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Shanghai lead costs near 6-year high up on Chinese supply tightness

Lead costs in Shanghai surged to near their highest in 6 years on Monday, driven by a supply tightness in top customer China and expects additional economic stimulus that might strengthen demand.

The most-traded June lead agreement on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) leapt to as high as 17,790 yuan ($ 2,468.81) per metric heap, a level hidden given that July 2018.

The contract was up 0.9% at 17,665 yuan a heap by 1551 GMT.

Some primary lead smelters cut production for routine maintenance while a few secondary lead smelters' utilisation rates are also constrained by shortage of battery scraps, resulting in a fall in refined lead output in recent weeks, said analyst Dina Yu at consultancy company CRU Group.

Part of the factor was the increased replacement of lead batteries with lithium-ion batteries in between three and two years earlier, she stated.

CRU expects China's improved lead market surplus to decrease this year and the nation's net export of lead to fall.

The production of lead-acid batteries, primarily utilized in motorised cars, represent the majority of international lead consumption and a switch to lithium-ion batteries utilized in electrical automobiles ( EV) has been hurting lead need.

Last month, top consumer China announced subsidies for ditching old cars and trucks in exchange for new ones to increase automobile sales, particularly for EVs.

A China-based lead trader said the limited battery scrap supply has harmed the revenue margin of secondary lead smelters, but costs outlook of the metal stays unpredictable because of the speculative nature of trading in base metals just recently.

Nonferrous metals have seen large inflows in current weeks from funds betting on enhancing need, supply disturbances and as a hedging tool against inflation.

Costs of base metals on Monday were also supported by Chinese policymakers' guarantee to step up support for the economy.

(source: Reuters)