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Silver scales new record high, gold remains steady
The gold price held steady Wednesday, buoyed up by the weak payroll data, which reinforced expectations for a U.S. rate cut next Monday. Silver also hit a new record high. By 2:03 pm, spot gold had not changed much from $4,202.06 per ounce. ET (1903 GMT), the session high was $4,241.29. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery settled 0.3% higher, at $4,232.50. Silver remained steady after reaching a session high of 58.98 dollars earlier. Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, says that the silver price hitting a record high overnight, coupled with this morning's missed ADP data is supportive of gold. "Gold is currently following silver, while silver has pulled back a bit." ADP's employment report on Wednesday showed that private payrolls in the United States fell by 32,000 positions in November. This was below economists' estimates of a 10,000-job rise. CME's FedWatch shows that there is an 89% probability that the U.S. Central Bank will reduce rates next week. Major brokerages have also predicted a rate reduction at the December 9-10 meeting. The markets are still waiting for the Personal Consumption Spending data from September, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. This data is due Friday. Gold is a non-yielding asset that tends to be favored by lower interest rates. Silver has risen 102% this year, mainly due to fears about market liquidity following outflows into U.S. stocks. It is also included in the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Haberkorn explained that silver's strength is due to concerns about supply at the exchange level, and added that it could reach $60/oz in the near future. The copper price also reached a new record on Wednesday, thanks to a weaker US dollar, concerns about supply and a tightening of the metal available in London Metal Exchange-registered warehouses. Palladium was up 0.4% at $1,466.98 and platinum rose 0.9% to 1,652.03 per ounce. (Reporting and editing by Anmol Mukherjee and Anushree Choubey in Bengaluru. Alan Barona and Leroy Leo)
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Trump proposes a sharp rollback of US vehicle fuel efficiency rules
Automakers and sources have confirmed that the Trump administration will announce on Wednesday a major rollback in fuel economy standards, which former president Joe Biden finalized last summer, as part of its latest push to encourage automakers to offer gasoline-powered vehicles. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration will propose a significant reduction in fuel economy requirements for model years 2022-2031. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration will also make radical changes to the program, including eliminating credit-trading among automakers. It will also end some credits that were given for fuel-saving technologies. The proposal will be unveiled by President Donald Trump, Stellantis CEO of Chrysler and Ford Motor at 2:30 pm EST (1930 GMT) with the help of the CEOs. Karoline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, confirmed the plan on social media. She said that the administration would propose a "reset" of federal fuel standards. Trump signed a bill earlier this year that eliminated fuel economy penalties. The NHTSA also confirmed the plan, saying they would not be fined for models older than 2022. Credit trading is a risky business. It could harm automakers such as Tesla and Rivian who have sold credit to competitors making gas-powered cars. Ford CEO Jim Farley, in a press release issued ahead of the event praised Trump for "aligning gasoline economy standards with market reality." We can achieve real progress in carbon emissions and energy-efficiency while giving customers choices and affordability. Mary Barra, GM's CEO, said on Tuesday that the auto industry was faced with requirements in some states to have 35% of all new vehicles sold by 2026 be EVs before Congress blocked California’s zero-emission car rules in June. Barra stated that "we were going to shut down plants, because we wouldn't be able build and sell these vehicles." NHTSA increased the Corporate Average Fuel Efficiency requirements in June 2024 during the Biden Administration to around 50.4 miles per galon (21.4 kilometers per liter) for light-duty cars by 2031. This was up from 39.1 mpg last year. This rule didn't increase the requirements for light trucks in 2027 or 2028, but required 2% increases between 2029 and 2031. NHTSA, under Biden's leadership in 2022, increased fuel efficiency for model years 2024-2025 by 8% per year and for 2026 by 10%. Last year, the agency said that the passenger cars and trucks rule would reduce gasoline use by 64 billion gallons. It also cut emissions by 659 millions metric tons. Fuel costs will be reduced and drivers can expect to receive a net benefit of $35.2 billion. It was estimated that the 2022 rule would reduce fuel consumption by more than 200 billion gallon through 2050. Kathy Harris, director for clean vehicles of environmental nonprofit Natural Resources Defense Council said that "the Trump Administration is punishing drivers at the gas pump with higher prices, all in the name of the oil industry... The rules will increase the cost of fuel for drivers by hundreds of dollars every year. Trump has taken a number of steps that will make it easier for gas-powered cars to be sold and to discourage EV production. These include rescinding EV Tax Credits and preventing California from banning traditional gas-powered vehicle sales after 2035.
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Eni's Renewable Unit Buys Energy Customer Portfolio from Italy's ACEA
The Italian energy group Eni's low-carbon division has agreed to purchase some businesses from regional utility ACEA for 587 million euro ($685 millions), both companies announced on Wednesday. The companies stated that the price would be subject to the standard adjustment mechanisms applicable to this type of transaction. Eni's Plenitude, for example, could pay an extra 100 million euros to ACEA if specific performance targets were met by mid-2027. Plenitude will have over 11 million customers in Europe, an amount it had hoped to reach in 2028. The deal is expected to be completed by June of next year. Rothschild advised ACEA on the deal and said that it would focus the proceeds on energy networks, regulated businesses, and ACEA. This transaction will enable us to reinvest into infrastructure, innovation, sustainability, and the development of regulated business, resulting in a positive impact on ACEA's growth and result," ACEA CEO Fabrizio Palaermo stated in a press release. ($1 = 0.8573 euro) (Reporting and editing by Gavin Jones, Francesca Landini)
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EU wants to strengthen its defences against economic threats such as China's export restrictions
The European Commission announced plans on Wednesday to increase EU resilience against threats such as rare earth shortages through strengthening trade measures and adding economic security tools. These plans are the culmination of Europe slowly realising that it needs to act quickly and across all sectors in order to stop its years-long dependence on a single point of origin for goods or energy. The plans come after several painful shocks, including the COVID epidemic, Russia's conflict in Ukraine and U.S. Tariffs. The EU executive has outlined what it calls an "economic security policy" for the 27 nation bloc. This is in response to Chinese restrictions which have stifled supplies of rare earths, chips and other essential materials. The EU is determined to be a leader in manufacturing, but it risks losing ground to China and the U.S. on technologies such as batteries and AI. The EU decided on Wednesday to stop Russian gas imports before the end of 2027. Now, the Commission is looking to replicate this success by implementing the REsourceEU action plan. This plan aims to accelerate the development and use of the EU's own resources. EU TO REVIEW SUPPLY CHAINS, INBOUND INVESTMENT RULES The Commission is looking to work more closely with EU member states and businesses to examine EU supply chains, the rules for inbound investments, its defence and aerospace sectors, as well as its strengths in new technologies, critical infrastructure, and critical infrastructure. Maros SEFCIOVIC, Trade Commissioner said: "We are moving from reacting to reshaping policies." Sefcovic stated that the Commission will review, by the third quarter in 2026, how to accelerate trade measures like anti-dumping and counter-subsidy duty assessments. These are currently applied only after a year-long investigation. The new measures could be designed to counter unfair competition and market distortions including overcapacity. They would encourage companies in high-risk industries to have multiple suppliers and set preferences for EU-based firms to be used in public procurements in strategic sectors. EU support would be given to businesses in the EU that reduce their dependence on foreign companies or technologies. Sefcovic stated that the EU will likely learn from Japan's response to China's suspension of rare earth exports due to a territorial dispute in 2010, which was to diversify, recycle more, build reserves, and form partnerships. Stephane Sejourne, vice president of the Commission, said that some diversifications measures could be made mandatory by the EU. He said that European companies should stop buying Chinese products for reasons of economic safety, just as Japanese, U.S. and Indian companies do. (Reporting and editing by Frances Kerry, Julia Payne, Philip Blenkinsop)
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First Amendment lawsuit filed by fired employees against EPA
Six former Environmental Protection Agency workers filed a First Amendment lawsuit against EPA administrator Lee Zeldin on Wednesday for terminating their employment due to what they called the politicization science under the Trump Administration. Employees were terminated earlier this year, after signing an open letter addressed to Zeldin in which they criticized the agency and accused it of putting public health at risk by allowing politics to dictate research. Why is this important? Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility (PEER), which represents the fired employees said that President Donald Trump's EPA has violated First Amendment free speech protections, and also put the public at risk by removing experienced workers from their environmental protection jobs. The EPA put 139 employees on leave administrative in July, after they signed a dissenting letter. It said it had "zero tolerance" towards those who sabotage the government agenda. Key Context In early 2018, the Trump administration directed agencies to work together with Department of Government Efficiency, which was recently dissolved, in order to identify mass layoff targets as part of their restructuring plans. DOGE began a series of dramatic moves in Washington during the first months of President Trump's second tenure to shrink federal agencies and cut budgets, or redirect work to Trump priorities. In July, the EPA announced that it would reduce its workforce by 23% at least and close its scientific research offices as part of President Obama's efforts to shrink the federal government. KEY QUOTE Daniel Rosenthal, a partner with James & Hoffman who represents both unions and government employees, said: "The agency must prove that employees committed misconduct, and that this misconduct interfered with the employee's job or another legitimate objective of the government." (Reporting and editing by Aurora Ellis; Valerie Volcovici)
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Ivanhoe Mines predicts a Kamoa-Kakula copper production of up to 420,000 tonnes in 2026
Ivanhoe Mines said that its recovery plan is progressing and it expects the copper production at its Kamoa/Kakula complex to reach between 380,000-420,000 tons of copper in 2026, and 500,000-540,000 tonnes in 2027. It will update its life-of-mine plans towards the end the first quarter next year. In its report on production guidance, Ivanhoe said that copper sales are expected to exceed output in 2026 as it clears 20,000 tons concentrate stock once its new smelter, Africa's biggest, starts up in December and shifts production to copper anodes. Robert Friedland, Ivanhoe's co-chairman, said that the company was "on the brink of a transformative change", as Kamoa Kakula switches from producing copper concentrates to copper anodes. Copper concentrate is semi-processed and shipped to smelters by third parties for refinement. Copper anodes are produced by smelters and are 99% pure. They can be sold directly to manufacturers or further refined. After the seismic disruptions in early 2015, the company expects Kamoa-Kakula to produce 370,000 to 400,00 tons of copper by 2025.
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EU curbs exports of rare earth and recyclable battery waste to reduce China's reliance
As part of its efforts to ensure critical raw materials for electric cars, windmills and semiconductors, the European Commission intends to restrict exports from 2026 of rare earth scrap and battery scraps that can be recycled. This proposal is one of the first responses to China's decision to limit exports to many industries that rely on rare earth magnets. The REsourceEU plan of the Commission aims to speed up the Critical Raw Materials Act that will be passed by 2023. The EU wants its supply chains to be developed faster so that it does not rely on a single country to meet more than 65% its demand. The recycling of rare earth wastes could provide 20% of the EU’s annual permanent magnet requirements, which are 20,000 metric tonnes. Waste lithium-ion battery and black mass will no longer be considered hazardous after September 2026. This will prevent exports to non OECD countries. The document states that "the Joint Research Centre estimates the EU could treat up to 50% of the black mass they produce, leading to as many as 1 million new battery packs for electric vehicles per year." This is referring to black powdered waste from batteries. According to the plan, the EU will invest $3.50 billion over the next 12 months to accelerate projects that could reduce reliance on one country by as much as 50% by 2029. Stephane Sejourne is the EU Industry Chief. He said that 2 billion euro would come from European Investment Bank. 300 million euro will come from Battery Booster. And 600 million euro from Horizon Europe. In 2026, a new European Critical Raw Materials Centre (ECRMC) will be launched. Sejourne, Executive Vice President of the Commission, told a Press Conference that "it will have three major tasks: monitoring and assessment needs, joint buying on behalf Member States, as well as stockpiling, and delivery when required." The first round will begin in March 2026, via a matchmaking system. After industry sources claimed that the platform was little more than "Tinder for Metals", without any guarantees that it could compete against cheaper Chinese supplies, the Commission will work with stakeholder to design a price minimum mechanism.
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Source in the industry says EU is expected to delay its announcement of car climate targets.
A source in the industry said that it is likely the European Commission would delay its announcement of an updated plan for climate targets for automakers. This comes after Brussels was under pressure to lower the 2035 deadline for combustion engines. The European automakers, with the support of Germany and the competition from China as well as tariffs that squeeze margins, are lobbying Brussels to allow them more flexibility in navigating the expensive shift to electric. On December 10, the Commission, the EU executive branch, will announce a package of measures to support the automobile sector. This includes a possible revision to the 2035 effective ban on the sale of new combustion engine. A source in the German auto industry said that this date was likely to be delayed. The EU Transport Commissioner Apostolos Tzitzikostas said to Handelsblatt earlier this week that the announcement could be delayed till early January. The EU official said that the letter from German Chancellor Friedrich Merz to Brussels, in which he appealed for the exemption of plug-in hybrids as well as "highly-efficient" combustion engines from the ban was well received.
China's copper imports fell 18% from the April record in May
Customs data released on Monday showed that China imported 2.4 metric tons (mt) of copper concentrates in May. This is 18% less than the record set in April, even though smelters maintained production levels.
Data from the General Administration of Customs revealed that imports increased 5.8% compared to the same period a year ago. Imports are up 7.4% for the year to date at 12,4 million tons.
Analysts at a Beijing futures company said that the drop in the month-on-month was not unexpected, given the April record. However, the decline was greater than expected, as smelters did not reduce output.
Four market sources said that the increased prices of sulphuric acids, a byproduct of smelting, helped to offset the negative Treatment and Refining charges (TC/RC), which is a barometer for smelter profits.
The data shows that imports of copper unwrought and copper products dropped 16.9% over the year and 2.5% month-on-month to 427,000 tonnes. Imports have fallen 6.7% year-to-date to 2,17 million tons.
Imports of unwrought copper products and copper products into China, which is the world's largest copper and aluminum consumer, include copper alloys, copper anodes and semi-finished goods.
China exported 547,000 tonnes in May of aluminium unwrought and products including alloys, primary and semi-finished products. This is up 5.6% from the previous month, but down 3.2% from the year. Volumes for the year to date have fallen 5.1%, reaching 2.43 million tonnes. Hongmei Li, Christopher Cushing and Christopher Cushing (reporting)
(source: Reuters)