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UN chief raises alarm over AI threat after Trump plays down
U.N. Secretary General Antonio?Guterres warned on Wednesday world leaders?that rapidly evolving artificial intelligence poses risks that?cannot?be ignored. This puts him at odds with Donald Trump, who has argued that existing safeguards are enough. Guterres, speaking ahead of the U.N. General Assembly meeting in New York next week, told reporters that the need for stronger supervision would be the major focus of his discussions with the global leaders who will be visiting the city. Guterres said, "We cannot ignore the concerns raised by those who are at the forefront of AI development." "The first duty of any government is to protect their citizens, including against the threat of artificial intelligence." After Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon announced last week that he was resigning, the public is becoming more concerned about the dangers of AI. "People building AI believe earnestly that it could kill all of us?by the?end?of the decade." Some of the biggest companies in the industry have called for a slowdown of AI's development. Trump claimed on Monday that there are already guardrails to regulate and prosecute AI firms in the U.S., downplaying concerns raised by industry leaders. Guterres is a long-time advocate of global AI governance. In 2023 the U.N. established a 39 member advisory body on AI. Members included tech company executives, officials from government and academics, including those from the U.S. and Japan. Diplomats have said that the U.N. Security Council may also meet on AI next week during the annual gathering in New York of world leaders. In 2023, the 15-member council held its first meeting on artificial intelligence. Guterres stated that the countries at the forefront of AI should "establish mechanisms for contact, information exchange and common guardrails to avoid a race to the bottom which could one day lead to a global 'disaster. Trump said that China would be able to benefit from the "doubt" being cast about AI development. Next week, he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington. It was reported earlier that two countries were planning a separate gathering in mid-September, to discuss AI risks. Guterres stated on Wednesday that "we need to have a shared understanding about how to progress the safe, secure, and responsible development AI" while also identifying situations where increasingly powerful systems might require additional safeguards or measures to mitigate potential risks.
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Poland's Orlen buys 16 extra crude cargoes amid Saudi disruption
Poland's Orlen announced on Wednesday that it had purchased?16,000,000 barrels of additional oil for its Polish,?Lithuanian, and Czech plants. Traders said the company was rushing to secure crude in order to cover disruptions in Saudi supply until November. Saudi Arabia's petroleum industry is struggling to cope with the effects of a series of attacks from Iran-aligned militias, one of which shut down its East-West Pipeline?on 10 September. Saudi Aramco, the state-owned oil company, has been Orlen’s biggest supplier of oil since 2022. It provides around 40%. Orlen announced in a Wednesday statement that it had contracted for 16 additional deliveries of fuel to its refineries located in Poland, Czech Republic, and Lithuania, including those from Norway, Great Britain and Algeria. Saudi Arabia has not said when it will re-open its East-West Pipeline. Market sources say Orlen buys to cover the demand in September and October. Orlen published two new tenders on Wednesday to purchase crude oil. One was for North Sea crude oil and the other was for Brazilian or Guyanese crude oil. Orlen, which was a major oil consuming country a decade ago, has weaned off Russian crude in the last few years. It signed a contract with Equinor of Norway last month to supply?25% its needs in Sverdrup crude. Orlen said that the remaining part of the demand was covered by a contract signed in August with Equinor, Norway. He added that the company monitors the raw materials market and has a diverse supplier portfolio.
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UN chief raises alarm over AI threat after Trump plays down
U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres warned leaders of the world on Wednesday that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence poses serious risks that can't be ignored. This puts him at odds against President Donald Trump, who argues that "existing safeguards" are adequate. Guterres, speaking?ahead? of the U.N. General?Assembly meeting in New York next week, told reporters that the need for stronger supervision would be the major focus of his discussions with global leaders who are coming to the city. Guterres said: "We cannot ignore the concerns raised by those who are on the frontlines of AI development, in particular." "It is the responsibility of every government to protect their citizens, including against the threat of artificial intelligence." After Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon announced last week that he was resigning, the public's concern about AI dangers is increasing. Some of the largest companies in the industry have called for a slowdown in the development of AI. Trump claimed on Monday that there are already guardrails to regulate and prosecute AI firms in the U.S., downplaying concerns raised by industry leaders. Guterres is a long-time advocate of global AI governance. In 2023 the U.N. established a 39 member advisory body on AI. Members included tech company executives, government officials and academics, from countries like the U.S. Diplomats have said that the U.N. Security Council could also meet on AI next week during the annual gathering of world leaders, which will take place in New York. The 15-member council met on artificial intelligence for the first time in 2023. Trump said that China would gain from doubts being cast on AI development. Next week, he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping?in Washington. It was reported earlier that lower-level government officials from both countries would be leading a meeting between the two countries in mid-September, to discuss AI risks. Guterres stated on Wednesday that "we need to have a common understanding of how to develop AI in a safe, secure, and responsible manner, while also identifying the times when more powerful systems might require additional safeguards or measures to mitigate potential risks."
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EGA: EU Aluminium Scrap U-turn Could Affect German Expansion
Emirates Global Aluminium's chief financial officer said that it was "very disappointed" at the EU's decision to abandon a proposed export tax on aluminum scrap. The move will affect the decision-making process for a planned expansion of recycling in Germany. Sources familiar with the talks said that the EU retracted its proposal earlier this month for a 15% duty on exports of aluminium scrap, which was intended to prevent so much material from leaving the EU. They were concerned it would complicate the signing of a final free trade agreement with India. The industry lobby European Aluminium has expressed "profound disappointment, anger and shock" over the decision. Pal Kildemo, EGA's finance chief, said on Wednesday at the Fastmarkets?Aluminium Conference? in Budapest: "I think many people were disappointed by what happened the previous?day. This includes ourselves." "We invested a lot of money... to participate in the higher recycling rates in Europe." When this becomes part of larger trade politics, that's bad for our industry. EGA announced last week that it had completed its purchase of 80% of Eco?Green which collects and sorts more than 70,000 tonnes of recycled aluminum per year in Italy. It bought German'recycler Leichtmetall in 2024 and announced last December a six-fold expansion of the capacity at the 'unit. This included 110,000 tons of scrap sorting and melting capacity per year, as well as 150,000 tonnes of casting and melting capacity per year. Kildemo said that EGA still has to "make a build decision" for this expansion. The less uncertain you are, the easier it will be to make a decision. Kildemo explained that it would influence the decision-making process. "I cannot say whether the project will proceed or not without this duty, but it is a negative." Kildemo added: "It is not the end of discussion."
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Copper prices rise with active Chinese demand
Prices of copper rose on Wednesday as a result of signs of demand from 'China, the world's largest consumer, although traders were wary of possible volatility in advance of the Federal Reserve of America's decision to raise interest rates. In open-outcry official trading, the price of a metric tonne of three-month 'copper' on the London Metal Exchange rose by 1.1% to $14,231 per metric ton. Metal used for power and construction is down by 4% after hitting a record-high of $14,875 in the past week. The premium of COMEX futures prices against the?London price fell dramatically. The Yangshan copper premium On?Wednesday, the?measure of Chinese demand for 'imported copper' rose by 7%, to $118 a ton. This was its highest level in nearly four years. David Wilson, BNP Paribas' head of metals strategies, said that Chinese buyers were taking advantage of a recent drop in copper prices to replenish their stocks, which helped boost import premiums. The U.S. Copper Comex stock market has seen a slowdown in the last few days after it was reported that the White House still had not decided on refined tariffs for copper as officials continue to assess fears that higher prices may increase manufacturing costs. LME copper has become less tight, and spreads have moved into contango Although this appeared to be driven by sentiment rather than a significant increase in inventory, as the uncertainty surrounding U.S. Tariffs persists. Zinc prices rose 0.3% to $3,835 in official activity. This was supported by tight inventories outside China which keeps the premium of the LME Cash contract over the 3-month contract. at $124 per ?ton. Aluminum increased by 1.1%, to $3288. This is due to concerns about the impact of the Iran War on Gulf producers' supplies. Aluminium Bahrain produces aluminium at "around 80%" of pre-Iran War levels, according to its CEO. Nickel rose 1.7% to $16,240 after hitting $15,820 earlier in the session, its lowest level since December 30. Lead increased by 0.8% to $1.888, and tin rose 1.3% to $52,650.
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Retail sales in the US rose sharply in August
Retail sales in the U.S. rebounded much more than expected during August, as households stocked up on motor vehicles and restocked for the new school term. This reinforced the economy's resilience at a time when consumers are becoming more concerned about high inflation. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Wednesday that retail sales rose 1.2% in August after a 0.5% decline in July. This was the first drop in nine months. The economists polled predicted that retail sales (which are mainly?goods, and are not adjusted to inflation) would rebound by 0.8% following a previously reported drop of?0.6% in July. Estimates varied from a 0.2% increase to as high as 1.1%. The increase in receipts at service stations was partly due to higher gasoline prices. The U.S. war against Iran and the high oil prices have caused supply chain stress, which has led to households continuing to spend. The consumer has become more selective, and is looking for lower priced goods. This month, consumer sentiment declined. Recent stock market gains and steady wage growth are supporting spending. Savings is also down and households are tapping into their nest egg. The strong retail sales combined with rising price pressures, and a labor market that has regained its equilibrium after stumbling through most of the summer, have further strengthened?financial markets' expectations that Federal Reserve will increase interest rates on Wednesday. Retail sales, excluding automobiles and gasoline, building materials, and food services, surged by 1.4% in August after a 0.4% drop that was not revised. The economists expected that core retail sales, the ones which most closely correspond to consumer spending in terms of GDP, would rise by 0.4%. Estimates of economic growth for the third-quarter currently exceed 2.0% annualized. Last quarter, the economy grew by 1.5%.
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Sources: Drone attacks have put Russian refineries in Syzran and Saratov on hold.
Three industry sources confirmed that the Rosneft owned oil refineries in the Volga River?cities of Syzran & Saratov have ceased?processing? following Ukrainian drone attacks earlier this month. The plant in Syzran was shut down on Tuesday. Saratov's operations were suspended last Friday. This week, despite the announcement made by U.S. president Donald Trump that both countries had agreed to cease their attacks on energy infrastructures of each other, Russia and Ukraine have continued to attack each other. The shutdown of refineries in Russia will probably worsen the domestic fuel shortages, which were already a problem due to restrictions on gasoline, diesel and jet fuel exports. Rosneft has not responded to our request for comment. SYZRAN'S MAIN UNIT DAMAGED Sources claim that a drone attack damaged several facilities at the Syzran refinery, including the CDU-6 main crude distillation unit, which has a daily capacity of 17,100?metric tons, or 71% of its processing capacity. The refinery's repairs could take a minimum of a month. When the strike on September 15 occurred, the refinery's CDU-5, which has a daily capacity of 7,100 tonnes, or 29%, was being repaired following an earlier drone attack in July. SARATOV ATTACKED AGAIN Saratov's refinery has stopped processing crude oil since September 11, following another drone strike. Sources said that the plant had also suspended operations on September 8, due to fires and equipment damage caused by a previous drone strike. The plant was planning to resume processing between September 10 and 11th. Saratov's refinery was also closed for several weeks following a drone attack on August 2. The?Syzran refining plant, located in Russia’s Samara region has a capacity to process crude oil of 150,000 barrels a day or 8.5 million tonnes per year. Saratov refinery's capacity is 140,000 barrels per day or 7.0 million tons of metric tonnage. Separate industry sources claim that the Syzran Refinery will process 4.3 million tonnes of crude oil in 2024, and produce?0.8 millions tons of gasoline and 1.5 million?tons diesel, and 0.7million tons?of fuel?oil. According to industry sources, Saratov refinery will process 5.8 million tonnes of crude oil in 2024 and produce 1.2 million metric tons of gasoline, as well as 1.9 million metric tons of diesel fuel, and 1.0 metric tons of fuel.
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Google signs largest carbon-removal agreement yet and aims to scale up new model
Google's biggest carbon-removal agreement yet involves backing a Brazilian project run by developer Terradot. The project aims to?cut methane emission from rice farming?and.capture carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Executives told. It is the largest rock-weathering project in history, covering more than 200,000 acres of land in the southern state Rio Grande do Sul. The goal is to speed up a natural process by which certain rocks absorb CO2 out of the air. Google's head for carbon removal Randy Spock said that the initiative is the first of its kind to combine methane removal and carbon removal. Methane is a "super-pollutant" greenhouse gas, which warms the air?more rapidly than carbon dioxide. It helps slow down global warming. However, carbon dioxide removal will still be needed to remove centuries' worth of accumulated emissions. "We need to do both." Spock stated that we do not have the luxury to focus all our resources solely on scaling up long-term 'carbon removal' or on tackling short-lived superpollutants. The project will generate one million metric tonnes of credits for methane abatement by 2030, and one million tons of credits for carbon removal by 2040. These credits are generated and verified separately. The carbon-removal component of the deal is 10x larger than previous rock weathering projects. According to an assessment of 2021 by the U.N., rice paddies are responsible for 10 to 12 percent of global methane emission. Environment Programme. The COP31 climate talks to be held in Turkey later this summer will focus on accelerating action against methane. Lower Costs The pressure is on the big tech companies to invest in clean energy and carbon removal to combat emissions from AI-driven data centres. Google has invested in Terradot after taking a stake in the company in 2024. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said that removal was needed to achieve the global climate goals. However, critics argue it could allow companies to pollute now. The companies stated that the model could be replicated and 'expanded' across Brazil’s 1.5 million hectares of rice fields, as well as in other rice-growing areas such India and Vietnam. Terradot will launch multiple pilots in different countries by 2026. Commercial scale-up is scheduled for?2028. Google and Terradot didn't disclose the price for the credits. However, a publicly revealed?2024 agreement for 90,000 tonnes of carbon removal by Terradot implied that the price was around $300 per ton. This is a lot higher than the $100 threshold many developers target to stimulate broader demand. James Kanoff, CEO of the company, said that while it is not yet $100 per ton at this time, "it represents a significant step towards that". Terradot stated that verification can add up to $100 per ton in enhanced rock weathering costs. This allows carbon removal to continue for longer, before third-party verifying would reduce this cost.
How a Japanese suitor misread politics with U.S. Steel bid, regardless of indication
A month in the past Nippon Steel discovered its $15 billion takeover of U.S. Steel was on the brink of being torpedoed by President Joe Biden, the Japanese business got a strong tip that things were taking a turn for the even worse.
On Aug. 1, officials from the powerful Committee on Foreign Financial investment in the United States (CFIUS) informed representatives of Japan's most significant steelmaker and its U.S. target that the committee had actually identified a potential national security danger, 2 sources knowledgeable about the settlements informed Reuters. CFIUS was worried that the deal might decrease U.S. steel production capacity, interrupting vital industries like transportation and infrastructure, the authorities informed the executives in the call, which has not previously been reported.
The caution from the U.S. committee - which has the power to block foreign acquisitions on nationwide security grounds - must have actually rung alarm bells at Nippon Steel, which was already battling criticism from a labour union and U.S. politicians ahead of Nov. 5 elections.
Yet, the Japanese steelmaker hoped it could still win approval for the deal by patiently describing its service benefits, according to Reuters' interviews with two sources with knowledge of the discussions, one business source and a top Nippon Steel executive. In an Aug. 19 follow-up conference to the Aug. 1 call held at the Treasury Department according to among the sources, the business' agents worried to CFIUS the financial significance of Nippon Steel's financial investments provided U.S. Steel's. having a hard time business. They left feeling their case had been. heard, the two sources near the talks told Reuters.
And in an interview on Aug. 28 with Reuters, Nippon Steel's. primary arbitrator Takahiro Mori expressed confidence the offer was. on track. He stated he wanted to construct a constructive long-term. relationship with the unions and that he had actually fulfilled around 1,000. people, consisting of numerous workers, during five U.S. check outs considering that. the deal was announced in December to describe its financial. advantages.
The political power of the union will deteriorate. That's true. now and obviously after the election, he informed Reuters, including. that talks with CFIUS and other U.S. regulators were. advancing. A day later on, Nippon Steel openly pledged to. invest $1.3 billion to recondition U.S. Steel's aging facilities. But on Aug. 31, CFIUS sent the two merging partners a 17-page. letter detailing its issues and giving them simply one organization. day to react. Reuters and other media reported recently that. President Joe Biden was poised to kill the deal.
U.S. Steel, Nippon Steel and CFIUS did not talk about the. details of procedure as laid out .
We do not think this transaction creates any nationwide. security issues, Nippon Steel stated in a declaration, without. elaborating on the settlements.
U.S. Steel stated in a separate declaration that there was no. scenario in which it might make needed investments without. the Japanese company: A deal with Nippon Steel is the. best opportunity to ensure that U.S. Steel will have the ability to flourish. well into the future.
POLITICAL HOT POTATO
Nippon Steel had tried to approach the. politically-connected United Steelworkers union (USW) before it. announced it had accepted purchase U.S. Steel, a company based. in the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania during an election. year. On Nov. 20, the Japanese steelmaker requested a conference with. USW, according to U.S. Steel filings in January. However attorneys for. the American company rejected the request, stating the union had. aligned with another suitor and talks would run the risk of breaking the. confidentiality of a competitive bidding procedure, the filings. stated.
The method backfired. When Nippon Steel's deal was revealed on Dec. 18, USW head. David McCall knocked the companies for keeping unions in the. dark. In a statement the exact same day, the union leader implicated U.S. Steel of neglecting workers' issues while selling out to a. foreign business.
He prompted the U.S. federal government to scrutinise the offer to see. if it served workers and national security interests.
Just three days after McCall's appeal, Biden's nationwide. economic consultant Lael Brainard said the takeover appeared to. should have severe analysis.
USW declined to discuss the merger process.
In hindsight it was apparent (Nippon Steel) needed to get. the union on board but I do not think they expected the union,. and in specific the leader of the union, to get as upset as he. did, said Nick Wall, an M&A partner at Allen & & Overy, who was. not associated with the negotiations.
In the weeks after the offer announcement, both Biden and his. Republican rival Donald Trump voiced opposition to the merger.
When Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida headed to. Washington DC in April - the first state check out by a Japanese. leader in 9 years - Nippon Steel's acquisition was the. elephant in the space. McCall and his other half signed up with VIP guests such as Amazon creator. Jeff Bezos and actor Robert De Niro at a luxurious dinner Biden. scheduled Kishida, listening to live music by vocalist Paul. Simon. U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel magnates were not on. the list of more than 200 visitors released by the White House.
' LISTEN ONLY MODE'
As the political sound around the offer grew louder, Nippon. Steel still believed there was a path forward which the union. was merely attempting to draw out much better terms, two sources close to. the business told Reuters, asking for privacy due to the. sensitivity of the discussions. In May, chief negotiator Mori told Reuters he thought that,. once the election was over, the president would examine the. financial merits of the offer. Obstructing it might disturb among. America's closest allies and it appeared not likely any. administration would want to do that, he included.
But that logic headed out of the window on August 31, when the. CFIUS letter landed.
The letter argued the deal postured a danger without. using any discussion of ways to mitigate officials' issues. and gave the celebrations until Sept. 4 to respond, according to the. two sources acquainted with the discussions.
In a call on Sept. 1, attorneys dealing with the offer pushed. CFIUS authorities about why they had been provided so little time,. the sources said. We have actually been instructed to be in listen just mode, a CFIUS. official replied, an ominous sign as sources inside the Biden. administration were telling the two business the White Home. will block the takeover, the people stated.
The business began desperately preparing a response,. correcting what they viewed as factual errors,. proposing mitigation and arguing to conserve the handle a 100-page. letter delivered on Sept. 3.
The letter, reviewed , stated they anticipated USW to. be more forward-leaning in talks with the companies. The next day, nevertheless, news broke that the White Home was close. to revealing Biden was preparing to block the offer.
In the future, this offer will most likely be considered as a. textbook case of how a business stopped working to understand politics,. stated David Boling, a previous U.S. trade official now at Eurasia. Group.
(source: Reuters)