% per ounce to $46.74, platinum dropped 1.2% to 1,571.85 and Palladium dropped 0.8% to $1391.15. (Reporting and editing by Sherry Jac-Phillips, Subhranshu Sahu and Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru).

(source: Reuters)