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Gold drops below $4,000 an ounce as US China trade progress cools demand for safe-haven gold

Gold prices dropped below $4,000 an ounce on Monday, as signs of a thawing in U.S. China trade tensions diminished some of bullion's appeal as a safe haven. Market participants awaited this week's U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

At 1:45 pm, spot gold fell 2.7% to $4,002.29 an ounce. ET (1745 GMT). The price of gold fell to $3.970.81 an ounce in the early session, its lowest level since October 10.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 2.9% and settled at $4,019.70.

David Meger is director of metals at High Ridge Futures. He said that a potential U.S. China trade deal could mean fewer safe-haven investments such as gold.

The price of gold reached a record-high of $4,381.21/oz in October. However, it fell 3.2% the following week after hints that trade tensions would be eased between the two world's largest economies. On Sunday, U.S.-China negotiators outlined the framework of a deal that would halt steeper American tariffs while deferring China's controls on rare-earths exports.

On Thursday, Donald Trump of the United States and Xi Jinping of China are expected to continue their discussions on a possible trade agreement.

Gold prices are also falling due to a easing of trade tensions, which had pushed the price from $3,800 up to $4,400 in the first three weeks.

The market expects the Fed to cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its meeting on Wednesday.

In a low interest rate environment, gold, which is a non-yielding investment, performs well.

Some analysts and investors are sceptical about the sustainability the recent massive rise in the price of yellow metal.

Capital Economics analysts lowered their gold forecast on Monday to $3,500/oz by the end of 2026.

It said that the 25% increase in gold prices since August was much harder to justify than prior moves during the rally.

Silver spot fell by 3.6%, to $46.50 per ounce. Platinum was down 0.4% at $1,592.03, while palladium dropped 1.8%, to $1402.98. (Reporting and editing by Mark Potter, Richard Chang and Anjana Anil in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)