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Gold reaches record highs on bets that further rate cuts will occur ahead of Powell's speech

The gold price reached a new record high on Monday, driven by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will continue to cut rates. Investors were waiting for Jerome Powell’s speech at the Federal Reserve later in day, which would provide further policy clues.

As of 0840 GMT the spot gold price rose by 0.6% to $3,769.48 an ounce. This is a new record high.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.7% to $3.801,70.

Stephen Miran, the new Fed governor, called for rate cuts aggressively on Monday. He said that the Fed misread how tight its monetary policy was and would put the job markets at risk. This view was countered by remarks made by three of Miran's colleagues, who felt the central bank should remain cautious regarding inflation.

"Miran’s dovish position certainly heightens expectations of more rate cuts, as it appears the U.S. Administration is keen to push for this. This is a positive outcome," said Ross Norman, an independent analyst.

Investors can expect two 25-basis-point cuts in December and October, according to CME FedWatch. The tool predicts a 90-73% probability of each.

Gold that does not yield tends to perform well in an environment of low interest rates.

Norman said that "gold is seeing good interest from institutional investors, who may be rotating out of the equities market as it reaches its peak. India also has a good demand for gold."

The physical gold premium in India reached a 10-month-high this week, as investors continued to buy bullion to take advantage of record prices in the run up to the festive season.

Norman said that the gold rate in the short-term depends on the Indian demand, the Chinese purchasing, and the durability of the increase in ETF holdings.

SPDR Gold Trust said that its holdings increased 0.60% from Friday to 1,000.57 tonnes, which is a three-year-high.

Silver spot fell by 0.1%, to $44.04 an ounce. This is near the 14-year high. Platinum rose 1.6% to $1,438.97, and palladium climbed 1.9% to $1,000.94. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Joe Bavier)

(source: Reuters)