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Copper demand to grow as new innovation drives power intake, Trafigura says

Prospering activity in the electric lorry, power facilities, AI and automation sectors will result in at least 10 million metric tons of extra copper consumption over the next years, commodity trader Trafigura informed .

Technological advancements such as expert system and automation, and the energy shift, which includes electrical lorries and renewable resource, have already increased need prospects for copper cable television used to perform electrical energy.

Price quotes of new need from these applications vary, however Graeme Train, head of metals analysis at Swiss-based Trafigura, stated one third of the 10 million tons of brand-new need would come from the electrical lorry sector.

A 3rd is electrical power generation, transmission and circulation, and the rest is for things like automation, producing capex and cooling systems within information centres, he stated. Development in data centres is related to AI.

Accelerating production of electrical lorries, photovoltaic panels and grid investment in China, and a pick-up in production activity in the top customer, has already boosted need for copper utilized in the power and construction markets.

That combined with tight materials of refined copper metal and concentrate has actually propelled copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) to two-year peaks near $10,000 a ton.

Copper market sources state part of the reason for the price rise are sliding stocks in LME signed up storage facilities << MCUSTX-TOTAL >, which at 121,200 tonnes have dropped more than 35% because October in 2015.

Tight supplies of mined copper or concentrate, the feedstock for copper metal, due to interruptions such as the closure of First Quantum's Cobre mine in Panama last year have likewise assisted fuel copper's upward price momentum this year.

Experts have been revising their projections of the copper market balance given that in December when Anglo American also cut its production guidance, and some now expect significant lacks in the copper market estimated at around 26 million tonnes this year.

Train expects copper need to be strengthened by industrialisation and urbanisation in the emerging world, especially in India where intake per individual annually is only half a kg.

In China and the developed world, per capita copper usage is 10 kgs and seven kgs respectively, he stated.

(source: Reuters)