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Baosteel believes that China's steel imports will remain above 100 million tonnes in 2025

Baoshan Iron & Steel Co, China's largest listed steelmaker, said that it expects China's total exports of steel to remain above 100 million metric tonnes in 2025. It is also monitoring possible curbs on the national steel production.

Baosteel is a subsidiary company of China Baowu Steel Group. This group, owned by the Chinese government, is the largest steel producer in the world.

Baosteel chairman Jixin Zou stated that steel exports would likely drop in the fourth quarter, from their current high levels, due to potential higher export prices, as well as new tax regulations and customs barriers. This was revealed at the company’s results presentation for the first half on Friday.

China's exports of steel in the first 7 months rose 11.4%, reaching a new record high despite the introduction of trade barriers. Baosteel exports 4.83 million tonnes of steel during the same period compared to a total 6.07 million in 2024.

Baojun Liu, general manager of Baosteel, said, "Our monthly exports continue to increase, and we are already capable of exporting 10,000,000 tons of steel per year."

Liu stated that the company aims to export 15 and 20 millions tons of steel by 2026 and 2028, respectively.

Baosteel also said that it would monitor closely measures to reduce steel production and the development in China of "anti-involution policies" to combat perceived overcapacity.

China's top leaders pledged to end a deflationary war in July, causing expectations for a nationwide reform of supply in sectors with overcapacity, such as coal and steel. This led to higher prices.

China is reportedly planning to reduce steel production between 2025-2026 in order to combat overcapacity, which has impacted prices and sparked a global protectionist backlash.

Baosteel announced on Wednesday that its first-half profit increased by 7.4% despite a soft domestic market and lower steel prices. (Reporting and editing by Clarence Fernandez, Jan Harvey and Amy Lv)

(source: Reuters)